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SPEAKING FREELY
Time for the US to leave Korea
By Thaddeus A Hoffmeister

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WASHINGTON - As a former active-duty soldier stationed on the Korean Peninsula, I, like many Americans, applaud the decision to reposition US troops in South Korea. After more than 50 years (this July 27 marks the 50th anniversary of the Korean Armistice), the US Department of Defense has finally decided to take a fresh look at an old problem.

Currently, the US troops in South Korea, positioned in a defensive posture, are serving as nothing more than a tripwire. This Cold War strategy presumes that, in the event of an attack by North Korea, the US will suffer a sufficient number of casualties to trigger its entry into war on the side of South Korea. However, most military experts, including the current commander-in-chief of US Forces Korea, General Leon J LaPorte, believe that the tripwire theory is bankrupt. Furthermore, reliance on this strategy places US service members in an untenable position and sets them up for failure.

For example, if North Korea with its million-man army were to head south, the approximately 37,000 US service members in South Korea would most likely suffer an extraordinarily high casualty rate. This rings especially true when one considers that close to half of the US troops stationed in South Korea are assigned to the 2nd Infantry Division (2ID) in various places at or near the border separating North Korea from South Korea, in area known as the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ).

The wartime mission of the 2ID is to repel an attack by North Korea. However, the 2ID must divide its resources among three possible invasion routes leading to Seoul (about 50 kilometers from the DMZ). Also, movement among units within the 2ID is difficult because of the nearby mountainous terrain. Therefore, by attacking via one invasion route, North Korea could quite possibly face only a third of the 2ID while the other two-thirds could be easily pinned down by artillery fire - with more than 13,000 artillery pieces on the DMZ, North Korea could rain as many as 500,000 rounds an hour on South Korea.

In addition to the problems raised above, keeping troops in South Korea and especially on the DMZ has done little to improve America's reputation among younger Koreans or the international community. The US has received worldwide condemnation and a continued loss of its prestige for refusing to sign and ratify the Ottawa Convention (land-mine treaty). The US, by most reports, would have signed the treaty as land mines are not an integral part of the US military, save for the heavily mined DMZ. Absent an exception for South Korea, the US was reluctant to sign the treaty for fear of putting its service members in an even more precarious situation.

As for South Korea's so-called 386 generation (the 3 stands for their age, as most are in their 30s; the 8 is for the 1980s, when they attended college and South Korea went from dictatorship to democracy; and the 6 is for the 1960s, when they were born), most see the continued presence of US troops as proof that South Korea is still unable to protect itself and or as evidence of a conspiracy with Japan to prevent reunification with North Korea. With respect to those South Koreans who are in their 20s, a South Korean Gallup Poll this year for the Chosun Ilbo, one of the country's three major newspapers, found that more than 75 percent of those polled expressed dislike for the United States. While there is some support for US troop presence in South Korea, it is limited and comes from the older generation that vividly remembers the Korean War, and from certain South Korean politicians. These same politicians want US troops to remain on the DMZ but removed from the capital because the US headquarters at Yongsan occupies prime real estate in downtown Seoul and is also the area where most problems with the civilian community arise.

Those in favor of keeping US troops appear to have ignored South Korea's modernization. For instance, South Korea's economy is 25 or 30 times as large as North Korea's. In addition, despite North Korea spending 30 percent of its gross domestic product on defense, the South Korean Army (560,000 personnel) is more modern and can adequately defend the country until reinforcements arrive. It will be these reinforcements who turn the tide of any potential war, not the small number of US troops currently assigned to South Korea.

With North Korea rattling its nuclear sabers, now may not be the best time to withdraw troops from South Korea. However, the United States, in the near future, must cut the umbilical cord.

Thaddeus A Hoffmeister served with the United States Army in South Korea from 1998-99.

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please
click here if you are interested in contributing.
 
Jun 11, 2003



 

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