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Japan

Koizumi to visit Kim on kidnapped kin
By Richard Hanson

TOKYO - Japan's beleaguered, buoyed by good ratings - and wily - prime minister, Junichiro Koizumi, reached into his bag of statesman-like tricks Friday to announce his second visit to North Korea, a one-day affair scheduled for May 22.

Ostensibly, the quick flight next Saturday from Tokyo to Pyongyang, North Korea's capital, is to meet Korea's dynastic leader Kim Jong-il to discuss the release of Japanese citizens who were kidnapped by North Korean agents. Some still have close kin in Japan. Thirteen Japanese are believed to have been abducted over a period of 25 years, and at least five are believed to be still alive.

Five of abductees returned to Japan in 2002, without their families, in the brief afterglow of Koizumi's historic trip first trip to North Korea in September that year, an attempt to start talks on normalizing relations between the neighboring states. They later returned to North Korea and their families, who were not allowed to visit Japan with them.

They are believed to have been kidnapped in order to help North Korean agents learn the Japanese language, idioms and customs.

North Korea is still largely isolated, desperately poor and short of food. In April, a huge, deadly train explosion in a city close to the northern border with China revealed glimpses of just how tough life is in the "workers' paradise".

But this time Koizumi's trip is taking on other domestic political aspects. It also represents a chance to jump-start negotiations on a range of critical issues, including North Korea's nuclear weapons programs. This week in Beijing, working-level sessions of the "six-party" talks(involving both Koreas, China, Japan, Russia and the US) are under way. The aim is to prepare the ground for high-level talks before the end of June on persuading North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons programs.

Japan's newly appointed chief cabinet secretary, Hiroyuki Hosoda, said after Koizumi's visit was announced that the talks on the abduction issue will been be a major topic. Tokyo refuses to move to normalization of relations with North Korea before resolving the abduction issue, along with North Korea's nuclear and missile production programs. All official bilateral talks were put on hold until earlier this year because of the abduction issue.

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner, the New Komeito, passed legislation in the national Diet, or parliament, that authorizes sanctions against the North for human rights violations.

In the forthcoming summit meeting in North Korea, the two countries may be able to produce a document that follows up on the so-called "Pyongyang Declaration" signed by Koizumi and Kim Jong-il in September 2002. That was an agreement to attempt to normalize relations.

Relations froze solid after North Korea revealed to a US government official that Pyongyang violated a 1994 nuclear power plant accord by continuing to work on a nuclear weapons program. That raised tensions in the region to the highest levels in recent memory.

That in turn stiffened Koizumi's resolve to maintain and strengthen Japan's military and diplomatic relations with what has long been the most important bilateral economic and security relationship. The Japanese public, with the onset of war in Iraq, mostly supported Koizumi in his backing of US President George W Bush's increasingly troubled war in the Middle East. Late last year, Japan began sending units amounting to several hundred troops of its Self-Defense Forces to Iraq on what are defined as "humanitarian" missions. Japan's war-renouncing constitution prohibits the deployment of combat troops.

Meanwhile, Koizumi faces a new onslaught of domestic political problems. So far, Koizumi has remained remarkably popular among the voting public. According to recent polls, Koizumi draws over 50 percent support ratings. That has been comforting. He is leading the LDP in a crucial election for the Upper House of parliament on July 12.

In the past week or so, however, a wave of criticism has built up against virtually all national politicians - of all parties - over lawmakers in the national Diet who have failed to pay their mandatory premiums for their national pension plans. This comes at a time when the government is trying to push through national legislation - deeply unpopular - to rationalize the chaotic pension system and require citizens to pay more for fewer benefits. Whether there is enough money in the system is an increasing problem as the nation ages and the workforce shrinks. Scofflaws - at least seven in the prime minister's own cabinet and the head of the main opposition party - don't raise the public's perception of politicians.

One week ago, Koizumi's influential, long-serving chief cabinet secretary Yasuo Fukuda shocked the political world by quitting his job for not paying the pension premiums.

A day later, Naoto Kan, the leader of the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan found that he, too, had not paid in and promised to step down. On Friday, a former LDP kingmaker, Ichiro Ozawa, accepted the appointment of the opposition party as its chief. That was probably the easiest takeover of a political party in Japan's postwar political history. Ozawa had been running a small liberal gathering called the Liberal Party since he failed in 1993 to destroy his own Liberal Democratic Party.

Koizumi has several motives for going to North Korea at this juncture in Japan's messy political problems. But it will no doubt help his own image if he can walk away from a meeting with North Korea's leader with a entourage of young children and other family members waiting to be reunited in Japan.

There is a high level of risk involved in this venture. Within minutes of the Japanese press announcing Koizumi's trip to Pyongyang, television and news agencies were trumpeting reports that Koizumi himself - who has a reputation for being squeaky clean - had not paid his own obligatory pension money many years ago. The report could not be immediately confirmed.

That is how the past comes back to haunt politicians during an election year.

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May 15, 2004




Tale of two US allies: Koizumi and Blair (May 13, '04)

Pension scandal leaves opposition adrift (May 12, '04)

Chernobyl effect and North Korea
(Apr 30, '04)

N Korea: Japan prepares sanctions noose
(Feb 6, '04) 

Japanese right manipulates abduction issue (Jan 15, '04)
 


   
         
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