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BOOK REVIEW
Over-hyped hypermarkets
The Power of Productivity: Wealth, Poverty and the Threat to Global Stability by William W Lewis

Reviewed by Gary LaMoshi

As the United States mourned the death and endlessly rehashed the life of former president Ronald Reagan last month, The Power of Productivity was the right book for the moment. America's so-called Reagan revolution transformed the debate about the role of government in the economy and, to a shocking degree, much of his then-radical doctrine became mainstream thinking.

World development institutions adopted the tenets of Reaganomics. Fighting poverty required deregulation, including dropping protection of domestic industries and restrictions on foreign investment. Making the rich richer would let growth trickle down to the poor. Under these principles, the World Bank and International Monetary Fund steered the former Soviet bloc's transition from communism and guided the recovery of developing economies in Latin America and Asia but still haven't made a dent in poverty.

Of the world's 6 billion people, 5 billion live in countries with per capita gross domestic product (GDP) 25% or less of the US figure; in fact, a majority of the poor live where GDP is less than 10% of Uncle Sam's. Particularly troubling, author William W Lewis says, Japan was the only country to go from poor to rich during the past century, though he adds that Japanese government development strategies credited with the advance were a hindrance, not a help.

The failure of free-market radicalism to solve crises and deliver real, sustainable economic growth has prompted a reassessment. Perhaps wrenching open developing markets to global competition without reference to local conditions and politics is not the best prescription in every case. They also note that the fastest-growing economy over the past two decades features "socialism with Chinese characteristics".

Lewis's book represents "The Empire Strikes Back" against such thinking. The reason free-market policies have mainly flopped, Lewis claims, it's that they're not being implemented heartlessly enough. Too much of the world still isn't safe for Wal-Mart.

Global "big box" stores, such as Wal-Mart, Carrefour and Tesco, are at the heart of the book's virtually self-evident central thesis: countries become rich because of high productivity. The central engine of US productivity growth during the late-1990s "new economy" boom wasn't Yahoo! or Cisco or Citigroup, but Wal-Mart, according to Lewis's research team from McKinsey Global Institute. Productivity growth drives economic growth and that eliminates poverty, Lewis explains, so what the world needs is Carrefour, the French hypermarket that's even more productive than Wal-Mart.

For Lewis, the presence of hypermarkets indicates that a country embraces the ideology of productivity. It means that zoning laws, labor rights, tax policies and capital restrictions have been sufficiently neutered, and that the public is sufficiently steeped in the culture of consumerism to support hypermarkets.

Consumerism is at the heart of Lewis's thesis and his thoughts. Throughout the book, he drops reminders of his Starbucks lifestyle among Washington's power elite. In a revealing insight into the "consumption mindset" that Lewis holds key to growth, he writes with barely concealed horror of a visit to pioneering growth economist Ed Denison's "small office with metal furniture and a few bookshelves". Denison wasn't consuming his load in the war on poverty.

Founding director of McKinsey Global Institute and a former top partner at the legendary consulting firm, Lewis spearheaded studies across a dozen years and 13 countries - including Japan, South Korea and India - aiming to discover the secrets behind productivity, particularly in services, at the sector level, the economic grassroots. McKinsey associates doggedly captured data in the favelas of Rio de Janeiro, the milking sheds of Haryana, and the Soviet-era steel mills of Siberia to assemble an unprecedented body of knowledge.

Perhaps the most surprising finding is that in this age of globalization some of the biggest productivity gains can be made in mundane, low-tech sectors such as selling noodles and the entirely local business of building homes. What's a shame is that so many of these previously unknown microeconomic data get twisted to confirm tired conventions of free-market radicalism.

Even though many old ideas come creatively disguised in new clothes, The Power of Productivity often sounds like a greatest-hits album from the Wall Street Journal editorial page. There's even an echo of that newspaper's attack on "lucky ducks", US workers who earn so little they avoid most income taxes. According to the Journal, that makes these working poor more fortunate than executives earning hundreds of times more money. Lewis decries similar "unfair" competition to global retailers from pushcart vendors and dirt-floor stores in slums that skirt taxes and other regulations the giants must follow. The free-market radicals contend that leveling the playing field means enforcing the rules equally, to ensure that the whales eat the minnows.

What's gone wrong in the past, Lewis contends, is that regulations haven't been loosened enough. Lewis concedes that governments mean well when aiming policy to achieve social goals, such as avoiding unemployment or protecting local business, but these actions make all of society poorer. Much better to let the economic pie get bigger, the rightists preach, so that everyone can enjoy a larger slice. Their recipe may produce a bigger pie, but global firms and unfettered capitalists will try to eat it all unless someone stops them.

In essence, Lewis poses the question: Is it government's job to act in the public interest, or should it back off and let markets decide what's best? In other words, should government or business write the rules that touch people's lives most directly? It's a bedrock issue of public policy that deserves real debate, particularly at a time when so many parties want alternatives to continued growth disappointment.

Lewis wants to avoid that debate in favor of simple answers in the Reagan tradition. The problem is big government. The solution is the marketplace. Individual rights matter most to drive consumerism. The economic evidence for that remains dubious, despite this massive study and the real-life radical reforms of New Zealand, Chile and others. In the US, economic growth under Reaganomics mainly widened the gap between rich and poor.

Still, Lewis dresses his paean to consumerism in the sackcloth of helping the poor. For all the fine words of Reagan and Lewis, you can't help wondering if they really care about fighting poverty any more than Wal-Mart does.

The Power of Productivity: Wealth, Poverty and the Threat to Global Stability by William W Lewis. University of Chicago Press, April 2004. ISBN: 0-226-47676-6. Price: US$28, 370 pages.

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Jul 17, 2004




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