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Japan

Japan's farmers outstanding in their field
By Jamie Miyazaki

On Wednesday, trade ministers from146 nations will descend on the Mexican resort of Cancun to thrash out the pressing issues in international trade. Cancun represents the midpoint for the current World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha Round of trade talks, named after the Qatari capital where the current trade agenda was set. The objective? To formulate a comprehensive agreement covering all trade sectors by 2005.

Tokyo will be pushing a number of issues in Mexico. Alongside many developing nations, it will be looking to address the United States' protectionist abuse of anti-dumping legislation. It will also be lobbying for WTO guidelines on investment, competition, cross-border transportation and transparency in government contracting - the "Singapore Issues", named after a 1996 WTO ministerial summit. But undoubtedly the most important issue for Tokyo will be the liberalization of agricultural trade.

For many nations, agriculture is the barometer by which the Doha Round and Cancun's success or failure will be gauged. Agricultural markets represent probably the purest form of distorted trade practice at the behest of pernicious special-interest groups in existence. The developed world's agricultural markets lie hidden behind a morass of subsidies, tariffs and export subsidies and credits. The World Bank estimates that developed nations bail out their farmers to the tune of US$1 billion per day. And, although there are few saints in world trade, the European Union and Japan stand out as the two biggest sinners in agriculture.

In order to get the developing world to the table at Doha and Cancun, Japan, the EU and the US pledged to liberalize trade in priority areas such as agriculture, textiles and apparel. Unfortunately, every deadline for an agreement on liberalizing these areas under the Doha Round has been missed. As it stood, the Cancun talks looked dead before they had even begun.

Last month's much-trumpeted US-EU compromise on agricultural liberalization signaled that the talks might yet have some life. The compromise proposed a maximum ceiling on agricultural tariffs and an expansion of low-tariff import quotas on products for products whose tariffs are above the ceiling. While the US-EU compromise was condemned by agricultural-exporting nations, Japan cautiously welcomed the proposal but voiced its strong opposition to tariff ceilings. Agricultural Minister Yoshiyuki Kamei signaled he had no intention of joining talks to liberalize rice markets, instead suggesting that countries should be allowed to continue imposing high tariffs on certain products and offset this by increasing imports of others.

Tokyo's opposition to tariff ceilings stems from the highly protected nature of its agriculture sector and the political clout of the agricultural lobby. The US media have made much of EU cows receiving $2.50 a day in subsidies while billions in Africa survive on less, but this pales next to the $7.50 per day Japanese cattle receive. Total support for Japanese rice producers equals 700 percent of production costs. Moreover, beef and rice are not unique in the protection they receive - wheat, barley, sugar beet, peanuts, dairy products and pork are all heavily sheltered.

Like the EU, Japan defends its punitive tariff policy on agriculture's "multifunctionality". This argues that agriculture is not an economic sector in the traditional sense because it provides certain public services. According to Japan's Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF), these "values are not tradable and cannot be reflected in their market price", like "the preservation of the natural environment", "development of natural landscapes", therefore "agriculture cannot be sufficiently managed by market mechanism [sic] alone". With the lowest level of agricultural self-sufficiency in the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Japan additionally justifies its policy on food-security grounds, stating that "the supply and demand of food in the world [tend] to be unstable due to the special features of agricultural trade".

However, these arguments are disingenuous. If the objective of agricultural price support were land stewardship, then this would be more economically met by paying directly for these services rather than via the roundabout mechanism of subsidizing farmers. After all, current agricultural policies in both Europe and Japan also do environmental damage as well as good.

In terms of supporting rural life, production-linked subsidies are actually the least effective means of doing this. Most of the economic "benefits" of price support are soaked up by agricultural produce distributors and suppliers rather than producers themselves. Payments not linked to production are far more effective at raising rural incomes. However, this may be a moot point in Japan, where the average farmer's income is higher than the average household's.

As for food security, nearly all open markets are open to price fluctuations. The price of semiconductors can be highly volatile, but this hasn't resulted in nations rushing to build and protect their own semiconductor industries on the grounds of "semiconductor security".

One of the aggravating factors in Japan's low level of agricultural self-sufficiency is the inefficiency of its farmers. US-instigated land reforms after World War II in effect banned corporations from agriculture and favored small producers, inhibiting Japanese agriculture from realizing economies of scale. A legal revision of current anachronistic farming and land laws would allow consolidation and drive prices down.

The MAFF needs to look clearly at its underlying objectives in affording farmers such heavy protectionism. Preservation of rural incomes, maintenance of certain rural "public services" and food security could all be met far more efficiently and economically than under the current regime.

In return for their fiscal largesse, Japanese taxpayers have the privilege of paying exceptionally high prices for rice and other foodstuffs - disproportionately hitting the poor. Moreover, by locking up excess labor and capital in the agricultural sector, productivity growth is inhibited, preventing shifts in employment and investment to more productive areas of the economy. Every quota, tariff and subsidy received by agriculture strengthens the agricultural lobby further and further crystallizes its dependence on protectionism.

This reliance on protectionist agricultural policies has stymied any number of free trade agreements (FTAs) between Japan and other nations. It is telling that Japan's main FTA is with the city-state of Singapore, and a proposed FTA with South Korea is only really possible because that country is one of the few where subsidies and tariffs represent a higher percentage of gross farm output than in Japan.

Such intransigence on agricultural issues may well cost Tokyo dear at Cancun. The EU and Japan's jointly coordinated mercantilist policy of maintaining trade barriers to their agricultural markets in the face of developing world opposition could well scupper any chance of passing their cherished aim of securing WTO legislation on the "Singapore issues" and undercut their case for challenging US use of anti-dumping laws. Not only would this be a major blow, if not a death knell, to the Doha Round, it would also represent a huge setback for free trade globally.

Given the colossal task at hand and the dynamics of negotiating an agreement among 146 nations, any agreement from Cancun will be a very long-drawn-out affair - assuming anything gets decided at all.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Sep 10, 2003



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