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Seoul plays Moscow card with North Korea
By Seo Hyun-jin

MOSCOW - Though North Korean leader Kim-Jong-il didn't show up, as some had speculated, South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun's Russian meetings enhanced political and economic cooperation between Seoul and Moscow. Significantly, it broadened South Korea's diplomatic front at a time when some Koreans are urging the government to overcome its dependence on the United States.

South Korean analysts said Seoul would have to pursue improving ties with Moscow as a way to diversify its diplomatic engagement, which has so far mostly focused on Washington. Seoul's ties with Washington have been strained over Roh's efforts to chart a more independent foreign policy, resentment toward US troop presence and the planned deployment of South Korean troops to Iraq.

The summit and other agreements signed this week upgraded Seoul-Moscow ties for comprehensive cooperation in political areas, economics, aerospace technology, information technology, maritime science, transportation - and especially energy. And South Korean companies signed agreements with their Russian counterparts worth US$4 billion. Earlier, Roh had visited Kazakhstan and concluded agreements on energy and other cooperation.

Government officials and experts said South Korea will be able to enhance its energy independence with the joint energy projects with Russia and Kazakhstan. "The most important achievements from Roh's summit diplomacy this week are the facts that South Korea has acquired energy resources and got support for the peaceful settlement of the North Korean nuclear issue," Roh's foreign affairs adviser Chung Woo-seong said.

Roh's talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin on energy and transportation eventually could help defuse tension on the Korean Peninsula. Some of major projects under discussion - linking pipelines to carry natural gas and oil from Russia's Far East and Siberia to South Korea, and the connection of the Trans-Korean Railway with the Trans-Siberian Railway - could help North Korea engage with the international community and benefit the isolationist and impoverished country by passing through it.

South Korea's strengthened ties with Moscow also could point to an enhanced Russian role in settling issues concerning North Korea, especially its nuclear weapons program, because the North is believed to want to use its long-standing relations with Russia to counter influence from the United States.

Upgrading Seoul-Moscow ties
After their summit in the Kremlin Palace, Roh and Putin adopted a Korea-Russia Joint Declaration, redefining their relationship as a "mutually trustful and comprehensive partnership" - a decade after the two countries agreed on a constructive and complementary partnership. The two nations reinstated diplomatic ties in 1990 following the collapse of the Soviet Union, thus renewing a relationship that had been cut off during the Cold War.

"I and President Putin decided to develop reciprocal relations between the two countries, as South Korea's plan about a peaceful and prosperous Northeast Asia and Russia's strategy to develop the Russian Far East pursue something similar," Roh told a joint news conference with Putin after their meeting.

Putin said Russia, which maintains friendly ties with both Koreas, is interested in energy and transportation projects involving the three parties and he emphasized the political and economic benefits of such projects to all three parties.

The railway project will enable South Korea to be directly linked to Europe if the two Koreas complete the connection of inter-Korean railways. Based on a South-North agreement reached during their first-ever summit in 2000, the South has finished building its side of the border-crossing railway, but the North has yet to complete its work.

The proposed natural gas pipelines would provide crucial energy resources to the South, and could also benefit the impoverished North, its economy a shambles and its people hungry, if all parties can agree on passage through the isolationist communist state.

"The Korea-Russia agreement to upgrade the bilateral relations will facilitate practical cooperation between them, though [Korean-Russian] bilateral cooperation hardly met people's expectations in the past," professor Ko Jae-nam at the Seoul-based Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security told Asia Times Online.

Yeo In-kon, a researcher at the Korea Institute of National Unification in Seoul, said, "As you can understand from the phrase 'mutually trustful', there has been lack of confidence and cooperation between the two sides, but I think the summit will improve mutual trust."

Yeo said South Korea has been reluctant to invest money in Russia because of its economic and other problems, such as a poor legal mechanism to ensure investors' rights, and thus had focused instead on China.

Trade volume between South Korea and Russia stood at $4.18 billion last year, a five-fold increase from a meager $890 million in 1990. South Korea's investment in Russia grew three-fold to $360 million at the end of last year.

Reflecting their intention to make good on the Roh-Putin declaration, the two countries agreed to facilitate exchanges in space technology and to waive visas for diplomats. South Korean companies also signed contracts for business projects with their Russian counterparts, which altogether amount to some $4 billion.

Cultural exchanges between South Korea and Russia are also expected to be enhanced, especially because this year marks the 120th anniversary of the Friendship and Trade Agreement, which was the start of official relations between Korea and Russia. The year also marks the 140th anniversary of the beginning of Koreans' voluntary migration to Russia.

Russia's role in resolving North Korean issues
South Korea's interest in Russia is not confined to bilateral ties but extends to issues pertaining to North Korea, since Russia keeps friendly relationships with both nations. "Russia's amicable ties with the North and the three-way relationship between Seoul, Moscow and Pyongyang will create a synergy effect for peace in the region," according to professor Ko at the Seoul-based Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security.

International recognition of Russia's role in regard to the Korean Peninsula was manifested when foreign and local media speculated that North Korean leader Kim Jong-il might make a surprise visit to Russia for a three-way summit with Roh and Putin in Vladivostok, on Russia's border with the North, during Roh's stay in Russia from Monday to Thursday.

That possibility has now evaporated, but Russia has expressed willingness to host such a meeting. "Russia is ready for the role of a hospitable host if the corresponding offers will be given by North and South Korean sides," said Russia's ambassador to South Korea, Teymuraz Ramishvili.

Russia's influence on the Korean Peninsula was constrained throughout the 1990s because its relations with Pyongyang were in limbo, as North Korea opposed Moscow's normalization of diplomatic relations with Seoul. Moscow increased its clout significantly, however, after it rejuvenated its alliance with Pyongyang in February 2000 by replacing their cooperation agreement with a friendlier one, a "mutual cooperation treaty".

Thus, North Korean issues were high on the agenda of Roh-Putin talks, especially since international efforts to end North Korea's nuclear weapons development have suffered another setback. Roh and Putin agreed to enhance joint efforts to resolve the North Korean nuclear standoff, which flared up in October 2002. And Putin promised to play a constructive role in convening the fourth round of six-party nuclear talks at the earliest possible date, South Korean Foreign Minister Ban Ki-moon said.

South Korea and Russia are part of the multilateral talks, which also involve North Korea, China, Japan and the US. Chances are slim that the countries open their new round of talks before the end of September as they had earlier promised. This is because North Korea said it would not take part pending a full and impartial investigation of South Korea's past nuclear experiments.

Putin has expressed his willingness to take initiatives to promote peace on the Korean Peninsula. "Russia is interested in energy and transportation projects involving Russia and the two Koreas, and other trilateral economic programs. The three-way cooperation is economically and politically beneficial," Putin told the joint news conference with Roh.

Former Korean national security adviser Ra Jong-yil has suggested that Russian gas could be provided to the North as part of the alternative energy measures to resolve the North Korean nuclear problem. Provision of energy has been one of North Korea's key demands in scrapping its nuclear weapons development, as well as security guarantees. During a dinner meeting following the formal summit, Roh stressed that South Korea has provided a specific and comprehensive package to offer economic assistance to North Korea once the nuclear tension has been defused. His comments are seen as an effort to induce the North to the dialogue table.

"South Korea should closely cooperate with Russia, which is closely connected with North Korea and thus can contribute to bringing about peace on the peninsula," Yeo said.

Roh's energy diplomacy
The major achievements of the visit concerned the energy sector. South Korea and Russia agreed to take specific steps to jointly develop oil fields and natural gas in East Siberia and link pipelines to transport energy resources. South Korea’s Commerce, Industry and Energy Minister Lee Hee-beom and Russian Industry and Energy Minister Viktor Khristenko agreed that the two nations should launch a "strategic energy dialogue" for comprehensive cooperation in energy.

After the summit, the Korea National Oil Corporation and Russia's state-run oil company Rosneft signed a memorandum of understanding for joint oil exploration in the region, from which the South is expected to acquire 1.7 billion barrels of oil. Their project will first be conducted in Kamchatka and Veninsky on Sakhalin Island. The summit will also spur discussions on South Korea's natural gas imports from Russia as both governments promised to conclude an agreement on the provision of gas in the near future.

"The summit is significant in that it contributed to South Korea securing energy resources in Russia," Roh's adviser for foreign affairs Chung Woo-seong said. As South Korea is the world's fourth-largest energy buyer, securing energy cooperation was high on the agenda for Roh's talks with Putin as well as Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev just before Roh's visit to Russia.

South Korea agreed with Kazakhstan on Monday to jointly develop petroleum and uranium in the Central Asian country, acquiring the first bridgehead to the Caspian Sea, which has emerged as a new treasure trove of natural resources following the Middle East. The Korea National Oil Corporation signed a protocol with the state-run oil firm of Kazakhstan, KazMunaiGas, to develop up to 650 million barrels of oil in the Caspian Sea and a memorandum of understanding for another 200 million barrels in the Tenge region.

South Korea and Kazakhstan also agreed to cooperate on the peaceful use of atomic energy, South Korea providing nuclear-related technology to Kazakhstan to help that country develop uranium as nuclear energy in order to generate electricity, as well as for medical purposes.

Seo Hyun-jin is a Seoul-based journalist specializing in diplomatic relations and North-South unification issues.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)


Sep 24, 2004



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