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     Apr 26, 2007
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Curbing the global arms bazaar
By Alan Boyd

SYDNEY - An ambitious arms-control initiative is under the gun from a new generation of manufacturers as negotiators race the clock to secure a global agreement that will keep conventional weapons out of the hands of extremists.

A deadline for the adoption of the United Nations' Arms Trade Treaty expires on Monday, with China expected to lead a Third World revolt against tougher controls. And it may have found an



unlikely ally in the United States.

When support for the pact was first tested in the UN General Assembly in December, the US was the only one of 178 participating countries opposed. China and 24 other countries abstained.

Under a compromise deal, negotiators were given until April 30 to present their cases for a treaty that would impose a more responsible marketing code on arms manufacturers and distributors, especially in volatile developing countries.

Britain, France, Germany and Spain, four of the biggest weapons dealers, have said they will vote in favor. But the coalition of non-government organizations (NGOs) and human-rights activists behind the treaty is more worried about the emerging proliferation of smaller producers.

There are an estimated 1,300 arms companies in almost 100 countries vying for a US$1 trillion market that sells eight million new weapons each year. A decade ago there were far fewer manufacturers, and they had a totally different motivation.

"Arms sales have traditionally been packaged as part of foreign-policy or national-security objectives ... this was certainly the case during the Cold War years, but now there is more of an economic motivation," said a diplomat involved in arms-control negotiations.

"Naturally, it becomes harder to find common ground for a treaty when you have so many countries with an economic stake. This is a situation that is harder to control, as there is the risk they may have fewer scruples in selling to what I would consider to be unstable regimes."

The US, Britain, France, Germany and Russia collectively account for about 85% of global arms sales, with China next in the rankings. US firms alone cornered $14 billion of the market in 2005, three times more than any other country.

But since 1990 the number of new firms in the top 100 manufacturers has more than doubled. India and South Korea now have three companies each on the list, Israel four and Singapore one. Data on Chinese producers are not released, but three are believed to be of this scale.

Arms Without Borders, a study released by non-government organizations last year, reported that participation of Asian countries at a regional defense exhibition between 1999 and 2006, one gauge of increased production activity, rose threefold.

There were 17 Indian manufacturers at the Kuala Lumpur show in 2006, up from zero in 1999. Malaysia had 55 representatives (increasing from 36 in 1996) and South Korea 15 (eight in 1996).

"While these figures do not necessarily equate to increased defense sales from emerging producers, they do clearly show a trend of increasing numbers of companies from non-traditional arms exporting countries seeking a foothold in the global arms market," the report noted.

What worries arms-control advocates is that many of the Third World countries lack explicit criteria or guidelines for authorizing arms transfers that comply with the source nation's obligations under international law.

A raft of UN legislation negotiated since the 1990s with support from the European Union, Organization of American States and other bodies already bans the sale of weapons to countries with records of human-rights abuses. Regional codes of conduct specifically blacklist unstable regimes such as Myanmar and North Korea.

But the standards are not binding and are applied inconsistently. Often they are not incorporated into national laws, while some emerging arms-exporting countries have not signed up to any of the measures.

Sophisticated weapons are still reaching pariah countries. A report by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute on arms sales between 1995 and 2005 reveals that North Korea was supplied by Russia, China and Kazakhstan in defiance of US and European embargoes. The North Koreans then adapted and modified these technologies for their own defense industries, making shipments in the same period to Yemen, Pakistan, Iran, Libya and Myanmar.

Pakistan was able to secure tons of weapons in the same period from no fewer than 14 countries, including China, Indonesia, the US, France, Germany, Russia and Sweden, despite concerns that many would be positioned on the tense Kashmiri frontier with India. Included in the shipments were surface-to-air and anti-ship missiles, frigates, helicopters, fighter jets, heavy artillery and torpedoes.

India was the world's biggest recipient of arms in 1975-2005, ahead of Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Turkey, Japan, Iran, Taiwan, Egypt, Libya and Greece. And it had some of the same suppliers as 

Continued 1 2 


How to curb China's arms trade (Jun 14, '06)

Japan's hidden arms trade (Dec 1, '05)

 
 


 

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