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     Feb 6, 2007
Page 2 of 2
Bush's annual hot air emission
By Michael Piskur

2017 could reduce gasoline consumption by some 30 billion liters, yet falls short of the benchmarks established in six other energy plans. For example, the Biofuels Security Act would require all vehicles to be flex-fuel-equipped and all major US gasoline retailers to offer E-85, an 85%-ethanol fuel, and mandate production of 60 billion gallons (227 billion liters) of renewable fuels by 2030.

A global consensus emerges
Despite acknowledging the "serious challenge of global climate



change", Bush remains opposed to instituting mandatory limits on carbon emissions. In keeping with the refusal to ratify Kyoto, the White House is committed to tackling environmental issues so long as the solutions do not interfere with free enterprise.

Yet two groups that have firmly supported Bush, big business and evangelical Christians, are calling for the president to take immediate action. Many US corporations have come to the conclusion that legislation on climate change is inevitable and that it is in their interests to be a part of the discussion from which the legislation will arise.

The US Climate Action Partnership, including such companies as Alcoa Inc, Duke Energy Corp, Dupont Co, General Electric Co and several environmental groups, is pushing for "swift federal action on reducing greenhouse-gas emissions and speeding the adoption of climate-friendly technology" and endorses the Electric Utility Cap-and-Trade Act. The plan would reduce emissions from the US electricity sector by 25% beneath current levels by 2020.

As US opinion of global warming undergoes a "quantum shift", as British Prime Minister Tony Blair put it, the energy sector views government intervention as an inevitability and undoubtedly wants to have a hand in crafting legislation while the White House remains apathetic toward the issue. Concurrently, evangelicals and scientists have signed a statement demanding that US leaders take immediate action to confront climate issues.

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released a report on Friday showing global greenhouse-gas levels at a 650,000-year high and projecting catastrophic results, including rising sea levels, increased droughts and floods, and more powerful storms, during the course of the next century. The IPCC report aims to extend the Kyoto treaty, which will expire in 2012.

To that end, German Chancellor Angela Merkel is using her country's current presidency of the Group of Eight developed nations to lead the charge against global warming. Merkel said climate change and energy security are the two greatest issues facing the world and that global cooperation is necessary to overcome them. At this year's G8 summit in Heiligendamm, Germany, Merkel will seek to revive the Doha Round of trade negotiations and establish a global, legally binding regime to follow Kyoto.

Moreover, global warming is at the center of this year's World Economic Forum and European Union leaders have made it their top legislative priority for 2007.

Conclusion
Regardless of the long-term effects of global warming, continued reliance on non-renewable energy sources from geopolitically unstable areas is a policy fraught with risk. The recent example that Russia set by cutting gas supplies to Belarus represents merely the beginning of power that states rich in oil and gas supplies can have over the major energy consumers. The security of oil in the Middle East is at the center of US foreign policy and will remain this way as long as the United States relies on foreign oil.

Whether action is taken as an immediate geopolitical necessity to secure energy and other natural resources, such as water and arable land, or because of a moral imperative on behalf of future generations, global warming stands to be a major political issue of the 21st century.

Published with permission of the Power and Interest News Report, an analysis-based publication that seeks to provide insight into various conflicts, regions and points of interest around the globe. All comments should be directed to content@pinr.com.

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