Korea

A curious tour of South Korea
By Jaewoo Choo

SEOUL - While the leaders of the Asia-Pacific states were prodding each other toward a consensus on a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula, a North Korean economic delegation was touring South Korea. What is ironic is that both events began on the same date, October 26. Why?

Furthermore, the president of South Korea was out of the country, and the Pyongyang delegation was supposedly there in accordance with the joint declaration of the historic inter-Korean summit in June 2000, as explained in its arrival statement at Incheon Airport.

More food for thought regarding the timing of the visit was that it happened soon after Pyongyang's confession that it is developing  nuclear weapons. It also occurred just 50 days before South Korea's presidential election; what does this tell us, if we keep in mind the North's involvement in more or less indirect ways in previous election campaigns?

Finally, the delegation included a relative of Kim Jong-il, the leader of North Korea.

Can we relate all these considerations to draw some meaning from the visit and its timing?

After the revelation of the North's nuclear program, the issue naturally became a priority at this year's Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit. At bilateral, trilateral and multilateral levels, the leaders worked hard at their respective meetings to build common ground on the issue, but failed to come up with any kind of specific means and measures, as usual. Also as usual, China's President Jiang Zemin would not say a word about China's possible role in resolving the matter. Likewise, US President George W Bush kept pushing his unilateral demands that North Korea first halt its nuclear program and then talk - the same old tactic that has been used for so long that it now sounds like mere diplomatic rhetoric. And as usual, Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi  failed to come up with any specific ideas at the summit, despite the diplomatic normalization talks scheduled for three days later.

South Korean President Kim Dae-jung went to the 10th APEC summit in Mexico with much confusion on the issue, and left with no less confusion but only concern about the South's treatment of the North's economic delegation in his absence. Prior to his departure to Los Cabos, Kim was briefed on the North's alleged confession to having an enriched-uranium nuclear program. After much heated discussion both inside and outside the presidential Blue House on how, why, and by whom the confession was made, he went to see his APEC colleagues literally empty-handed, as reflected in his satisfaction with the reading of a joint statement. The statement was seen as putting the ball in North Korea's court, implying that if the North wishes to receive the economic assistance agreed to by the APEC nations, it must halt all nuclear-weapons programs. Nonetheless, no concrete discussions regarding the types or forms of the announced assistance to the North took place.

Meanwhile, the North's economic delegation, which is due to leave on Sunday, has been having quite a trip in the South. On the face of it, their tour schedule does not seem out of the ordinary; it has ranged from amusement parks to cookie factories, from high-tech industrial complexes to conventional marketplaces, from research institutions to bullet trains. All these activities may not seem a cause for concern, unless we look at the timing of the visit and the members of the delegation.

The tour was scheduled with prior knowledge of the absence of Kim Dae-jung. The president's participation in the APEC forum was confirmed long before. Despite his absence, the delegation includes key official members. On the surface, at least, the delegation is headed by Pak Nam-ki, chairman of the North's State Planning Commission. He was the man behind the so-called July Reform, an attempt to move wages and prices from a workers'-paradise near-zero level to something more closely aligned with market levels.

What we are missing in this economic delegation picture is some explanation for why and how some high-ranking officials were included. Among the notables are Jang Song-taek, the first deputy chief of organization leadership and the Worker's Party Central Committee, and Kim Hi-taek, the first deputy chief of the Workers' Party Central Committee. Since then prime minister Yon Hyung-mok's visit in 1992, they are regarded as the highest-ranking party officials to visit South Korea. Not merely for his brother-in-law relationship with Kim Jong-il, Jang is an influential figure in the North's political hierarchy. So is Kim Hi-taek, in terms of control over the party's organization and apparatus.

Nevertheless, Jang and Kim have kept very low profiles. While doing so they have thoroughly examined the economic capacity of South Korea from manufacturing to high-tech industries as well as the social and living conditions of the South Koreans.

Their activities have many political implications. They could not possibly have been in a better place than in South Korea's own court to survey the upcoming presidential election and other related issues. When they return to their homeland, they will be ready to deal with the South, as well as with concerned foreign states, and possibly with the next president on such issues as the development of Kaesong, Shinuiju, Mount Geumgang, roads and railways. What the delegation takes back home will be revealed in the next round of its talks with the United States, South Korea and Japan.

Jaewoo Choo, PhD, is a research fellow with the Trade Research Institute, Seoul. The opinions expressed in this article are his own.

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Nov 2, 2002



 

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