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    Japan
     Mar 23, 2005
SPEAKING FREELY
Japan the spoiler in Northeast Asia
By Zhiqun Zhu

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

Since North Korea's high-profile announcement on February 10 that it had nuclear weapons and that it had decided to withdraw indefinitely from the six-party talks, the North Korean nuclear issue has been stuck in a stalemate. Perhaps one should never have had high expectations for these talks in the first place, since each member entered the past rounds of meetings with its own considerations, though all agreed in principle that the Korean Peninsula should be nuclear-free. To some extent, the six-party talks were a union of convenience, not minds.

As the host, China has been praised by many for its efforts to convene these meetings. But China also is vulnerable to accusations of not being firm enough and even "too soft" toward North Korea for its unwillingness to impose economic sanctions - or to join the United States and other nations in possible United Nations-sponsored sanctions - to force Pyongyang to the negotiation table again.

While it is generally believed that China is the indispensable player in solving the North Korean nuclear problem, little attention has been paid to the unhelpful role Japan has been playing recently while the US and China have been working together to jump-start the stalled six-party talks. North Korea announced that it was suspending participation in the talks until certain conditions were met - it said the US must stop meddling in its affairs and stop insulting the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK).

Simply put, recent Japanese moves have soured its relations with China, South Korea and Russia, unnecessarily creating obstacles for friendly cooperation among these countries aimed at forming an effective united front to address the North Korean nuclear issue.

  • First, Japan has angered China since late last year. In December, the Japanese government issued a 10-year defense program that openly identified China as a potential threat. In February, for the first time, Japan and the United States explicitly agreed that the Taiwan Strait was a "common strategic concern". By involving itself directly in the cross-Taiwan Strait dispute, Japan is perceived by many in China as a country intending to interfere in China’s "internal affairs". The Sino-Japanese rift was made wider by Japan's sudden but premeditated announcement on February 9, the first day of the Chinese Spring Festival, that the Japanese Coast Guard would officially take control of the disputed Senkaku Islands (Diaoyu in Chinese). In addition, Japan has become the only major country in the world that has joined the United States in opposing the European Union's plan to end arms embargoes against China that were imposed 16 years ago after the Tiananmen massacre of unarmed pro-democracy protesters. Japan's quick, critical comments on China's Anti-Secession Law immediately after its adoption on March 14 also have irked leaders in Beijing.
  • Second, Japan has infuriated South Korea over the past few weeks. With the remarks by its ambassador to Seoul, Takano Toshiyuki, that Japan has sovereignty over the Takeshima islets (Dokdo or Tokdo in Korean) to the Shimane Prefectural Council’s designation of February 22 as "Takeshima Day", Japan stirred up anti-Japanese sentiment again in Korea.

    Worse yet, a revised textbook, edited by the Japanese Society for History Textbook Reform, distorted Japan's colonial past, such as its colonial rule of the Korean Peninsula from 1910-45. The book, first published in 2001 by the Fuso Publishing Co, had already sparked anger in various Asian countries, including China and South Korea. The new edition of the textbook continues to whitewash Japan’s wartime crimes in Asia. The year 2005 is supposed to be the Japan-Korea Friendship Year. Because of recent developments, however, the political and diplomatic atmosphere conducive to such festivities has evaporated. Most noticeably, South Korean Foreign Minister Ban Ki-Moon's planned trip to Tokyo this month to coordinate policies on North Korea has been canceled.
  • Third, Japan-Russia relations remain lukewarm. The deadlock over the future and sovereignty of the Northern Territories or Kurils - the chain of four contested islands occupied by the Soviet Union at the end of World War II - has delayed President Vladimir Putin's visit to Japan planned for early this year. The visit and a proposed peace treaty are up in the air as a result of Japan's inflexibility on the territorial dispute.

    History haunts relations in Northeast Asia. Japan's recent unwise and unnecessary moves have severely damaged its relations with three major neighbors and partners in the six-party disarmament talks, making a concerted effort to end the North Korean nuclear crisis increasingly difficult. North Korea's nuclear announcement in February should have tied all five of the other participants in the talks together. Instead, Japan's recent distractive behaviors have stoked the flames of nationalism and deepened the long-standing disagreements among Northeast Asian powers. That Japan has complicated the political atmosphere for multilateral talks on North Korea's nuclear issue is unfortunate for Japan, the United States and the region. The international efforts to build regional consensus to compel North Korea to dismantle its nuclear programs will be severely and adversely affected.

    To ease the tensions Tokyo has created with its neighbors, Japan needs to take several steps immediately.
  • First, Japan must undertake some damage control to prevent relations with its three most important neighbors from continuing to deteriorate. The Japanese government is to decide next month whether the above-mentioned textbook should be used in the next academic year from April 2006. For the purpose of improving relations with South Korea and China, the Japanese government should resolutely disapprove the adoption of this textbook.
  • Second, Japan, through its close ties with the US, can play a unique role of bridging the gap between the hawkish United States and more moderate South Korea, China and Russia in dealing with North Korea. If all other parties prefer a restrained approach, the US is more likely to modify its high-handed and inflexible policy toward North Korea. By standing too closely with the United States, Japan might be unintentionally encouraging hardliners in the administration of US President George W Bush and running the risk of splitting members of the six-party talks into opposing camps.
  • Third, in a longer term, Japan must address its historical disputes with its neighbors seriously. It may be convenient for Japan to blame China and South Korea for playing the nationalism card, but Japan must reflect upon its policies and ask itself why Germany's neighbors can largely forgive Germany’s wartime atrocities and move forward. Despite strong opposition from Japan's neighbors, Japanese leaders continue to pay visits to the Yasukuni Shrine, where 14 Class A World War II war criminals are honored along with millions of war dead.

    Nobody is telling the Japanese government and the Japanese people that they cannot pay tribute to those who died in war; but to revere universally acknowledged war criminals in the shrine is a totally different act. A compromise will have to be made, for example, to remove those war criminals from the memorial so that Japanese leaders may continue to visit the Yasukuni Shrine if they wish, while those in the Japanese public who refuse to admit Japan's wartime wrongdoings may worship their "heroes" elsewhere.

    Japan’s territorial and historical disputes with Korea, China and Russia reflect the enormous difficulties Japan faces today as it struggles to find its place in international politics of the 21st century. The rise of twin powers in Asia - China and India - has made Japan deeply uncomfortable. Japan is caught between two sets of great-power relations in Asia: the United States and China, and China and India. The challenge for Japan is to help these powers steer their relations smoothly. By clearly taking sides, Japan is doomed to a political abyss in Asian politics.

    Since the end of World War II, the Japanese people have expressed strong hope for Japan to become a "normal country" that is less dependent on the United States. This "normal country" should have its own foreign policy and cultivate friendly relations with its neighbors. Japan must make concrete efforts and express sincere willingness to improve relations with countries in Asia, especially its neighbors, before its ambitious objectives such as obtaining a permanent seat at the United Nations Security Council and playing a significant and constructive role on the world stage can be realized, and supported by its neighbors. The Chinese have a saying, "Close neighbors are dearer than distant relatives."

    With sour diplomatic relations between Japan and three major countries in Northeast Asia, and with only a discomfited Japan still firmly behind the United States, perhaps it is time for an increasingly impatient and frustrated Bush administration to explore other ways of dealing with North Korea. As the future of the once-touted six-party talks is far from certain, and the multilateral framework may even be falling apart due to recent negative developments in Northeast Asia, a face-to-fact talk between the United States and Kim Jong-Il's regime to address the nuclear issue directly will become a necessity.

    While not giving up the current six-party-talks mechanism, the United States must, as South Korea and China have urged, be more flexible and should not simply rule out direct negotiations with North Korea as an option and an additional channel to break the impasse.

    Zhiqun Zhu, PhD, is assistant professor of international political economy and diplomacy at the International College of the University of Bridgeport, Connecticut. He has researched and written extensively on US-Asian relations and East Asian politics.

    (Copyright 2005 Zhiqun Zhu.)

    Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

  • Japan-South Korea ties on the rocks
    (Mar 23, '05)

    North Korea: Fortune will favor the bold
    (Mar 12, '05)

    Roh reopens Japan's war wounds (Mar 10, '05)

    Tortuous tangles over Japanese textbooks
    (Oct 25, '04)

    Time the best healer, except in North Asia
    (Oct 6, '04)

     
     

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