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     Mar 12, 2008
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THE SHAPE OF US POPULISM, Part 1
A rich free-market legacy - for some
By Henry C K Liu

The financial crisis that broke out in August 2007 has stirred a revival of the latent populism that had been effectively suppressed by blanket anti-left hysteria during the Cold War. Despite residual psycho-political phobia, such indigenous populism has been simmering upward from deep-freeze depths after two decades of debt-driven financial and trade globalization in the post-Cold War era. Globalization of deregulated trade and finance has produced spectacular wealth for an elite minority at the expense of the wage-earning majority even in boom time all over the world.

Income and wealth disparities have been the legacy of free market capitalism, dictated by the call of neo-liberal supply-side economic theory for concentration of wealth to achieve indispensable capital formation. While internationally, the United



States has been the clear beneficiary of "free trade" which dilutes the authority of national sovereignty to institute defensive protectionism, stagnant wages in the face of high corporate profits from outsourcing jobs overseas have left US workers in manufacturing worse off than their parents.

Global cross-border wage arbitrage has succeeded in keeping wages low around the world. But the decline in working-class fortune in the US had been masked by an exponential rise is home prices in a debt bubble that provided temporary phantom "wealth effect" to working families suffering the imperceptible real wage decline.

Now with the bursting of the debt bubble, while the culpable financial elite are walking away with equally spectacular severance packages after ringing in billion in market losses, the investing pension funds of helpless workers are unwittingly taking heavy hits and the social service entitlement for the working poor are further squeezed by ruthless corporate restructuring.

Looking for culprits
In a congressional hearing on executive pay held on March 7 by the House Committee on Oversight and Investigations, Republican committee members lined up to defend the extraordinarily high executive pay accumulated during years of handsome corporate profit made possible by the blatant global manipulation of debt.

The Republicans dutifully rationalized that these executives also suffered financial losses in the recent collapse of the debt market, albeit such losses only reduce their departing compensation from high nine figures to low nine figures. No executive has yet been forced to lose their second or third vacation homes, while many working families are forced out of their primary residences by the "bad judgement" of these executives.

The committee chairman, Representative Henry A Waxman, Democrat of California, said in an opening remark: "There seem to be two economic realities operating in our country today. Most Americans live in a world where economic security is precarious and there are real economic consequences for failure. But our nation’s top executives seem to live by a different set of rules. When companies fail to perform, should they give millions of dollars to their senior executives?"

Republicans on the committee reject the very premise of the hearing. Darrell E Issa, Republican of California, asked rhetorically: "This is a hearing in search of bad guys. Are there bad guys in front of me? I'm not seeing it."

Yet while Chuck Prince may not look like a bad guy to Representative Issa, the Citigroup chief executive did tell the Financial Times on July 10 2007, 15 days before the outbreak of the liquidity crisis, that "the party would end at some point but there was so much liquidity it would not be disrupted by the turmoil in the US subprime mortgage market." Prince denied that Citigroup, one of the biggest providers of finance to private equity deals and collateralized debt obligation instruments, was pulling back. "When the music stops, in terms of liquidity, things will be complicated. But as long as the music is playing, you’ve got to get up and dance. We’re still dancing," he said in an interview with the FT in Japan. Things in deed got "complicated" two week later.

Representative Issa failed to understand that if he cannot see "bad guys" among the movers and shakers of the market because they were merely playing according to the rules of the game, then he does not enjoy the luxury of absolving deregulated free market capitalism as the real culprit of massive financial destruction. (Capitalism's bad apples: It's the barrel that's rotten, Asia Times Online, August 1, 2002)

Prince admitted in front of the committee: "Last fall, it became apparent that the risk models which Citigroup, the various rating agencies and the rest of the financial community used to assess certain mortgage backed securities were wrong. As CEO, I was ultimately responsible for the actions of the company, including risk models that eventually proved inadequate."

The error these risk models made was not taking into consideration the possibility of massive market failure, a condition considered too unreal to be taken seriously since it was expected that the Federal Reserve, the nation’s central bank, would step in to keep markets functioning.

In a 1998 testimony before Congress, Greenspan said:
We should note that were banks required by the market, or their regulator, to hold 40% capital against assets as they did after the Civil War, there would, of course, be far less moral hazard and far fewer instances of fire-sale market disruptions. At the same time, far fewer banks would be profitable, the degree of financial intermediation less, capital would be more costly, and the level of output and standards of living decidedly lower. Our current economy, with its wide financial safety net, fiat money, and highly leveraged financial institutions, has been a conscious choice of the American people since the 1930s. We do not have the choice of accepting the benefits of the current system without its costs.
The risk of market failure was apparently a conscious choice of monetary policy.

Systemic market failure was alluded to by several witnesses and committee members in the hearing but the issue was deemed out of the jurisdiction of the committee and the particular aim of this hearing, and was categorically brushed aside unanswered.

Tom Davis, the ranking Republican minority member from Virginia, said that even if the executives had been paid nothing, there would still be a housing crisis. And Mr Issa emphasized that all of the executives were primarily rewarded with stock, meaning they have suffered alongside shareholders as the value of financial stocks has plummeted.

Yet it is a commonly known fact that executive compensation tied to annual performance has become an irresistible incentive for top management to take on increased risks for the companies they manage, at the expense of the long-term wellbeing of the company and by extension, of the economy. The system has been designed to push risk to the limit until it fails.

John Finnegan, chairman of Merrill's compensation committee, when asked why E Stanley O'Neal, former chairman and CEO of Merrill Lynch & Co Inc, was permitted to retire rather than being forced out for cause, replied that if O'Neal had been fired, he would have forfeited the $131 million in stock and options he had earned in prior years. Finnegan added that "cause" involved only unethical behavior, not bad judgment. In other words, the fault was with the system, not the individual who responds to the system's incentives. "To say you don't have the tools, it means that even if someone performs badly there are no consequences," Waxman retorted.

Emphasizing that the compensation process at Merrill was "appropriate" and "independent", he said: "It is true that top executives at public companies in the United States, especially in the financial services industry, are highly compensated. But a great percentage of that compensation, certainly for me, was and is at risk. When the business does well, all shareholders do well. But if the business does not do well, the value of that compensation can plummet."

O'Neal of Merrill retained more than $161 million after he "retired" honorably in October on top of the $70 million he took home during his four-year tenure. The bulk of the exit pay was linked to previously earned benefits and exercised stock options. Since his departure was deemed a retirement, O'Neal did not receive any severance pay. Merrill Lynch, meanwhile, had announced write-offs totaling more than $10.3 billion by the time O'Neal left, causing its stock price go into free fall. The write-off was partly funded by profit earned under the four "good" years of O'Neal's tenure.

Prince of Citigroup collected $110 million while presiding over the evaporation of roughly $64 billion in market capitalization. He left Citigroup in November 2007 with an exit package worth $68 million, including $29.5 million in accumulated stock, a $1.7 million pension, office with an assistant, and a car with driver.

Citigroup's board also awarded Prince a cash bonus worth about $10 million for 2007, largely based on his performance in 2006 when the bank's results were better. Citigroup announced write-offs worth roughly $20 billion in 2007 and saw its share plummet over 60% from 2006 high.

Angelo Mozilo of Countrywide had taken home more than $410 million since becoming chief executive in 1999, including several stock sales made under an automatic plan while the company was buying back shares in an apparent conflict of interest. Federal securities regulators are scrutinizing those trades, as is the FBI. And in a report released on March 6, a day before the hearing, congressional investigators found that the use of a flawed peer group and easy bonus targets helped inflate Mozilo's pay. He also had been entitled to a $37.5 million severance package, though he forfeited that in January, shortly after Congress requested that he testify.

Representative Elijah E Cummings, Democrat from Maryland, noted that, "We've got golden parachutes drifting off to the golf course and have people I see every day who are losing their homes and wondering where their kids will do their homework."

And Mozilo, noting that "our stock price appreciated over 23,000%" from 1982 to 2007, said he received performance-based bonuses approved by shareholders and exercised options as he prepared for retirement. "In short, as our company did well, I did well," he said.

Waxman ended the hearing by complimenting the witnesses on their extraordinary individual tales and for their service to their firms. But he added with a straight face, "It seems like everyone is hurting except for you."

No one even on the Democratic side bothered to ask, while working families lost homes that constituted a major part of their total assets accumulated over years of hard work, why these executives who were responsible for such disastrous results should not be made to disgorge their accumulated gains to reimburse the victims of their manipulative perfidy. While populism is in the air, it has obviously not infiltration to congressional committee hearing rooms.

In prepared testimony, Prince focused on his humble beginnings, as the first member of his family to go to college and O'Neal, an African American, revealed that his grandfather was a slave. The two executives personify the admirable socio-economic mobility in the US financial system. Yet one would expect that people of humble origins and minority background to be embedded with sensitivity about the powerlessness of the poor to protect themselves from iniquitous manipulations beyond their comprehension, let alone control. Apparently, social mobility is possible in US society only if one leaves behind one's populist baggage.

Since last August, when the credit crisis exploded to spread over the entire financial market that now threatens the US economy with a sever recession exacerbated by stagflation that promises to be protracted, populist rhetoric has been growing in volume in the final phase of the year-long presidential nomination campaigns of both political parties, even by the front-running candidates, with an eye to capitalize widespread voter discontent in November.

While the specifics of populist reaction to recurring financial and economic crises over the ages are not congruent, as contentious issues and reactions to them change with evolving new contexts and conditions over time, populism has deep roots in US political and economic history along the theme of the people being unhappy about perpetually getting the short end of the stick from a system run by the elite.

Populism against giantism
Historically, populism in the US emerged as a logical reaction to the emergence over a century ago of industrial capitalism, the abuses of which had left the masses of working people a legacy not much better than slavery. The free market, by not extending itself to include the labor market to equalize market power disparity between capital and labor, has merely commercialized the despicable institution of slavery, despite official emancipation.

Populism began as a movement to actively seek effective government regulation over a pro-capital free market monetary

Continued 1 2


Regulating the un-regulatable (Mar 5, '08)

The Complete Henry C K Liu


1. Why Boeing lost the $40bn tanker deal

2. Should Islam be blamed for 'barbaric' acts?

3. US's fancy guns are trained on China

4. An admiral takes on the White House

5. A new democratic era in Malaysia

6. Iran shifts focus fully on Iraq

7. Euro-trash

8. US can fast exit from bad times

9. Drunk with absolute purchasing power

10. What is left that is sellable?

(24 hours to 11:59 pm ET, Mar 10, 2008)

 
 


 

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