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    Japan
     Apr 27, 2007
Page 3 of 3
A dry run for a Japan-US FTA
By Hisane Masaki

export to the US to take advantage of the US-Korea FTA, some analysts say.

Fujio Mitarai, chairman of the Japan Business Federation (Keidanren), Japan's most powerful business lobby, said that the US-South Korea FTA made Japan realize once again that the world has ''rushed into competition to form a network of bilateral



accords. Japan cannot be allowed to fall behind,'' said Mitarai, who is also Canon Inc chairman.

Since last November, Keidanren has called for a Japan-US FTA, saying it would strengthen bilateral economic ties and reinforce the foundation for economic development of East Asia. But both Tokyo and Washington remain reluctant to open FTA negotiations, at least any time soon.

Immediately after the US-South Korea FTA was reached early this month, Abe said Japan must study a Japan-US FTA as a future subject, without giving a specific time frame. Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Akira Amari said it will be difficult for Japan to enter talks with the US, a big farming nation, unless it draws a successful conclusion from negotiations with Australia over the politically sensitive agricultural area.

''Issues of concern between Japan and the US are larger than those between Japan and Australia," Amari said. "Without using wisdom to be gained from a breakthrough in talks with Australia, I think it will be difficult to win understanding from the public.''

Administrative Vice Foreign Minister Shotaro Yachi also said, "There won't be immediate negotiations [with the US], but there is a need to study the issue." Yachi also said he was concerned that the Doha Round of trade-liberalization negotiations would suffer a setback if Japan and the US, which together account for nearly 40% of the global economy, were to complete an FTA.

Meanwhile, assistant US trade representative Wendy Cutler said recently that her country is reluctant to negotiate with Japan unless it opens up its tightly shut agriculture sector.

Rice is the most politically sensitive item in both Japan and South Korea. The US-Korea FTA is the largest Washington has signed since NAFTA, but like Japan's FTA with Thailand, a major rice producer, the US-Korea FTA did not include rice after Seoul objected to opening up its market.

But Cutler said that although Washington agreed to exclude rice from the deal with South Korea, it will not offer a similar concession to Japan. "Clearly the agriculture sector provides an obstacle to entering into such negotiations with Japan because to date, Japan, unlike Korea, has been - let's be honest - unwilling to put its agriculture sector on the table and negotiate concrete market-opening provisions," she said.

Hiroko Ota, the Japanese minister for economic and fiscal policy, seems positive about an FTA with the US. She said the Abe government will study the pros and cons. "We need to study advantages and problems [of an FTA with the US] from a viewpoint of the entire people's interests."

Concluding FTAs is considered to be the best avenue to cashing in on rapid economic growth in other Asian economies, a main pillar of Abe's growth strategy. But many experts point out that Japan needs to reform its heavily protected agricultural market - which has been left largely untouched despite former prime minister Junichiro Koizumi's reform drive.

Japanese proponents of an FTA with the US agree that Japan should begin talks about such a pact while ensuring competitiveness in the domestic farm sector through such steps as expanding the scale of operation by farmers and letting joint-stock companies enter the agricultural business to raise productivity and create high-value-added products. Belatedly, the Japanese government has actually begun to take such measures to increase the farm industry's competitiveness. But many critics say that so far, these measures are far from sufficient.

Both Japan and the US already have relatively low tariffs on manufactured goods. Any deal between them would probably cover not only elimination of tariff measures and liberalization of investment and services trade but a much wider range of areas, including harmonization of competition and other policies. Otherwise, the merits of concluding such a pact through what would very likely be raucous and hectic negotiations might not be fully realized by many on both sides of the Pacific.

Hisane Masaki is a Tokyo-based journalist, commentator and scholar on international politics and economy. Masaki's e-mail address is yiu45535@nifty.com.

(Copyright 2007 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

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