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Japan-US: Baseball, taxes and an alliance
By Richard Hanson

TOKYO - Loony as it may sound, 150 years of official relations between the United States and Japan, starting with the 1858 Treaty of Amity and Commerce signed in Yokokama, might well be summed up by two constants in the lives of the world's two most powerful economies: Baseball and taxes.

What is also afoot, say astute observers of the two nations, is a seachange in how Japan is beginning to view itself after a prolonged period of economic and political drift in its domestic affairs. What is emerging, reluctantly perhaps, is a heretofore unfurled sense that Japan and its major alliance partner, the US, are growing perceptibly closer in perceiving each other's vital national interests.

US Ambassador Howard Baker dubbed the alliance "The Best Team", which is the title of an essay that he wrote for the website of Japan's ambitious (and so far politically unbeatable) Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi in honor of the festivities that accompanied the anniversary of the Treaty of Amity in the Port of Yokohama to the west on Tokyo Bay on Wednesday.

"We increasingly eat the same food, listen to the same music, and wear the same fashions," said Baker.

Among press pundits, the buzzword is that Japan is currently in the midst of a "Japan surpassing" phase, a term coined by American Ralph Cossa, president of the Pacific Forum Center for Strategic and International Studies, a non-profit organization based in Hawaii. The phrase itself is a play on a series of other descriptions that have been applied to Japan's ups and downs in the world's view over the past couple of decades. Almost all of these descriptions reflect the powerful grip that the US has on Japan's perception of itself.

Tokyo trade surplus led to US Japan bashing
During the trade surplus, or unfair trade era, the trend was toward "Japan bashing" in the eyes of those who saw Japan as a threat to America's interests when it faced economic hard times. During what some called the lost 1990s, after Japan's financial and property bubble collapsed, Japan receded into the shadows of its former self. This produced the term "Japan passing".

The Asahi Shimbun's news commentator, Yoichi Funabashi, recently documented the phase after "Japan passing" (Japan surpassing), which some say would be more appropriately called "Japan nothing". Mind you, these terms describe changes in attitudes by the US.

Despite objections, Funabashi says the term "Japan surpassing" fits. In other words, "Japan is transforming itself into a reliable ally that far surpasses US expectations," Funabashi writes. The key here is that Japan remains a nation to be defined by perceptions formed from outside of the country, which is a rather clever way of avoiding clear definitions that translate into the Japanese language itself. It is also a convenient way of taking stock of what the world really thinks about what others perceive. That, in turn, makes it easier to formulate a genuine agenda for change.

Case in point is the Treat of Amity itself. It was negotiated in such a way that Japan was able to assess the full danger of the threat posed by the Western powers, which had been slicing up its mentor China.

Negotiations leading to the 1858 Treaty of Amity and Commerce began two years earlier when the US government sent a fleet with powerful "Black Ships" to force the Tokugawa Shogun's regime to open Japan to foreigners. The other major European powers of the day soon negotiated their own treaties with the badly weakened Shogunate, which would fall in 1868, ushering in the era known as Meiji and facilitating the modernization of Japan into an industrial and military power.

Money, ideas, leadership, personnel = success
The arguments for "Japan surpassing" are easy to discern. Money, ideas, leadership and personnel are the keys to success, says Funabashi.

Other signs of a changing Japan have been listed, starting with a willingness on the part of the government of Prime Minister Koizumi to stand up to external pressure, including pressure from the US. In more concrete terms, however, Japan has shown itself willing to participate in the dangerous relationship of being an ally of the US by sending troops to Iraq.

Funabashi ticks off the following points as being factors behind this change:

  • Prime Minister Koizumi's leadership, and the relationship of trust he has developed with US President George W Bush.
  • The Persian Gulf War, which filled Japan a sense of humiliation and taught it a lesson.
  • The North Korean threat and China's rise also shook Japan. And based on these circumstances, the Japanese people have developed a stronger determination to defend their country and recognize the importance of the Japan-US alliance.

    The questions about Japan's military and security resolve, however, are thorny ones. The obvious question is how would Japan react if its Self-Defense Forces in Iraq are attacked and killed by terrorists? Another is what would happen if Japan were attacked by terrorists, producing the same carnage that resulted from the bombings in Madrid?

    Focus on baseball, not bombs
    The answers do not come easily. That is why Japan is focusing on the opening of the baseball season. Here is that peculiar national sport imported from the US not too long after it was invented. Japanese and American fans all hailed the opening of the battles among trans-Pacific teams, whose greatest starting players have been commingling at Major League heights. Who could imagine the world's current baseball idol, Hideki Matsui, the rookie hero of the New York Yankees, returning to his home field "Tokyo Dome" to trounce his old Yomiuri Giants team mates?

    Meanwhile, late last year, the government's of the US and Japan ratified the most important bilateral tax treaty in three decades. The document slashes tax barriers to trade and promises to stimulate economic growth. Japan's major trading partners in Asia watched the delicate negotiations, hammered into an agreement last November, with a mix of anticipation and anxiety.

    Japan makes no bones about its intention to use the tax treaty as a model for the tax segments in negotiating free-trade agreements (FTAs) just getting underway, with Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand, along with neighboring South Korea.

    At the heart of the US-Japan tax agreement is a drive to slash taxes for international business. Japanese business, as massive investors in the region, will be pushing for tax relief. The US will be cheering them on.

    Just how these allies will fare is yet to be seen. But, as the say in the game, play ball. (Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


  • Apr 1, 2004



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