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     Jan 11, 2008
Page 2 of 2
Cover off Tajikistan's missing millions
By John Helmer

has yet to disclose the tolling fee for the year.

Experts engaged in trading Tajik aluminum estimate the cost of transportation of alumina inwards and aluminum outwards at $150 million per annum.

The purpose of the High Court case now pending in London is to determine whether Talco’s trading agents and de facto controllers, CDH and TML, are making more profit, while the smelter




earns less.

In November, in a public speech, the leader of the Tajik Communist Party, Shodi Shabdolov, said Talco was paying just $40 million in annual tax to the state budget. The figure corresponds to the statutory corporate rate, but it is levied on Talco’s tolling fee, not on the value of the aluminum produced and exported. Shabdolov was critical of the trading schemes that provide "profits [to] purchasers and intermediaries rather than [to] the national budget." The remarks were published on Tajikistan’s Asia-Plus news agency, before they quickly disappeared.

Trading scheme losses
According to sources in Oslo and London, the smelter is losing more than $500 million in aluminum sale profits per year through these trading schemes. Overseeing them, the sources also allege, is a London-based firm called Alaska Metals, controlled by an Iranian, Ali Akhbar Mahdavi.

Alaska Metals operates a modest website, identifying itself as a private company formed in 1999 from a group of traders principally engaged in nonferrous metal business. Three London telephone numbers are given, but no names and no physical address.

A source in the company told Asia Times Online that Mahdavi runs Alaska Metals, but he has refused to respond to requests for an interview. The UK High Court files are more revealing. According to publicly available judgements, in 1998 Mahdavi arranged the sale of almost $6 million worth of lead ingots to an Iranian buyer, based on false documentation; took and spent the money; but did not deliver the metal. According to Justice Moore-Bick in the case of Niru v. Mahdavi et al., "for a seller [Mahdavi] which had presented a false bill of lading and had failed to despatch any goods at all, this was indeed a brazen attempt to throw its buyer off balance in order to extricate itself from a difficult situation." The lower court in 2002, and the appeals court in 2003, ruled that Mahdavi was liable to repay the money he had received, plus interest and costs.

Mahdavi, Asia Times Online has now learned, is a key figure currently representing President Rahmon in the global trade of Tajik aluminum. A report by Metal Bulletin, issued this past November, reports that Alaska Metals outbid other contenders for 240,000 tonnes of alumina, produced by Nalco of India, and believed to be intended for the Tajik smelter. "The winning bid was considerably ahead of the consensus of other bidders," the report of the transaction claims.

Hydro has also confirmed to Asia Times Online that its December 2006 agreement provides that it will sell the Tajik plant 150,000 tonnes of alumina per annum and buy up to 200,000 tonnes of aluminum metal produced by the plant. Hydro added in a statement for Asia Times Online that the alumina is delivered CIF (cost, insurance and freight) at Poti (a Georgian port on the Black Sea), and the metal to Hydro at a Baltic port on a FOB (free on board) basis. The FOB term requires the seller to clear the goods for export. The CIF terms means the seller must pay the costs and freight necessary to bring the goods to the named port of destination but the risk of loss of or damage to the goods, as well as any additional costs due to events occurring after the time of delivery, are transferred from the seller to the buyer.

According to Hydro spokesman Thomas Knutzen, "Hydro does not disclose the exact prices of such contracts but we can say that this is LME [London Metal Exchange] linked." What Knutzen did not reveal is whether Hydro’s LME link contains the 10% over-market premium revealed in the Nalco deal with Alaska.

A source close to Talco told Asia Times Online that, for those aiming to maximize their profit from Talco, "there is no point in overcharging for alumina; they do not sell it to Talco - they simply convert it to aluminum. They would look for the cheapest sources [of feedstock]. Since their fixed cost for aluminum is simply the tolling fee for Talco, they are not interested in overcharging. Costs are - tolling fee to the plant, alumina, and transport. At the current market, they are making a killing! TadAZ is bled dry - that is clear. It has no revenues apart from the tolling fee, which is strictly controlled by [President] Rahmon. He regulates the fee to allow Talco to be kept afloat.

''If Talco was allowed to trade, as it was doing before Nazarov was ousted in 2004, the windfall profit from rising aluminum prices would have been Talco’s, and not Rahmon's. At the 24% effective corporate tax rate, the Tajik state budget would have received $72 million, in addition to the $40 million Talco has to pay."

The pressure on Hydro for greater disclosure of its Tajik dealings is also mounting in Oslo, where the company has been threatened by parliament members with a corruption investigation. An investigation by Oslo business journal N24 revealed that recently Hydro executives were summoned to the Ministry of Trade and Industry where they were questioned by the Minister of Trade Andersen.

"We have had a conversation with Hydro and received the same answers as you in the press did," Andersen told N24 reporter, Trond Gram. "Hydro is the one who must answer further questions from the press on the case, and on that basis we will see if there will be any need to further investigate this case."

In October, Hydro announced that it plans shortly to delist its shares from the New York Stock Exchange and end its reporting and compliance obligations to the US regulator, the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Delisting is also planned from stock exchanges in Paris, Frankfurt, Hamburg and Dusseldorf. When completed, Hydro will be traded and regulated in Oslo and London.

In a company statement, Hydro chief financial officer John Ottestad said: "As a focused aluminum company, we are committed to reducing the complexity of our operations. The delisting and deregistration will enable us to simplify financial reporting processes, while maintaining the same high-quality financial reporting and disclosures. Corporate governance will not be affected…"

On December 27, Hydro announced that it had appointed a new head of communications, Inger Sethov. She was asked what relationship Hydro has with TML, and what the Norwegians know of the roles played to channel the smelter’s revenues and profits by TML and Alaska Metals. Sethov was unavailable to respond, her office told Asia Times this week. In her place, Halvor Molland, Vice President and Head of Communication for Hydro, said: "Hydro is buying aluminum from and selling alumina to Talco Management Limited on market-based conditions. The arrangements are an integral part of our settlement agreement with the Talco smelter. Hydro does not have insight into Talco Management Limited's contracts and dealings with other companies, and we are therefore unable to comment on these."

The Hydro spokesman was also asked whether Hydro had reached a similar conclusion to the IMF’s report that "the details of the arrangement are not fully transparent." Mallor told Asia Times Online: "The World Bank is aware of Hydro's contracts with Talco Management Limited, and IMF's comments which you have quoted should, thus, not be taken as a criticism of Hydro's arrangements."

The missing half billion dollars in annual aluminum earnings will sooner or later bring the Norwegians down, Nazarov intimated in an interview with Metal Bulletin in London in November. "Their's is a temporary solution. It exists whilst the case is being litigated."

Referring to Rahmon as the stumbling block, Nazarov said "we are interested not only in coming back, but also in optimizing operations at [Talco] to turn it into the engine of economic development in Tajikistan to the benefit of all Tajiks … We are keen to provide a viable long-term solution, but we recognize there is a political dimension."

Talco, TML and official spokesmen for Rahmon have not responded to questions. The company website provides production volumes, but financial data appear to be unaudited and incomplete, with nothing since the first quarter of 2007: (see Talco website)

A press release, issued through the Tajik news agency Asia-Plus on December 21, defends the reassignment of sales contracts and the tolling operations of the offshore cutouts, claiming "the business strategy chosen by the TALCO has allowed it to considerably improve its financial indices …" the press release said. The company's top managers attribute this success to the introduction of a system of tolling operations… "the tolling system, including processing of customers (own) [take-back] feedstock with further export of product of processing under customs control, is the most widespread type of operation in the world metallurgical business. It has replaced the old system of barter operations and it has become the only way to overcome the crisis…"

The company press release also responds to the parliamentary attack on Talco’s low tax payments. "In January-September 2007, TALCO transferred 133.7 million somonis (US$38.64 million) to the national budget. In 2007, the anticipated contribution of TALCO to the national budget will be 180 million somonis, which is 67 million somonis more than in 2004. Over the same nine-month period, TALCO's external trade turnover amounted to US$1.473 billion, which was 115 per cent more than the January-September 2006 level or US$190 million more."

President Rahmon has also revealed how sensitive he is to the possibility that fortunes are being spirited out of Tajikistan, if not by Caribbean companies, then by fortune-tellers, sorcerers, and witches. On December 12, the Tajik parliament passed a law, requested by the president, to outlaw such practices. "Those indulging in sorcery and fortune-telling shall be fined between 30 and 40 times the minimum monthly wage [equivalent to $170-$226]," the statute reads.

John Helmer has been a Moscow-based correspondent since 1989, specializing in the coverage of Russian business.


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