Doves who'd shoot the messenger
By Aidan Foster-Carter
How do we know anything about North Korea? Where can you find reliable
information? If sources conflict, how does one judge between them? Bottom line:
Who ya gonna trust?
These are key questions. And they're as old as the hills - which North Korea
has more of than facts. My own interest in the Democratic People's Republic of
Korea is now, dare I confess, in its fifth decade. Even when I started, back in
the 1960s, data of any kind were a problem. There were almost none to speak of.
No point asking Pyongyang. I was a fan in those days, but even so I winced at
the regime's clunky propaganda, and its
emptiness: the absence of even the most basic facts and figures.
In the 1950s, North Korea did publish some statistics, but in the 1960s they
stopped. Why? As growth slowed, paranoia and secretiveness ballooned. Nicholas
Eberstadt has noted it was the same in the USSR and China, when Stalin's and
Mao's excesses were at their height [1]. In Moscow and Beijing the mad
blackouts eventually ended. In Pyongyang, darkness still rules.
Normal countries need numbers. A national budget with no figures: What a crazy
idea! Not in North Korea, where this bizarre charade is enacted every year,
most recently on April 7.
What passes for a parliament in Pyongyang usually meets for just one day a
year, in spring. The main business is to pass the budget, which they duly do.
(There's no debate, obviously.)
And no numbers, either. Take a look at the official Korea Central News Agency
[2]. Finance minister Pak Su-gil uttered a few percentages, but not a single
actual solid figure. Weird.
Until 1994, they at least gave the budget totals, so we could work out some of
the rest. South Korea's Unification Ministry (MOU) reckons it heard a real
number on the radio, once, and on that basis offers its own guesses here and
there. Yet this is meagre stuff. A joke, really.
But I've banged on about this before in these pages [3], so what's new
pussycat? Two things.
First, I personally have taken this matter up, at the highest level. Only the
other day I had words on the subject with the Speaker of the Supreme People's
Assembly (SPA) himself. No really, I did. Choe Thae-bok, an urbane gent of 82
and a very senior figure, spent a week in London just before the SPA session.
Tea at the House of Lords, that sort of thing. All a bit surreal, and it's easy
to scoff. But at times like these, it's important to keep the doors open.
Over a convivial dinner at Asia House, I asked Choe about those budget blanks.
He said he'd look into it, but I admit I wasn't holding my breath. Ah well. He
must be a busy chap.
Fortunately in 2011 we can supplement Pyongyang's crummy crumbs with more solid
fare. It's a new world: the information age! NK may resist, but two things have
changed - a lot.
First, and obviously, the Internet has been a boon. We who follow North Korea
are no longer sad lonely nutters. Online we can find each other - we are
legion! - and pool our knowledge. Kind folks like Curtis Melvin at NKeconwatch
and Tad Farrell at NKNews, among others, have put a lot of work into creating
crucial online resources on North Korea. (For their pains, they have survived
more than one cyber-attack [4]. Who on earth would do a thing like that?) So
now we can collate and compare notes.
Secondly, we also have a rich crop of fresh data thanks to the arrival of new
media sources. As one recent account puts it, there now exists "a new
constellation of media organizations like Daily NK, Open North Korea Radio,
Free North Korea Radio, Good Neighbors, Radio Free Asia (US), Asia Press
(Japan)" et al [5]. (This list oddly omits one of the best and oldest: the
South Korean Buddhist non-government organization [NGO] Good Friends. [6])
All of these strive to fill in the official blanks and report what is actually
happening in North Korea on the ground. Many use defectors, and/or - more
riskily - contacts inside the DPRK.
The result is an explosion in North Korean news like we never had before. Read
any issue of DailyNK, or Good Friends' bulletins. At long last we get a sense
of what life is really like on the ground, at the grassroots, outside
Pyongyang: for ordinary North Koreans, and for hard-pressed local cadres whose
thankless task is to implement the centers's daft or malign orders.
Much of this is grim reading, or viewing. Video adds to the impact. Reading
about starvation is bad enough; try looking at it. More fun is a feisty woman
pushing back at a cop. You can watch both in
this clip . (Warning: You may find the surrounding ads in seriously bad
taste.)
So now we can all see what it's like to be North Korean. You'd imagine
everybody working on the DPRK would be grateful for these valuable and vivid
glimpses. But you'd be wrong.
The above list of new media comes from a recent article at 38North: itself
another excellent online resource [7]. This was also carried on Nautilus, one
of the oldest websites to track North Korea [8]. Both are indispensable. (Full
disclosure: this writer has been a contributor to each.)
As its title indicates - "Analytical Failure and the North Korean Quagmire" -
the article in question has a wider remit. The authors, John Delury and
Chung-in Moon, are vexed - aren't we all? - at the current dangerous impasse
between Pyongyang and Seoul and Washington.
Whose fault is this? Mainly ours, it appears, for not seeing straight. Delury
and Moon raise a lot of issues, but I'll focus on just one: their call for
"correcting the analytical framework".
It's in this context that they mention new media on North Korea. And they don't
like them: no sirree, not one little bit. If Asia Times Online allows, in
fairness I'd like to quote this critique at some length. This comes from a
section itself headed "Wishful Thinking & Biased Sources":
"Feeding
this confusion are serious problems with information collection about the
domestic situation in North Korea. Policymakers in Seoul and Washington rely
heavily (whether they know it or not) on testimony or information provided by
North Korean defectors. Defectors and networks of informants who move across
the China-North Korea border are key sources for a new constellation of media
organizations like Daily NK, Open North Korea Radio, Free North Korea Radio,
Good Neighbors, Radio Free Asia (US), Asia Press (Japan), and other Internet
media. To be sure, people coming out of the DPRK can be important sources of
information - for example, these networks brought out information about the
2009 currency reform. However, the new "media" organizations are not staffed by
independent, professional journalists. To the contrary, they are propaganda
organs and advocacy organizations designed to undermine regime stability in the
North. Their reports frequently lack verification, yet regularly appear in
Yonhap News, the leading South Korean government news agency, without any
filtering. Major conservative newspapers, such as Chosun Ilbo, Joongang Ilbo,
and Donga Ilbo, quote them as is. International news media, including the wire
services and leading American newspapers, in turn, reprint them as world news.
Unverified reports and politically motivated characterizations of North Korean
instability are transmuted into truth... . ... US diplomats, lacking direct
contact with North Korean counterparts, are in the dark about North Korea's
strategic intentions and negotiating positions. Even North Korea's public
statements are summarily dismissed as "empty words" or "blackmail" - even
though North Korean behavior over the long term tends to conform to its
high-level pronouncements. Instead of an engaged, empirical approach, policy
decisions are being made on the basis of defector reports and disinformation,
of preconceived ideas and wishful thinking.
Strong stuff. Let's
clear away some of the brushwood here. Yes, Washington and Seoul need to grit
their teeth and stay engaged, though Pyongyang of late has made this mighty
difficult. I agree too that a "collapsist" view of the North seems to be
driving policy in Seoul currently, and that this is ill-considered or even
dangerous in the signals it sends to the Kim regime.
But hey, don't shoot the messenger. To smear such brave, sincere people and
organizations as peddling "propaganda" and "disinformation" is frankly
outrageous, and possibly libelous.
One should expect accuracy and nuance from scholars. Yet the half-dozen outfits
that Delury and Moon lump together are in fact diverse. Some do indeed have a
regime change agenda. FNKR, for instance, proclaims on its Web masthead: "NK
People's Liberation Front."
By contrast, Good Neighbors is a South Korean NGO that helps children
worldwide. Its North Korean projects include a dairy farm and helping
orphanages. What's not to like? [9]
As for Asia Press (API) and the better-known RFA, their remit is wider than
North Korea alone. API is a Japan-based group of independent journalists, with
offices all over Asia. "Free from any dependence on capital and authority",
they strive to "give voice to people ignored and shunned by major mass media
networks". [10] Again, what's not to applaud here?
RFA by contrast is funded by the US government and has an avowed agenda:
"bringing free press to closed societies", as its masthead proclaims. Is that a
bad thing? It can of course be done well or badly. On my reading RFA does a
good, solid, professional, journalistic job.
Having read these new media ever since they launched, I am much in their debt.
Rarely do I find them merely propagandistic - unlike the official DPRK press,
which remains as stodgy and uninformative today as when I first encountered the
Pyongyang Times back in the 1960s.
My sense is that what drives them is the same thing that drives me: a thirst to
know, to fill in the blanks, and to counter the lies. Not unlike WikiLeaks,
these gadflies do good. They bring the hidden into the light, and we are the
wiser as a result. The powers that be don't like it, of course. But we can't
trust governments, so we need the voices of those they seek to silence.
And anyway, which of us doesn't have an agenda? Certainly not the accusers
here. Delury I haven't met, but Chung-in Moon - whom I know of old, respect and
like - is one of South Korea's foremost advocates of the Sunshine policy, now
sadly eclipsed and turned to night.
I share his frustration with the current Lee Myung-bak administration, whose
policies in my view have made things worse, not better. But one can argue that
case on its own terms, as I tried to do in a pair of articles earlier this year
- also published on 38North, as it happens.
Whatever is driving bad policy in Seoul or timidity in Washington at the
moment, frankly I doubt if it's these media. Governments, however misguided,
are not so dumb that they can't tell the difference between propaganda and what
in my experience the new media are really trying to do - namely, like all of
us, to fathom what is actually going on in North Korea.
Delury and Moon have the wrong target here. Worse, they claim it's the regime
that tells the truth: its "behavior over the long term tends to conform to its
high-level pronouncements".
Really? As in: Of course we don't have nukes. Er, yes we do. We're not
enriching uranium: what a slur. Fooled you! We are now. As John McEnroe used to
say: You cannot be serious.
Not long ago, dictators ruled in Seoul too. They sought to silence democrats
like Professor Moon. Yet now he tells us to listen to Kim Jong-il, but to
mistrust his victims. That is odd, and sad.
Aidan Foster-Carter is honorary senior research fellow in sociology and
modern Korea at Leeds University, and a freelance consultant, writer and
broadcaster on Korean affairs. A regular visitor to the peninsula, he has
followed North Korea for over 40 years.
Aidan Foster-Carter is honorary senior research fellow in sociology and
modern Korea at Leeds University, and a freelance consultant, writer and
broadcaster on Korean affairs. A regular visitor to the peninsula, he has
followed North Korea for over 40 years.
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