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Pyongyang seizes on Seoul's nuke dabbling
By Seo Hyun-jin

SEOUL - South Korea's long past nuclear experiments, only recently disclosed, have undermined international efforts to end North Korea's nuclear program and Seoul's own efforts to improve North-South relations. Already the prospect of useful talks - dim to begin with - has become bleak. The North says Seoul's actions mean it will never abandon its efforts to build the bomb.

Experts say the disclosure of two controversial tests by the South - plutonium extraction in 1982 and uranium enrichment in 2000 - undermines its mediating role in Beijing-led multilateral negotiations to end Pyongyang's nuclear weapons development program - and complicates the entire negotiation process.

The 35-member board of governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is reviewing the issue of Seoul's experiments, as it began a four-day meetings in Vienna on Monday, September 13.

North Korea said Saturday that South Korea's nuclear experiments make the communist country even more determined to pursue its own nuclear programs, and that it must link the case of South Korea with the six-nation talks to defuse the North Korean nuclear program. "It is self-evident that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea can never abandon its nuclear program under such a situation," a spokesman for the North Korean Foreign Ministry said.
"There is strong suspicion that the disclosed experiments might be conducted at the instruction of the United States as they assume military nature," the North's Foreign Ministry spokesman told the official North Korean Central News Agency. The spokesman, who was unidentified, asked rhetorically whether Washington intended to overlook Seoul's alleged development of nuclear weapons, just as it ignores its ally Israel's nuclear weapons.

The revelation of the nuclear experiments by the South also is expected mean a protracted chill in the Seoul-Pyongyang relationship, despite South Korea's fevered courting of the North. Pyongyang already has warned of an arms race in Northeast Asia and accused Washington of applying double standards to North and South Korea - tolerating nuclear experiments by the South, while demanding an end to nuclear programs in the North. South Korea has emphasized that its experiments were just that - experiments - and that they were tiny, completed long ago, never restarted and did not not lead to weapons development. Still, the two sides confront each other along a heavily fortified border.

The US, South Korea's ally, has expressed concern and tried to appear even-handed while noting the difference between experiments in the South in the past and an ongoing nuclear program in the North.

Negative impact on six-way talks
"The news will affect talks on the North Korean nuclear issue because the North will use it as a pretext to boycott the talks, or blur the main objective of the talks even if it agrees on the next round of the talks," said professor Yun Duk-min at South Korea's Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security, who spoke to Asia Times Online.

Foreign Minister Ban Ki-moon has said it is difficult now to remain optimistic about holding six-party talks before the end of September, as participants had earlier promised. The talks, aimed at persuading North Korea to abandon its nuclear arms programs, are organized by China and include North and South Korea, China, Japan, Russia and the US. The nuclear experiment issue erupted as the parties struggled to schedule a fourth round of the talks to discuss how to resolve the prolonged standoff over the North's nuclear weapons development. The basic idea is to persuade North Korea to agree to dismantle its weapons program - with international verification - in return for massive economic aid, energy alternatives and security assurances.

North Korea and the US have locked horns over the North's nuclear weapons development since the issue flared up in October 2002 when US officials said the North had admitted to harboring a clandestine nuclear program using highly enriched uranium. The North now denies any uranium-based nuclear development program, while acknowledging a plutonium program. "The issue puts the South in a disadvantageous position and the nuclear dialogue may suffer a major setback," Yun said.

Regardless of the seismic difference between the Koreas in the nature and scale of nuclear tests, the North is expected to continue to question why the US is generous with the South while taking a harsh line against its communist regime. Washington has demanded that Pyongyang dismantle its nuclear programs in a "complete, verifiable, irreversible" manner before expecting any rewards - security assurances or aid - from its old Cold War foe.

North Korea's nuclear facilities have greatly concerned the international community because the isolationist country was believed to have reprocessed some 8,000 nuclear fuel rods, which can produce weapons-grade plutonium. And all its nuclear activities are now veiled because it expelled inspectors of the IAEA early on in its standoff with the US.

But the experiments in the South produced only an "insignificant" portion of nuclear materials and the South has worked with the UN nuclear watchdog agency, the IAEA, in a transparent manner, according to Seoul and Washington. After the initial news about the South's nuclear experiments, the US State Department said there was no cause for concern because the South was faithfully cooperating with the IAEA, though it also called for a thorough investigation because the experiments "should not have occurred and must be eliminated".

North Korea's envoy to the UN, Han Sung-ryol, told South Korea's national news agency, Yonhap, that his country considered the US "worthless" as a dialogue partner because it was applying "double standards" to the two Koreas. "We see South Korea's uranium enrichment experiment in the context of an arms race in Northeast Asia," Han said. "Because of the South Korean experiment, it has become difficult to control the acceleration of a nuclear arms race."

A South Korean Foreign Ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the North seemed to be attempting to play down the contentious issue of its highly enriched uranium program by insisting its nuclear activities are the same as those in the South.

Seoul rebuts talk of nuclear ambitions
Persistent suspicions about South Korea's ambition to develop nuclear weapons are complicating the issue, Seoul officials believe. The government has rebutted such speculation, saying the experiments were far short of producing weapons-grade materials and there was no intention to develop nuclear arms. South Korea had tried to develop nuclear weapons in the 1970s but scrapped the program under pressure from the US.

Chang In-soon, president of the state-run Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) , said it was nonsense to speculate that South Korea was attempting to make nuclear bombs when both of the experiments involved a very tiny amount of nuclear materials. "I cannot help but interpret the international hype as an intention to drive South Korea to a corner," Chang said.

A group of scientists in the KAERI separated 0.2 grams of uranium with about 10% enrichment level in a one-time experiment in 2000, officials said last Friday. About 10 to 15 kilograms of 90% enriched uranium is needed to make a nuclear bomb, experts say.

Seoul officials said the one-time experiment was not subject to compulsory reporting to the IAEA four years ago, but became so under an Additional Protocol to the nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty which South adopted in February.

The government said it learned of the experiment in the Taejon-based institute, 160 kilometers south of Seoul, when scientists there informed the Science Ministry in June of the research. The South reported the experiment to the IAEA on August 17.

The nuclear experiment issue erupted last week when the South announced that IAEA inspectors were in the country to look into Seoul's voluntary declaration that scientists had carried out nuclear experiments in 2000. Adding fuel to unabated international suspicion, it was disclosed a week later that scientists carried out the extraction of a few milligrams of plutonium at the institute in 1982, working on a now defunct "TRIGA-Mark III"-type research reactor in northern Seoul.

Plutonium and uranium are two key ingredients for nuclear weapons, but officials insist materials produced in the experiments were too small to produce any atomic bombs and were the result of pure academic curiosity. Seoul adamantly denied news reports from Washington Friday that it carried out secrete nuclear experiments more than six years ago.

"We have complied fully to the nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty that we signed in 1975 and maintained our commitment to remain nuclear free. We will not let accusations such as those hinder the trust we have built up with the international community," another senior Seoul official told a news briefing.

Inspectors from the IAEA last week investigated South Korea's admitted work on plutonium and uranium and will investigate whether it seriously violated the nuclear safeguards and whether that matter could be referred to the UN Security Council in November.

Continued efforts on nuclear talks
Despite the political fallout of the South's nuclear experiments and the North's negative responses, efforts are continuing to bring the North to the dialogue table. But many believe the next round of six-party talks will yield little - like other rounds - even if they are resumed.

Diplomatic officials from South Korea, the US and Japan met in Tokyo late last week to discuss measures to help defuse tension surrounding the North's nuclear weapons development. Timed to commemorate the 55th anniversary of diplomatic relations, a delegation of top Chinese government and Communist Party leaders visited Pyongyang last Friday to discuss pending issues, including the nuclear issue. The Chinese officials are believed to have tried to persuade the North to participate in the nuclear talks. There was no official word on the outcome.

Despite the international efforts, expectation is low about the outcome of the fourth-round talks. "North Korea will drag on the process of resolving its nuclear issue because it believes it cannot gain much before the US presidential election [in November] anyway," Koh Yu-hwan, professor at Dongguk University, told Asia Times Onlline. Many think it will be difficult to find any breakthrough on the North Korean nuclear issue before the US election as Washington may not provide any concrete plan on the North prior to the crucial vote.

Also, some believe the North may be waiting to see if Democratic challenger John Kerry wins in the hope he will take a softer line than President George W Bush.

It is not only nuclear talks but also inter-Korean relations that experts think will be negatively influenced by the nuclear experiments in the South. "I think the cold spell in inter-Korean relations will be extended because of the nuclear experiments," Koh said. "But this depends on how the South will try to persuade the North and prevent misunderstanding."

Inter-Korean governmental exchanges have been almost stalled since a massive defection of more than 400 North Koreans to the South and Seoul's refusal to allow some South Koreans to visit Pyongyang to attend the 10th anniversary of the North Korean founder Kim Il-sung's death, both in July.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


Sep 14, 2004




N Korea's military edge over the South (Sep 10, '04)

Nuclear genie out of S Korean bottle (Sep 8, '04)

Seoul's confusing love-in with Pyongyang (Jul 13, '04)

 

 
   
         
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