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    Japan
     Jul 15, 2011


Tsunami erodes Japanese 'superiority'
By Christopher Johnson

OTSUCHI, Japan - To propagate the notion that Japanese are innately superior to less wealthy Asian nations, many nationalists and Japanophiles point to the tsunami disaster zone.

As terrible as it was on March 11, Japan's National Police Agency has confirmed 20,889 people as dead or missing (as of July 13) after the 9.0 magnitude quake and tsunami. That figure is about one-tenth the estimated death toll of 220,000 across the Indian Ocean after an earthquake of similar size off Sumatra, Indonesia on December 26, 2004.

But many victims and observers have strong reasons to question the official death toll, Japan's disaster preparations, and the basic assumptions behind the popular version of events after 2:46 pm on March 11.

As horrific TV images emerged on and after that day, many

 
observers noted that Japan, the world's most quake-prone country, was at least well-prepared for disasters. Many officials also noted the 9.0 quake's relative lack of damage to infrastructure proved that quake preparations made after the Kobe earthquake in 1995 were working.

The problem, however, was that the Japanese state was preparing for earthquakes, not tsunamis, even though historians figure that at least 195 tsunamis have hit Japan since 400 AD, including three recent killers - off Akita in 1983, Okushiri near Hokkaido in 1993, and this winter in Tohoku. Tsunamis devastated roughly the same areas of Tohoku in 1896 and 1933, and many times before as well.

On Sunday, officials of the Cabinet Office revealed that at least 21 communities that had moved to higher grounds after past disasters were once again swamped by tsunami waves on March 11, which often reached 15 meters in height and encroached several kilometers inland.

Yoshiaki Kawata, a Kansai University professor who heads the government's Central Disaster Prevention Council, said most of the relocated towns were only 10 meters above sea level - too low for the massive waves of March 11, according to Kyodo news.

A Kyodo News survey in the weeks after the disaster also revealed more than 100 cases where surging seawaters wiped out government-designated evacuation shelters, often packed with people who believed official assurances that they would be safe there.

At one elementary school in Higashi-Matsushima city in Miyagi prefecture, school officials, who were following official procedures instead of their instincts, marched residents into a school gym - which was eventually turned into a killing zone - instead of up a hill behind the school. Many school officials made similar decisions across the tsunami zone, with tragic results.

Despite these reports, most media in Japan are instead focusing instead on the government's reaction to the nuclear crisis. Many tsunami survivors, however, are calling for public inquiries into what happened in the tsunami zones.

In the hardest-hit town of Otsuchi in Iwate prefecture, the numbers don't add up. According to the last national census in October 2010, Otsuchi, located in a narrow valley between high mountains, had 15,277 residents. More than three months after the disaster, local officials in Otsuchi could only verify the whereabouts of 6,466 survivors: 1,969 people in 34 shelters, and 4,497 staying in homes on higher ground around the edges of the obliteration zone.

Does that mean almost 9,000 people, more than half the town, died on March 11?

Officials say they aren't sure. They had counted 771 dead bodies, enough to fill 14 pages of a death list displayed at evacuation centers. Survivors had also filled out forms to officially report 952 people as missing.

But what about the other 7,000 people, neither listed as dead, missing or living? "We don't know anything about where these people are," said Manabu Kikuchi, a local administrator from nearby Kamaishi city who has come to Otsuchi to temporarily work in the place of 31 officials who died at their posts on March 11. "Maybe they went away from here, to stay with families in Morioka or perhaps Tokyo. Or maybe they are missing and dead. We want to know where they are. We still have to keep searching for them."

In some cases, he says, whole families were swept away, leaving nobody to report them as missing. Japan also has a high proportion of people, especially seniors, who live alone without many friends or relatives.

Kikuchi says the national police agency, which alone has the authority to tabulate the official nationwide death toll, can only report what they know for sure, rather than making rough estimates. They are very precise, he says. The death list in Otsuchi shows numbers for recovered bodies identified and not identified, due to disfiguration.

The tsunami was highest in Iwate prefecture, completely obliterating most of Otsuchi, Yamata, Rikuzen-Takata and other towns. But Iwate's official toll of 4,588 dead and 2,237 missing is roughly half that of Miyagi province's toll, according to the National Police Agency's website. The site lists only 186 injured in Iwate, compared with 3,777 in Miyagi - a glaring discrepancy.

Exhausted government officials, who lost family members and co-workers in many cases, say their initial priority has been to take care of the living, rather than investigating the true number of dead. Only a new nationwide census can determine the final death toll, they say.

Local officials in Otsuchi, however, say they would like to know exactly who is alive or dead. They need this information to prepare a voter's registration list in order to conduct an election to replace the town's mayor and 31 officials who were killed in the town hall, a two-storey building swamped by 15-meter high waves on March 11.

"Perhaps a normal city hall could count the numbers of dead and living," says Susumu Fujiwara, 35, a soccer coach and high school teacher of economics, politics and world history. "In our case in Otsuchi, there's no data. All the records were washed away, so we can't count."

The New York Times reported in May that Otsuchi's chamber of commerce could only contact 114 out of about 400 members. Japanese journalists, and aid workers, arriving in Otsuchi immediately after the tsunami, initially estimated that perhaps 10,000 were dead or missing in Otsuchi, and also in other devastated towns such as Rikuzen-Takata and Minami-Sanriku. They based their estimates on the relatively small numbers of survivors in evacuation shelters, and the obliteration of nearly every residential or commercial building in densely-populated areas.

Takaaki Goto, 74, a city councilor in Otsuchi and respected former geography teacher and soccer coach, estimates the real figure may be about three times the official toll.

"There are many people who had no families, so nobody was left to report them as missing," he says, sitting at a desk near his space on the floor of a local gym. "There are also families who were all swept away together, and there's nobody left to report them as well."

He says it's possible that, as Kikuchi suggests, some people left to stay with relatives, and didn't tell the authorities where they are. But he says it's also highly likely that many people ignored warnings or couldn't escape in time. "I think the government should tell us more quickly the real story of what happened here."

Tokyo-based journalist Christopher Johnson (www.globalite.posterous.com) is author of Siamese Dreams and Kobe Blue

(Copyright 2011 Asia Times Online (Holdings) Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)


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