Page 1 of 2 Goldman and the charade of honesty
By Chan Akya
Friday's market declines (the Dow down 1.13%, the S&P500 down 1.6%, the
FTSE 100 down 1.39%) were broadly blamed on the US Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) announcing fraud charges against Goldman Sachs over the sale
of synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) to institutional investors.
In its announcement on April 16, the SEC makes the following statement:
The
Securities and Exchange Commission today charged Goldman, Sachs & Co and
one of its vice presidents for defrauding investors by misstating and omitting
key facts about a financial product tied to subprime mortgages as the US
housing market was beginning to falter.
... The SEC alleges that Goldman Sachs structured and marketed a synthetic CDOs
that hinged on the performance of subprime residential mortgage-backed
securities (RMBS). Goldman Sachs failed to disclose to investors vital
information about the CDO, in particular the role that a major hedge fund
played in the portfolio selection process and the fact that the hedge fund had
taken a short position against the CDO.
... The SEC alleges that one of the world's largest hedge funds, Paulson &
Co, paid Goldman Sachs to structure a transaction in which Paulson & Co
could take short positions against mortgage securities chosen by Paulson &
Co based on a belief that the securities would experience credit events. [1]
This isn't surprising for anyone who has been familiar with the
goings on of the credit markets. I made the point about conflicts of interest
in the market for asset-backed securities (ABS) in the summer of 2007 (see
Robbery of the Century, Asia Times Online, July 14, 2007). Last week,
in my review of Michael Lewis' new book The Big Short last week (see
Lewis comes up short, Asia Times Online, April 17, 2010) I noted that
the author had generally ignored the significant profits made by the likes of
Goldman Sachs and John Paulson.
Perhaps the author knew about the forthcoming charges, but as it turns out,
details of the SEC release include the following details:
The SEC's
complaint alleges that after participating in the portfolio selection, Paulson
& Co effectively shorted the RMBS portfolio it helped select by entering
into credit default swaps (CDS) with Goldman Sachs to buy protection on
specific layers of the ABACUS capital structure. Given that financial short
interest, Paulson & Co had an economic incentive to select RMBS that it
expected to experience credit events in the near future. Goldman Sachs did not
disclose Paulson & Co's short position or its role in the collateral
selection process in the term sheet, flip book, offering memorandum, or other
marketing materials provided to investors.
The SEC alleges that Goldman Sachs vice president Fabrice Tourre was
principally responsible for ABACUS 2007-AC1. Tourre structured the transaction,
prepared the marketing materials, and communicated directly with investors.
Tourre allegedly knew of Paulson & Co's undisclosed short interest and role
in the collateral selection process. In addition, he misled ACA Capital
Holdings, the now defunct bond insurer at the center of the case against
Goldman Sachs, into believing that Paulson & Co invested approximately
US$200 million in the equity of ABACUS, indicating that Paulson & Co's
interests in the collateral selection process were closely aligned with ACA's
interests. In reality, however, their interests were sharply conflicting.
According to the SEC's complaint, the deal closed on April 26, 2007, and
Paulson & Co paid Goldman Sachs approximately $15 million for structuring
and marketing ABACUS. By October 24, 2007, 83% of the RMBS in the ABACUS
portfolio had been downgraded and 17% were on negative watch. By January 29,
2008, 99% of the portfolio had been downgraded. Investors in the liabilities of
ABACUS are alleged to have lost more than $1 billion.
As luck
or otherwise would have it, the primary loss on the ABACUS transactions appears
to have been borne by the essentially nationalized UK bank, RBS. The Financial
Times reported on Saturday, April 17, the following:
Royal Bank of
Scotland executives were on Friday night examining whether the bank had any
grounds for legal action against Goldman Sachs, after it emerged that it lost
more than $800m (520 million pounds sterling) as part of an allegedly
fraudulent transaction.
As part of the Securities & Exchange Commission's charges against Goldman,
the regulator said that RBS had paid Goldman $841m to unwind a position in
Abacus 2007-AC1, the Goldman-structured collateralized debt obligation at the
center of the SEC investigation.
The part-nationalized British bank had inherited the position as part of its
2007 acquisition of ABN Amro, the Dutch bank. The sum involved is small
compared with the ฃ45bn the government later pumped into RBS to keep it
alive. But the notion that the alleged fraud may have contributed to an
eventual taxpayer-backed rescue of RBS is likely to be politically sensitive.
“On or about August 7 2008, RBS unwound ABN's super senior position in Abacus
2007-AC1 by paying [Goldman] $840,909,090,” the complaint said. Most of this
money was subsequently paid by Goldman to Paulson, the hedge fund, the SEC
said.
In essence, wrong doing by Goldman Sachs may have
accelerated market concerns on the stability of RBS, essentially putting that
bank into the hands of an expensive bailout by the UK government. With an
impending election in the UK next month, it is highly likely that the issue
becomes highly politicized and goes back to shake the operations of US
investment banks such as Goldman Sachs from their hitherto profitable global
operations based out of London. The fact that European commercial banks bore
the brunt of losses on such CDOs could only add further fuel to the fire. The
crux of the SEC complaint is found in the following:
"The product was new and complex but the deception and conflicts are old and
simple," said Robert Khuzami, Director of the Division of Enforcement. "Goldman
wrongly permitted a client that was betting against the mortgage market to
heavily influence which mortgage securities to include in an investment
portfolio, while telling other investors that the securities were selected by
an independent, objective third party."
This isn't an idle matter of a single regulator making an allegation. In
Europe, financial regulators operate on the basis of principles rather than
rules, thereby widening the ambit of investigations and punitive actions; this
part of the SEC statement is likely to immediately attract the attention of
most regulators in Europe led by the Financial Supervisory Authority (FSA) of
the United Kingdom - one of the most powerful regulators in the world.
It isn't likely that the ABACUS deals are the only ones being reviewed nor that
Goldman Sachs is the only investment bank that is charged by the SEC or other
regulators as the following statement from the SEC on April 16 makes clear:
Kenneth Lench, chief of the SEC's Structured and New Products Unit, added, "The
SEC continues to investigate the practices of investment banks and others
involved in the securitization of complex financial products tied to the US
housing market as it was beginning to show signs of distress."
Magnetar trade
Interestingly, on April 9, a week before the SEC charges against Goldman Sachs
were filed, the website of Pro Publica (an "independent, non-profit newsroom
that produces investigative journalism in the public interest", according to
the blurb on its website, www.propublica.org) carried an important story that
was devoted to the uncovering of strategies employed by a hedge fund called
Magnetar, entitled "The Magnetar Trade: How One Hedge Fund Helped Keep the
Bubble Going". [2]
The article clearly reveals the details of the trade, similar in construction
to the ABACUS trades that have earned Goldman Sachs a filing from the SEC. The
article highlights:
... the Magnetar Trade worked this way: The hedge
fund bought the riskiest portion of a kind of securities known as
collateralized debt obligations - CDOs. If housing prices kept rising, this
would provide a solid return for many years. But that's not what hedge funds
are after. They want outsized gains, the sooner the better, and Magnetar set
itself up for a huge win: It placed bets that portions of its own deals would
fail.
Along the way, it did something to enhance the chances of that happening,
according to several people with direct knowledge of the deals. They say
Magnetar pressed to include riskier assets in their CDOs that would make the
investments more vulnerable to failure. The hedge fund acknowledges it bet
against its own deals but says the majority of its short positions, as they are
known on Wall Street, involved similar CDOs that it did not own.
In essence, this is the same strategy followed by ABACUS / Goldman Sachs /
Paulson. The "equity" portion, that is, the most risky portion of a CDO, would
have all the risks of homeowners defaulting. When home prices started stalling
in 2006 across the US and then started their gentle decline, it became apparent
to even the most staid investors that equity portions of CDOs were too risky to
be purchased due to the very real chance of investments being wiped out.
Thus, when specialist hedge funds emerged that purchased the equity portions,
it was almost too good to be true for other investors who wanted to own the
senior pieces - the so called triple A slices favored by regulators and bankers
globally - in these transactions. However, the people buying the equity
portions were being rather smart in collecting high income for their
investments which was then used to purchase insurance on the less risky
portions (triple As).
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