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     Apr 20, 2010
Page 1 of 2
Goldman and the charade of honesty
By Chan Akya

Friday's market declines (the Dow down 1.13%, the S&P500 down 1.6%, the FTSE 100 down 1.39%) were broadly blamed on the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announcing fraud charges against Goldman Sachs over the sale of synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) to institutional investors. In its announcement on April 16, the SEC makes the following statement:
The Securities and Exchange Commission today charged Goldman, Sachs & Co and one of its vice presidents for defrauding investors by misstating and omitting key facts about a financial product tied to subprime mortgages as the US housing market was beginning to falter.

... The SEC alleges that Goldman Sachs structured and marketed a synthetic CDOs that hinged on the performance of subprime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). Goldman Sachs failed to disclose to investors vital information about the CDO, in particular the role that a major hedge fund played in the portfolio selection process and the fact that the hedge fund had taken a short position against the CDO.

... The SEC alleges that one of the world's largest hedge funds, Paulson & Co, paid Goldman Sachs to structure a transaction in which Paulson & Co could take short positions against mortgage securities chosen by Paulson & Co based on a belief that the securities would experience credit events. [1]
This isn't surprising for anyone who has been familiar with the

 

goings on of the credit markets. I made the point about conflicts of interest in the market for asset-backed securities (ABS) in the summer of 2007 (see Robbery of the Century, Asia Times Online, July 14, 2007). Last week, in my review of Michael Lewis' new book The Big Short last week (see Lewis comes up short, Asia Times Online, April 17, 2010) I noted that the author had generally ignored the significant profits made by the likes of Goldman Sachs and John Paulson.

Perhaps the author knew about the forthcoming charges, but as it turns out, details of the SEC release include the following details:
The SEC's complaint alleges that after participating in the portfolio selection, Paulson & Co effectively shorted the RMBS portfolio it helped select by entering into credit default swaps (CDS) with Goldman Sachs to buy protection on specific layers of the ABACUS capital structure. Given that financial short interest, Paulson & Co had an economic incentive to select RMBS that it expected to experience credit events in the near future. Goldman Sachs did not disclose Paulson & Co's short position or its role in the collateral selection process in the term sheet, flip book, offering memorandum, or other marketing materials provided to investors.

The SEC alleges that Goldman Sachs vice president Fabrice Tourre was principally responsible for ABACUS 2007-AC1. Tourre structured the transaction, prepared the marketing materials, and communicated directly with investors. Tourre allegedly knew of Paulson & Co's undisclosed short interest and role in the collateral selection process. In addition, he misled ACA Capital Holdings, the now defunct bond insurer at the center of the case against Goldman Sachs, into believing that Paulson & Co invested approximately US$200 million in the equity of ABACUS, indicating that Paulson & Co's interests in the collateral selection process were closely aligned with ACA's interests. In reality, however, their interests were sharply conflicting.

According to the SEC's complaint, the deal closed on April 26, 2007, and Paulson & Co paid Goldman Sachs approximately $15 million for structuring and marketing ABACUS. By October 24, 2007, 83% of the RMBS in the ABACUS portfolio had been downgraded and 17% were on negative watch. By January 29, 2008, 99% of the portfolio had been downgraded. Investors in the liabilities of ABACUS are alleged to have lost more than $1 billion.
As luck or otherwise would have it, the primary loss on the ABACUS transactions appears to have been borne by the essentially nationalized UK bank, RBS. The Financial Times reported on Saturday, April 17, the following:
Royal Bank of Scotland executives were on Friday night examining whether the bank had any grounds for legal action against Goldman Sachs, after it emerged that it lost more than $800m (520 million pounds sterling) as part of an allegedly fraudulent transaction.

As part of the Securities & Exchange Commission's charges against Goldman, the regulator said that RBS had paid Goldman $841m to unwind a position in Abacus 2007-AC1, the Goldman-structured collateralized debt obligation at the center of the SEC investigation.

The part-nationalized British bank had inherited the position as part of its 2007 acquisition of ABN Amro, the Dutch bank. The sum involved is small compared with the ฃ45bn the government later pumped into RBS to keep it alive. But the notion that the alleged fraud may have contributed to an eventual taxpayer-backed rescue of RBS is likely to be politically sensitive.

“On or about August 7 2008, RBS unwound ABN's super senior position in Abacus 2007-AC1 by paying [Goldman] $840,909,090,” the complaint said. Most of this money was subsequently paid by Goldman to Paulson, the hedge fund, the SEC said.
In essence, wrong doing by Goldman Sachs may have accelerated market concerns on the stability of RBS, essentially putting that bank into the hands of an expensive bailout by the UK government. With an impending election in the UK next month, it is highly likely that the issue becomes highly politicized and goes back to shake the operations of US investment banks such as Goldman Sachs from their hitherto profitable global operations based out of London. The fact that European commercial banks bore the brunt of losses on such CDOs could only add further fuel to the fire. The crux of the SEC complaint is found in the following:

"The product was new and complex but the deception and conflicts are old and simple," said Robert Khuzami, Director of the Division of Enforcement. "Goldman wrongly permitted a client that was betting against the mortgage market to heavily influence which mortgage securities to include in an investment portfolio, while telling other investors that the securities were selected by an independent, objective third party."

This isn't an idle matter of a single regulator making an allegation. In Europe, financial regulators operate on the basis of principles rather than rules, thereby widening the ambit of investigations and punitive actions; this part of the SEC statement is likely to immediately attract the attention of most regulators in Europe led by the Financial Supervisory Authority (FSA) of the United Kingdom - one of the most powerful regulators in the world.

It isn't likely that the ABACUS deals are the only ones being reviewed nor that Goldman Sachs is the only investment bank that is charged by the SEC or other regulators as the following statement from the SEC on April 16 makes clear:

Kenneth Lench, chief of the SEC's Structured and New Products Unit, added, "The SEC continues to investigate the practices of investment banks and others involved in the securitization of complex financial products tied to the US housing market as it was beginning to show signs of distress."

Magnetar trade
Interestingly, on April 9, a week before the SEC charges against Goldman Sachs were filed, the website of Pro Publica (an "independent, non-profit newsroom that produces investigative journalism in the public interest", according to the blurb on its website, www.propublica.org) carried an important story that was devoted to the uncovering of strategies employed by a hedge fund called Magnetar, entitled "The Magnetar Trade: How One Hedge Fund Helped Keep the Bubble Going". [2]

The article clearly reveals the details of the trade, similar in construction to the ABACUS trades that have earned Goldman Sachs a filing from the SEC. The article highlights:
... the Magnetar Trade worked this way: The hedge fund bought the riskiest portion of a kind of securities known as collateralized debt obligations - CDOs. If housing prices kept rising, this would provide a solid return for many years. But that's not what hedge funds are after. They want outsized gains, the sooner the better, and Magnetar set itself up for a huge win: It placed bets that portions of its own deals would fail.

Along the way, it did something to enhance the chances of that happening, according to several people with direct knowledge of the deals. They say Magnetar pressed to include riskier assets in their CDOs that would make the investments more vulnerable to failure. The hedge fund acknowledges it bet against its own deals but says the majority of its short positions, as they are known on Wall Street, involved similar CDOs that it did not own.
In essence, this is the same strategy followed by ABACUS / Goldman Sachs / Paulson. The "equity" portion, that is, the most risky portion of a CDO, would have all the risks of homeowners defaulting. When home prices started stalling in 2006 across the US and then started their gentle decline, it became apparent to even the most staid investors that equity portions of CDOs were too risky to be purchased due to the very real chance of investments being wiped out.

Thus, when specialist hedge funds emerged that purchased the equity portions, it was almost too good to be true for other investors who wanted to own the senior pieces - the so called triple A slices favored by regulators and bankers globally - in these transactions. However, the people buying the equity portions were being rather smart in collecting high income for their investments which was then used to purchase insurance on the less risky portions (triple As).

Continued 1 2  


Goldman's golden sunset moment
(Feb 25, '10)

Goldman Sachs and US demise
(Nov 24, '09)

 

 
 


 

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