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    Korea
     Aug 2, 2007
Page 2 of 2
Peace or appeasement with Pyongyang?
By Sung-Yoon Lee

what they should focus on today. And the presence of US troops in South Korea has been and remains the greatest deterrent to North Korean adventurism and the disruption of the ongoing peace on the peninsula.

Ever since North Korea joined the World Health Organization in 1973 and thereby was able to open a diplomatic mission in New York the next year, Pyongyang has proposed bilateral peace negotiations with Washington, all the while as it was sending an assassin to kill South Korean president Park Chung-hee that



summer (which led instead to the death of his wife, Yuk Young-soo, and a high-school student) and hacking to death two US soldiers along the Demilitarized Zone just two years later.

North Korea knows better than any other that a peace treaty is just an agreement on paper, one that often conceals the true hostile intent of the signatory. At the same time, North Korea calculates that the conclusion of such a peace treaty with the US would create enormous pressure for the eviction of US forces from the South. With the signing of a peace treaty and all the political spin celebrating the dawn of a new era and genuine peace on the Korean Peninsula, the very raison d'etre for US troops in South Korea would vanish.

Even a cursory glance at international history over the past century shows us that a "peace treaty" among hostile powers has all too frequently been little more than a historical canard. Often, a peace treaty or a non-aggression pact is patently useless in the prevention of war, its putative goal.

Although not directly responsible for the rise of Adolf Hitler, the prohibitively punitive Versailles Peace Treaty in retrospect stands rather unimpressively. The Kellogg-Briand Pact was an international treaty providing for the renunciation of war as an instrument of national policy. At first it was signed by 15 nations in Paris in August 1928, including Germany, France, Japan, Poland, the United Kingdom, and the United States, all which went to war in the course of the next 15 years. Barely six months later, an "Eastern European" version (otherwise known as "Litvinov's Pact") was signed in Moscow among the Soviet Union, Poland, Romania, Latvia and Estonia. And, of course, the most infamous, deceitful and worthless "non-aggression pact" ever to have been devised was the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, better known as the Stalin-Hitler Pact, conjured up and signed in August 1939.

The United States and Korea's regional neighbors may grow to learn to live with a nuclear North Korea. Practiced in the art of deception and well versed in nuclear blackmail, North Korea will go on reaping rewards from its powerful and wealthy neighbors as long as it does not completely dismantle its nuclear arsenal. For a state like North Korea that hangs on the precipice of economic collapse, nuclear blackmail is a necessary condition for regime survival and the prevention of absorption by its Southern neighbor. By condoning this extortion, the US may ensure North Korea's survival. In turn, this new situation implies the perpetuation of two separate Korean regimes on the Korean Peninsula, a policy that China favors and one that spells doom for the terribly suffering and politically persecuted people of North Korea.

Unbeknownst to the US, a peace treaty with North Korea might briefly tip the balance of power between the two Koreas in Pyongyang's favor. The US may have the wherewithal to live with the uncertainties of a nuclear North Korea. But rushing to sign a peace treaty with Kim Jong-il might lead to conditions that would break the de facto peace that has existed on the peninsula for more than half a century. Just as the absence of a peace treaty between Moscow and Tokyo does not imply an imminent war between Russia and Japan, an armistice in place of a peace treaty between Washington and Pyongyang does not imply the breakdown of the peace on the Korean Peninsula.

At the very least, the ill-advised rush to "peace" is a likely candidate for the historical annals of self-destructive appeasement. The great sacrifices made by Americans in the Korean War, the legacy of the close US-South Korea relationship over the past 60 years, and future US strategic interests in and around the Korean Peninsula should not be sacrificed at the altar of diplomatic peace. Real peace is won by resolve and sacrifice, while ephemeral peace is all too often concocted only by vowels and consonants.

Dr Sung-Yoon Lee is a visiting professor of Korean studies at Sogang University, Seoul.

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