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     Jun 13, 2012


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The worm that turned on the US
By John Feffer

Also, if we attack infrastructure, civilians are at heightened risk. Knocking out centrifuges is one thing. But cyber-warriors could just as easily target the entire electricity grid. "You could argue that out of the gate cyber-war is going to be war crimes," says Marcus Ranum of Tenable Network Security.

"If you're talking taking out an electronic infrastructure preparatory to a ground attack, you're talking about shutting down their hospitals and shutting down their businesses, shutting down their stock exchange, shutting down their street lights, and screwing people's lives up. These are all contrary to the civilized laws of how wars are supposed to be fought."

The prospect of such attacks taking out US infrastructure has

 

prompted Richard Clarke, in his new book Cyber War, to propose a ban on cyber-attacks on civilian targets.

And, finally, the most frightening possibility is the worm that goes out of control. Stuxnet did some damage outside Iran but it was relatively tame as malware goes. But more serious stuff is now out there - see, for example, Flame - and who knows what's in the pipeline that could, like a cyber-smallpox, cause a major e-pandemic?

We are creating genetically engineered life forms. We are considering geo-engineering on a massive scale to avert global warming. And now we are inching closer to importing the MAD (mutually assured destruction) logic of nuclear weapons into cyber-space.

Remember: the Internet was originally a creation of DARPA (with a minor assist from Al Gore). Now DARPA, like Darth Vader, is attempting to reclaim its progeny and recruit it to the dark side. Where are the light sabers to fend it off?

The more things change
Perhaps the greatest fallout from the Stuxnet program is diplomatic. "This will certainly play into [Iran's] fears about what else is out there," a former intelligence official told The Washington Post. "It certainly won't make them eager to get back to the negotiating table."

And indeed, the latest round of negotiations with Iran has gone nowhere. "The chief reason for the failure of the talks was the unwillingness of the West to even consider what Iran has sought the most: scaling back existing sanctions and imposing a freeze on pending European Union (EU) and American sanctions against Iran's financial and energy sectors," writes Foreign Policy In Focus contributor Richard Heydarian in "Dashed Hopes for Baghdad Breakthrough".

"Unless the West is willing to negotiate concessions with regard to its punitive sanctions, the Iranians will continue to push the frontiers of enrichment, thus further raising the prospects for an armed confrontation."

The US Congress, meanwhile, is back to its same old tricks on the Middle East. "Earlier this month," writes FPIF senior analyst Stephen Zunes in "Bipartisan Assault on Middle East Peace", "the House of Representatives passed a dangerous piece of legislation [HR 4133] that would undermine the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, weaken Israeli moderates and peace advocates, undercut international law, further militarize the Middle East, and make Israel ever more dependent on the United States."

In Egypt, meanwhile, the first round of the presidential elections produced two frontrunners: a candidate from the Muslim Brotherhood and a candidate of the old regime. "The upcoming run-off is a contest between the remnants of the Mubarak regime and the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood, continuing a struggle now waged for more than 60 years," write FPIF contributors Bonnie Bricker and Adil Shamoo in "Egypt's Path Winds toward Democracy".

"The old regime is associated with a vast security apparatus and its dictatorial, corrupt, and abusive tactics, along with its concentration of wealth among a small number of well-connected and influential families. On the other side, the Muslim Brotherhood promotes social justice, using Islamic principles to guide governance. Under the Muslim Brotherhood, however, women and minority rights could be curtailed, and democratic principles may not be fully applied."

For a lively account of how Egypt got to where it is today, check out FPIF Pick of the week, The Journey to Tahrir, which FPIF contributor Melissa Moskowitz calls a "deep and meaningful portrait of the revolution that shocked the world".

Secrets and lies
Reporter David Axe recently found himself in a middle of a controversy when he reported the comments of Army Brigadier General Neil Tolley that US Special Forces were on the ground in North Korea gathering intelligence.

"Almost immediately, the Pentagon repudiated the story," writes FPIF contributor Tim Shorrock in Tall Tale about Special Forces in North Korea? "A spokesman for US Forces in Korea told Voice of America that Axe's quotes were 'made up'. A Pentagon flack later added that the general's comments 'were distorted [and] misreported.' Axe, who wrote a good-humored account of his experience on his blog, War is Boring, stuck to his story and asked the Pentagon for an apology."

It turns out that the general was speaking hypothetically. But the United States has certainly gone to great lengths to acquire human intelligence inside North Korea. "The United States has also relied on the information gathered by its ally, South Korea, from the network of spies that it ran in North Korea," I write in Spying on the North, a column for Hankyoreh newspaper.

"These bukpagongjakwon formed an elite army Intelligence Unit tasked with intelligence-gathering, infiltration, and even assassination. North Korea's incursions in South Korea are well-known: the attack on the Blue House in 1968, the submarine that ran aground in 1996, the numerous spies that have infiltrated South Korean society. But South Korea's missions have been no less extensive and audacious. One infamous group of ex-cons, trained on Shilmido to assassinate Kim Il-sung in the wake of the 1968 Blue House incursion, revolted against their guard-trainers and made their way to Seoul to petition the president. None survived, and the incident was suppressed."

On the topic of secrecy, the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) is continuing to meet in closed-door sessions. "Nine countries are currently negotiating the TPP: the United States, Australia, New Zealand, Chile, Peru, Brunei, Vietnam, Malaysia, and Singapore," writes FPIF contributor Arnie Saiki in Japan, Nuclear Energy and the TPP.

"Despite large protests at home against accession into the TPP negotiations, Japan, Canada and Mexico are also expected to join. Although the negotiations are being held in secret, leaked documents confirm that contrary to democratic practice, the documents connected to the negotiations will remain secret for four years after being signed or dismissed."

Deepening democracy
Many women leaders have come to the fore in Latin America: Laura Chinchilla in Costa Rica, Dilma Rousseff in Brazil, Cristina Fernandez in Argentina. "Currently, however, the presence of women in politics is more symbolic than anything else," writes FPIF guest columnist Erika Guevara-Rosas in Rocky Road to Gender Equality in Latin America.

"These new women leaders are not transforming their societies in fundamental ways. Indeed, the feminization of politics in the region has not yet translated into the incorporation of feminist and women's rights agendas, or even into improved conditions for the majority of women."

Rebecca McKinnon's new book Consent of the Networked documents the efforts of activists to use the Internet to get around government censorship. "New products like Tor, which enables users to upload and download without being traced, are becoming popular in places like China, Iran and Egypt," writes FPIF contributor Julia Heath in her review.

"Diaspora, Crabgrass, FreedomBox and StatusNet are decentralized social media platforms that provide users local control and anonymity, which makes them better suited for activists."

John Feffer is co-director of Foreign Policy In Focus at the Institute for Policy Studies.

(Posted with permission from Foreign Policy in Focus)

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