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December 2008
The two main parties vying for control of parliament in the elections held in
Bangladesh on December 29, 2008, were the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)
and the Awami League. Early returns showed an unexpectedly huge margin of
victory for the Awami League. To grasp the measure and meaning of this result
one has to consider that BNP's primary ally in the elections was the
Jamaat-e-Islami Party of Bangladesh, an organization whose stated mission is to
establish Islamic Sharia law. Jamaat-e-Islami's sister party in Pakistan, also
called Jamaat-e-Islami has ties to Lashakar-e-Taiba, the Islamic organization
with alleged links to the terrorist events in Mumbai. These events in November
2008 have raised the specter of yet another war between India and Pakistan and
generated unprecedented geopolitical tensions in South Asia. The Bangladesh
elections follows in the heels of these events and the results are best
understood in this context. The crushing defeat of the BNP and Jamaat-e-Islami
alliance is a clear rejection of Islamic extremism by the Bangladeshis.
Cha-am Jamal
Thailand (Dec 30,'08)
[Re South Asia descends
into terror's vortex, Dec 24] It is quite evident that Pakistan had
nothing to gain by attacking Mumbai except complicating the already delicate
situation that it faces on its western front, where it is forced to pursue an
unpopular war due to US pressure brought on a compliant government put into
place courtesy of the US. I feel quite sure that India, emboldened by a weak
government in Pakistan and strong US support, has developed a devious plan to
justify a potential attack on Pakistan. The plan, cleverly crafted by Indian
intelligence with the help of right-wing extremists, was a dastardly act of
terror imposed on the people of Mumbai. Strange and unusual as this seems,
similar acts planned by the same coterie of players consist of the attack on
the Samjotha Express, the demolition of Babri Mosque, the attack on Muslims in
Gujrat, the attack on the Indian parliament, and the 1971 hijacking of an
Indian airlines plane to justify curtailment of PIA flights over India to East
Pakistan. It is quite clear India has abandoned its rapprochement policy with
Pakistan and moved away from the regional approach to resolving problems such
as the Iran-Pakistan pipeline, mainly due to pressure from the US and Israel,
and a lucrative nuclear deal provided by the US to move it to a major global
power status. India seems to be pressurizing Pakistan into cracking down on the
mullahs so the ensuing civil war could lead to justification by vested
interests of a seizure of Pakistan's nuclear assets and potentially the break
away of Balochistan or North-West Frontier Province. A big game is in play
here. A dangerous game in a very dangerous neighborhood that could have
unforeseen consequences. A desperate Pakistan could use any and all its
options.
Aziz Rashid
Houston, TX (Dec 29,'08)
The article South Asia
descends into terror's vortex [Dec 24] by M K Bhadrakumar,
definitely points to the lopsided relationship between the US and India. It
also points to the intrusion of two outside powers entering India proper, the
Taliban and the US. When the Mumbai attacks took place it was India's "9/11"
and under the US/India strategic-alliance the US should have acted aggressively
to defend her new ally. Now, according to the article, the reader is left
feeling that under this alliance US interests come first and last. If this is
the case then it is time that India "reminds" the US who really is the central
power on the South Asian subcontinent. Simply put if the US is not willing to
work with its new strategic partner to the partner's advantage then it could
turn the tables and remind the US that India can be America's best friend or
her worst nightmare in that region. Finally, I find offensive the line in the
article: "Hubris crept into the Indian mindset, which was indeed a startling
sight, altogether new to the millenia-old largely benign Indian civilizational
temper". However "benign" Indian culture maybe, it was also host to some of the
most militant cultures in the world, such as the Rajput, Jat, Maratha Sikh and
Gurkhas.
Chrysantha Wijeyasingha
Clinton, USA (Dec 25,'08)
Nepal caught in
vortex of regional rivalry [Dec 24] is nicely written as expected from
a noted journalist such as Dhruba Adhikary. I remember watching the first news
about the Mumbai attack on television and saying, we just have to wait few
hours to hear Pakistan being blamed for it and about a day to hear Nepal's name
taken into this messy business. Pakistan's name was taken loud and clear and as
I read through Adhikary's article I see that Nepal's name was indeed taken, but
surprisingly this time by another "party". Be it the "fake Indian currency"
case or the "dramatized hijacking", the Big Brother neighbor has always found
reasons to add its influence in Nepal and Nepal has ended up having
not-so-happy neighbors. What is shocking is that in spite of the many leaders
of Nepal [who were] puppets in India's hand, India still seems displeased. The
only thing that remains for Nepal to "give" to India is its sovereignty. Terror
has no religion, ethnicity, color or country. As rightly pointed out by
Arundhati Roy in The
monster in India's mirror [Dec 16], it was terror when Mumbai was
attacked (by Muslims and of Pakistani origin, according to India) but not to
forget, it was terrorism in Gujarat where there were mass killings of Muslims
(by Hindus of purely Indian origin). No religion teaches to kill. ... [T]he
fact remains that Islam doesn't teach or encourage killing. Blaming a terrorist
group makes sense, but blaming a country or a religion as a whole is a little
too much on those other millions who follow the same religion in the most
rightful way ... India pointing fingers at its neighbor is no longer new. What
it needs to understand is that it is definitely not playing safe diplomacy by
doing it time and again for its own failed security, politics and intelligence.
The more the people of these countries (India's neighbors, but not friends) are
getting literate and understanding of world politics, the more the anti-Indian
feeling is ripening. Had India paid more attention to its own "business" rather
than its neighbors' maybe the terror attack in India would have been a failed
attempt ... As rightly said, when you point a finger at others, the remaining
three fingers point at you. This is most certainly for India to learn.
Dr Anamika
New Zealand (Dec 24,'08)
[Re Weakest link in
US-China ties endures, Dec 24] The Untied States and China are like
twins joined at the hip, each pulling in the opposite direction. Although
Professor Zhiqun Zhu hopes that a new year and a new American president will
augur more felicitous Sino-US relations, it is too early to say. Yet,
fundamental problems remain on financial, political and military matters. China
holds billions in US debt, and Washington expects it to increase holdings of US
Treasury notes. Furthermore, China is hurting from the meltdown in America's
financial markets and is deeply affected by the sharp retrenchment in US
consumer spending. America's recession has rippled outwards in China and is
readily recognized in the closure of thousands of factories, massive layoffs,
and a break on its economic growth. The US sees nothing but Beijing's stubborn
effort in the pegging of the renminbi [yuan] to the US dollar as an expedient
measure which is a drag on US-Sino trade. On subjects political, Tibet or human
rights, Washington and Beijing will continue engaging in mutually appealing
communiques, agreeing to disagree, thereby sidestepping delicate matters which
require special handling. But, as Dr Zhu underscores, the weakest link in the
chain of friendly relation is military. And it will continue to be so, the
bridge-building measures taking place on the two sides of the Taiwan Strait
notwithstanding. It is a well-known truth that China's military conceives of
the Pentagon as its enemy, and has been long preparing war plans and upgrading
its armed forces in the case of an eventual clash of arms with the US. Taiwan
is a bone which sticks in Beijing's maw for the last 65 years, and what's more
its idea of Taiwan is one which is out of step with present day reality. And
then there are the US bilateral treaties with Taiwan which it is doubtful any
US Congress will overturn, since China is considered a major challenger to US
supremacy in Asia and a challenger for raw materials and influence in Africa
and even in the US' own backyard of Central and South America. Concessions on
military issues are therefore non-bargaining chips. It is more likely that the
US-Sino dialogue will continue as it has but with less enthusiasm than the two
George W Bush presidencies exhibited, and small arrangements will occur on
peripheral issues without changing the nature of strategic issues and without
serious challenges.
Nakamura Junzo
Guam (Dec 24,'08)
I enjoyed reading the most recent insightful essay by Dr Kaveh Afrasiabi in
your paper [A shot
at Iran via Iraq, Dec 23], in regards to the region, and the United
States foreign policy as it relates to the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council
(GCC). The problem with the "GCC leaders" is that, having been imposed on the
people in the region by colonialism, they are now afraid of their stolen monies
and properties in the US, United Kingdom and European banks being confiscated
if they stop obeying their "neo-colonial" masters. However, the present global
economic crisis may force them to rethink their slavishness, one hopes. In any
case, thank you for publishing Afrasiabi's great articles, which only adds to
your paper's esteem.
Moji Agha
Tucson, Arizona (Dec 23,'08)
Orascom gets into
pyramid business [ Dec 23] gives the gist of the deal that the
Egypt-based telecommunications conglomerate has signed with Pyongyang. Yet, the
contract has a longer life: its expiry date is 2033, although it retains
exclusive rights for four years. Now that is news! It suggests that Pyongyang
has long-term plans for improving North Korea's info highway, which would
extend throughout the entire country, and that Orascom feels that it has an
investment opportunity worth the venture. It is not surprising that an Egyptian
company is testing investment waters in North Korea. Pyongyang and Cairo have
long had dealings with each other, especially in the sale of missiles. Although
short on details, the Egyptian-North Korean venture has risks as its critics
are quick to point out, yet it also heralds that economic modernization is
afoot in the land of Kim Jong-il, and that Pyongyang is willing to plan for a
better future through an economic recovery which remains unclear. (It is
equally hazy whether Orascom has agreed to wire the skeleton of the 105-story
Ryugong hotel, which many have deemed structurally unsafe.) Let's not forget
that since US President George W Bush has removed North Korea from his list of
terrorist states, the company is open to investors who have little need to fear
a US embargo or sanctions for doing business with it. Investors come in all
shapes and sizes, and they [don't] need to come from the usual list of big
Western banks or corporations, but as in Orascom's case from what was once
called the "Third World". Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 23,'08)
[Re Another blow to
NATO's supplies, Dec 16] I would have been very interested to read,
with the help of a detailed map, how the supposed new supply route to
Afghanistan is going to run from Georgia over Tajikistan and all the other
countries, hills, seas and mountains, and how much longer that is going to
take, and to cost, as compared to other supply routes. Even if this route were
opened, the final run into Afghanistan to supply Kabul, the capital, and the
main United States bases, will then be the new Road to Hell through the
mountains and the attackers. There is no way such a long supply route can be
maintained safely forever, especially when local inhabitants are opposed to it.
Sun Tzu would never have endorsed such a fool's enterprise, putting men's
safety and the army's survival at the mercy of an overdrawn route going through
enemy territory. According to the figures presented by Syeed Saleem Shahzad,
normal maintenance would require some 700,000 containers per year to be
delivered to the troops. Obviously, this is an aberration in itself. The local
fighters do not require anything close to these figures. There is no way to win
this occupation or war unless the American troops begin to live like the
locals, on close to nothing, and unless they are motivated by some inner goal,
like the locals. Anything else will only mean defeat and retreat. Apart from my
opinion, which may be erroneous, could one of your better analysts show us the
new proposed road on a map, and comment on its feasibility? It might prove to
be an illuminating article. Edward E F Vandoorne
Torremolinos, Spain (Dec 22,'08)
Of all the articles in today's ATol, this Tacitus quote is most appropriate to
US military 'to defy' Iraqi pact, [Dec 20], by Gareth Porter: They
have plundered the world, stripping naked the land in their hunger, they loot
even the ocean: they are driven by greed, if their enemy be rich; by ambition,
if poor; neither the wealth of the east nor the west can satisfy them: they are
the only people who behold wealth and indigence with equal passion to dominate.
They ravage, they slaughter, they seize by false pretenses, and all of this
they hail as the construction of empire. And when in their wake nothing remains
but a desert, they call that peace. - Tacitus Keith E Leal
(Dec 22,'08)
Canada
Regarding the article
US military 'to defy' Iraqi pact, [Dec 20], by Gareth Porter, I
completely disagree with his angle in the article. The US military presence has
to stay because the US-backed Shi'ite party will fall in the inevitable civil
war between the Shi'ites and the Sunnis and Saddam Hussein's former Ba'athist
party. A civil war that will surely bring in Iran, an emerging nuclear
theocrat, into Iraq's ever-engulfing civil war that will bring back US troops
to a much more dangerous war scenario that will cost far more in money and US
military lives than if we stay there and prevent this looming Iraqi civil war
from taking place in the first place. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization
(NATO) is already preparing for a large military confrontation in Afghanistan.
The last thing NATO and the world would want is for an Iraqi civil war and a
full-scale war in Afghanistan to merge. The regional instability could
negatively impact an already unstable world economy.
Chrysantha Wijeyasingha
Clinton, USA (Dec 22,'08)
Once again ambassador M K Bhadrakumar has put his collective knowledge and
experience at the service of Asia Times Online readers in
All roads lead out of Afghanistan [Dec 20]. To me the weight of his
thought is best found in the discussion of the trump cards that the US holds;
the import of Bhadrakumar's argument is how fast and far US President George W
Bush has placed his military and political pawns in what once was called "the
great game" in Central Asia. As an interloper of sorts, the US has muscled into
a region once thought of as a preserve of Iran, the Russians, the Chinese and
the Indians. And so the US has to come to some type of modus vivendi with
these countries, in order to claim and maintain a presence in the area.
Bhadrakumar never shies from offering an opening to incoming American president
Barack Obama as a way of using Washington's advantage in the middle game of the
NATO war in Afghanistan against a resurgent Taliban. As he suggests, mending
fences with Tehran and Moscow and Beijing, not to slight Islamabad nor New
Delhi, will in the long run prove successful in prosecuting the war and
enhancing political reforms in Afghanistan, but equally juxtapose solutions for
peace and for regional collective security by admitting the presence of the US
into Central Asia, a presence which seeks to reinforce a concert of nations'
regional security and not overturn its apple cart. Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 22,'08)
M K Bhadrakumar has for years written clear, elegant and intelligent analyses
on ATol. Every time an article from him is published on ATol, I read it
carefully because I have learned that he is quite a lucid observer of
geostrategy, and that the "Great Game" is still ongoing. It is also a bonus to
the reader that as a good chess watcher, Bhadrakumar does not take that one of
the two players ... is necessarily an idiot, even if it acts and talks as such
- and whatever, on the chess board, some morons can be redoubtable ... His
latest article All
roads lead out of Afghanistan [Dec 20] is another demonstration of his
talent as an analyst: he can see that despite appearances, the US, though its
politicians quite often talk and act like morons, has access to large supplies
of resources and has vast armies of clever "civil servants" and foreign
employees that obviously know how to play chess on behalf of their master. When
Georgia invaded South Ossetia in August, most analysts were seeing it as
another case of US-Georgian stupidity and Russian intelligence (Russian
statesmen are intelligent as a rule, and good chess players, and did react
swiftly and intelligently to the US-Georgia move ... but they did not and still
do not have the geostrategic initiative). Well, Bhadrakumar did not buy into
this simplistic approach. In
The end of the post-Cold War era [Aug 12] , he could see that in the
Caucasus the US was cleverly playing its hand, and its Georgian pawn. Same
observation here, on the matter of the axis that the US is trying to establish
between the Mediterranean Sea and the Himalayas ... is the US over-reaching
while its resources are dwindling? Probably. I look forward to reading future
analyses on the subject from Bhadrakumar, who contributes to making ATol such a
valuable information hub.
Dr Gabriel Bittar
University of Geneva (Dec 22,'08)
[The emperor gets
the boot, Dec 18] As is his wont, Pepe Escobar reveals the terrible
reality - the wanton destruction of Iraq - behind the "entertainment value" of
a pair of size 10 shoes being cast at George Walker Bush. It is not merely in
the Arab world that Munthather (or Muntazer) al-Zaidi has become a hero for his
demonstration, for which he seems already to have paid dearly - one can only
hope that his fellow journalists do not, by their silence, leave him
unprotected in the dungeons and torture chambers of the Green Zone! Interesting
to note, however, that no one, to the best of my knowledge, has seen fit to
compare this "audience interruption" with that suffered by Chinese president Hu
Jintao as the same George Walker Bush's guest on the White House lawn on April
20 , 2006, when pathologist and Falungong activist Wang Wenyi, accredited as a
journalist by the US Secret Services, was permitted to scream ... for a full
three minutes before being removed from the scene. Wang was expected to be
charged with "harassing a foreign official". Let us hope that she received
better treatment than Munthather al-Zaidi - after all, nothing in the available
reports indicates that she took off her shoes ...
M Henri Day, PhD, MD
Stockholm (Dec 22,'08)
[Re Fools' gold
in Indonesia, Dec 19] I want to thank your journalist Melody Kemp who
wrote so much about my island, Lembata, East Nusa Tenggara province and mining.
I'm from Lembata, and now live in Jakarta. I think [there are] many problems
about the plan of mining the island. Thank you very much, you have helped
people about this issue.
Ansel Deri (Dec 22,'08)
[Re Ben's
big ZIRP! moment, Dec 19] It seems President George W Bush is hell-bent
on employing "any means necessary" to prop up the markets until the day he
leaves office. (Don't mean to be overly judgmental on the man as I would
probably take the same course of action at this stage of the game. On the other
hand, I would think that president-elect Barack Obama would want to inherit a
near-bottom economy where it would then have but one direction to go. Looking
at the Fed's and the Treasury's recent actions, one can safely conclude that
the out-going president is winning this tussle while leaving his successor
precious little ammunition (as duly noted by Obama) to combat the
soon-to-be-raging recession. Sadly, President Bush's futile attempt to forefend
a further drubbing of his already-sorry presidential legacy will prove even
costlier for the country and the world. In all likelihood, the economic scene
will turn downright horrific in 2009, and the more the current administration
strives to stave off that eventuality, the more protracted the nightmare will
become. John Chen
USA (Dec 19,'08)
[Re 'Opening up' China's
vocabulary, Dec 18] A thought just crossed my mind that it would be a
fantastic and popular feature if a reader could click on a foreign language
word appearing in an ATol article and hear the correct pronunciation and
perhaps even get a full dictionary explanation of the word. I will gladly pay
for such a service. Man, just imagine the impression on a native speaker if one
could just pronounce the name of his president or prime minister correctly, be
it be in Chinese, Japanese, Tamil, Arabic or in any of the countries ATol
covers so diligently. To be able to speak the correct terms appearing in news
topics would be a tour de force.
Kelvin Mok (Dec 19,'08)
China, Taiwan tiptoe
toward detente by Erdong Chen [Dec 19] raises some interesting points,
which of course do not diminish the general tenor of the article. First, he
wrote, "In Asia, gifts matter." Unfortunately, gifts matter everywhere in the
world, especially monetary gifts which lead to all kinds of corruption,
political or Wall Street-like. Then Chen states that the United States
president-elect Barack Obama is a consummate diplomat. In all likelihood he
will be, but we have yet to see. Finally, "arranging a quid pro quo with
Beijing, in which the United States provides security assurances in exchange
for Beijing allowing Taipei observer status at the WHO". The question is,
"security assurances" for whom? For Taiwan? Then what does Beijing get in the
"exchange"? For China, is "security assurances" necessary?
Seung Li (Dec 19,'08)
Syed Saleem Shahzad: Your article
Pakistan groups banned but not bowed of December 18 about the
Lashkar-e-Taiba (Army of the Pure - LET) is timely and well written. The
chronology is punchy and relevant, and brings the reader quickly up to speed on
the dynamics that sustain Islamist groups in Pakistan. Essential reading for
Team Obama.
Moiz (Dec 19,'08)
In 'Opening up' China's
vocabulary [ Dec 18], John Ng is right in this sense: China has for
millennia used slogans to make a point. So, it is not surprising to commemorate
Deng Xiaoping's first steps on the road to capitalism that the Communist Party
has issued 10 new catchphrases to mark the slouch into full-blown liberal
economics, and with Chinese characteristics. These new short, pithy mnemonics,
issued in staccato rhythm, reminiscent of modern advertising hype, have the
express purpose to galvanize support for China's falling economic position in a
worldwide recession and its harsh repercussions on the daily lives of the
ordinary Chinese, and on the other hand, to hail the infallible guidance of a
Communist Party clothed in the skin of capitalism.
Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 18,'08)
Sreeram Chaulia, in his article
A novel way to tackle Pakistan [Dec 16], sounds like one of those
neo-con ideologues who was pushing "democracy" in Iraq on the back of some
shock and awe. Yes, Richard Pearl and Donald Rumsfeld's simplistic notion that
[the United States] would invade Iraq and the Iraqi people would welcome us as
liberators and shower us with flowers. Instead, they got showered by a couple
of size 10 shoes under the glare of world media. When will neo-cons like
Chaulia learn that scaring people with weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) is
not going to work anymore? Chaulia goes a step further and says that the whole
country is one big WMD. Sounds like a dialogue from a Cheech and Chong movie. A
couple of hits later Chaulia writes that the United Nations should take over
Pakistan. What! Even Cheech Marin, after smoking all the pot in Amsterdam,
couldn't come up with this solution.
Yusaf Khan (Dec 18,'08)
Dear Syed Saleem Shahzad, I am a regular reader of your articles in Asia Times
Online. They have greatly contributed to my picture of what is going on in the
actual area. Today, you had an historic overview in
Pakistan groups banned but not bowed [Dec 18]. It mentioned the loss of
"strategic depth" in Central Asia as a reason for the weakening of Muslim power
in India after Aurangzeb. Interesting. But the common explanation here among
historians is quite different. Around 1500 AD, Europeans began with expeditions
and formed colonies overseas. What was relevant to Central Asia was that trade
routes moved to the seas. Thousands of years of land routes like the Silk Road
withered. It was so much cheaper to move things over water that the long and
dangerous land routes fell into disuse. No more tolls or other income was to
get there. This loss of income, because of massively diminished trade, was the
main reason for the economic deroute in Central Asia. Apparently, this land
trade had also been an important source of revenue for the Mughal rulers. When
it withered, they had not enough money to finance their armies. Consequently,
they lost military clout and at last their power to the British. The present
Pakistani establishment is magnificently strange to economic realities. While
India is currently getting more and more well off, in spite of global financial
turmoil, Pakistan is almost insolvent and still wants to go on as usual. There
is really much to do in Pakistan to correct the situation. The first thing is
to realize that the country is going in the wrong direction.
Eeva Stene (Dec 18,'08)
I totally agree with you. There are several other reasons as well, but as far as
the present "strategic depth" theory concerning Afghanistan is concerned this
is what its advocates say. This is a Muslim mindset as well in South Asia, and
that's why the Muslims of India migrated to Afghanistan to use it as their
strategic depth and to launch resistance against the British Raj in the early
20th century. Under the same mindset, Muslim intellectual Shah Waliullah
invited Ahmad Shah Abdali, an Afghan warlord from Kandahar, to help the Muslims
of India defeat the Hindu Marhata militias. Ahmad Shah Abdali did attack and
defeat Marhatas, but refused to stay in Delhi any longer (he wrote in his
memoirs that he did not want his Afghan soldiers to be like Indian Muslims of
Turk, Arab and Afghan descent who changed their warrior natures). Ahmad Shah
Abdali's departure further weakened the Mughal kingdom. As a result, the
situation was exploited by the British Far East India Company. - Syed
Saleem Shahzad (Dec 18,'08)
Most interesting that Spengler focused on
The failed Muslim states to come [Dec 15], and said, "Financial crises
... kill the unhealthy first." Without realizing it, could he have been talking
about the US with its home-grown financial mess? The depth of the rot was
recently highlighted by the Madoff scandal which revealed how cozy conferences
by SEC officials and Madoff ignored what Madoff was really doing. Indications
are that the Madoff scandal is in no way an isolated aberration, but is
representative of the modus opperandi of Wall Street and its supposed
government regulators. Are we headed toward "failed state" status?
Ron Mepworth (Dec 17,'08)
Wu Zhong's China shelves
island dispute, yet again, [Dec 16], misses the most important
strategic consideration for China regarding the Diaoyu islands. It is the
island of Taiwan. China is working slowly and methodically to cultivate a
warmer relationship with Taiwan which is the ultimate prize. Once the Taiwan
issue is settled, those few small barren islands to the north will be brought
onto the table. Joint exploration may still be possible. But now is the worst
possible time for China and Japan to get embroiled in a heated dispute.
Seung Li (Dec 17,'08)
[Re ASEAN tightens
up to ride China's rise, Dec 16] Next year poses serious economic
challenges for [Association of Southeast Asian Nations] ASEAN economies. The
growing global turmoil present opportunities and challenges to the 10-member
association's strengthening of its competitiveness. Accordingly, the rising
tide of protectionism has hastened the creation of an ASEAN Economic Community
(AEC), facilitating the free flow of goods, capital services, investment and
skilled labor within ASEAN, and which carries the weight of a combined GDP of
$1.17 trillion. AEC is a protective barrier and a strong bargaining chip with
ASEAN's formidable neighbor to its north: China. Furthermore, the new economic
community seriously questions Beijing's policy to divide and penetrate markets
through bilateral agreements. Especially now that China, too, is seriously
feeling the economic pinch. Among ASEAN, the AEC won't have to rely on cheap
Chinese labor and other financial carrots, but can draw from its own reserves
in capital, manpower, and a wider pool of economic incentives. It also offers
another stream of foreign investment, one which is more market-orientated, more
transparent, and plays by capitalist rules which Beijing fudges. ASEAN, despite
some structural weaknesses, has now come of age, as a stronger player in an
Asia better to withstand the worldwide economic vissitudes of China, Japan and
Korea, and are now going to rely on their own real and potential strengths as a
regional and global player.
Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 17,'08)
I have been trading emerging market debt for a living since 1997, lived through
the LTCM blow-up and the Russian default. Regarding Mr Spengler's lackluster
predictions in, The
failed Muslim states to come [Dec 15], a few facts must be pointed out.
Facts that perhaps a non-market participant like Mr Spengler may not be aware
of. Credit spreads of certain South American countries trade wider than those
of the Muslim countries mentioned in the article, including Pakistan. Ecuador
has actually gone bankrupt. Pakistan's bonds maturing in 2009 are trading north
of 90 cents on the dollar, suggesting that market perception is that they will
be paid - far from a default scenario. Before the bubble burst, in the "greed
is good" days, liquidity was cheap so investors were able to borrow easily and
buy "cheap" emerging market assets. Relatively open economies like Brazil,
Russia, China and India were the biggest beneficiaries of this bonanza.
Investment in "unfashionable" Muslim countries, like Pakistan and Indonesia,
was a mere fraction. When the bubble burst and liquidity dried out, greed was
replaced with fear, everyone dumped what they could. The message was clear:
unless you own US Treasuries, sell everything! India, Russia, Brazil and
Eastern Europe are a lot more exposed to this flight of capital than for
example Indonesia, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia. Though I would not go out and buy
Pakistani debt, I sure will be selling my Indian and Brazilian bonds. As far as
Pakistan, etc being failed states - I yawn at that. No one cares Mr Spengler
because when the real elephant falls on the market it's not going to be
Pakistan or Indonesia - it's going to be a big Western economy. Does Mr
Spengler know where US credit default swaps are trading? Its a whopping 70bps -
while it may not be clear to a layman, in the world of finance this is akin to
a dirty bomb. This means that foreign holders of US debt are willing to pay $7
for every $1,000 worth of US Treasury bonds they hold to insure them against
the possibility of the US going bust. Who would have ever thought that one
would need bankruptcy protection on the world's only superpower. Furthermore,
Mr Spengler is making a big deal of Pakistan accessing emergency funding from
the [International Monetary Fund] IMF but in fact European countries like
Hungary, Iceland and Ukraine have also accessed the IMF. That is much bigger
news!
Yusaf Khan (Dec 17,'08)
Spengler in his interesting article
The failed Muslim states to come [Dec 15] counts countries which will
be "doing the same thing without money" and worries about the havoc this may
cause. It is high time he also started counting intellectuals and politicians
and the havoc they cause. One sees this brand of intellectuals all over world,
especially among those who brand themselves to be "far left oriented". But
India has the most. In India they are called communists, pseudo-secularists
etc, and Chan Akya often writes about them. In one of his recent articles he
pointed out that much more suffering in India is caused as much by them as by
anything else. Arundhati Roy, with the weapon of exposure as a result of
winning the British Booker Prize, perhaps considers herself to be the leader of
this class and enjoys damaging all India's institutions. The manner in which
she tried to even degrade the Supreme Court of India, is still not forgotten.
She is of course popular among such leftwing journalists and anchors in India.
Unfortunately, they practically control most of India's political news-oriented
media. Arundhati's popularity among them is not just because of her stand on
issues. It is more because, despite the left-leanings of this class, what they
adore most is having even slight respect shown to them by American or European
institutions. The value of respect shown by these countries is much higher than
that shown by China or Russia, even though they sing the same anti-Western
tune. The article The
monster in India's mirror, [Dec 15] is no different. It has very little
actual substance, just twisted facts to create a false image and fear. India
has been fighting this twisting of the facts by intellectuals for the past two
decades.
Soumya Srajan
Mumbai, India (Dec 16,'08)
Saransh Sehgal's piece Tibetans
in exile still hold their dream [Dec 15] seems like it came straight
out of the propaganda department of the Tibetan government in exile in India.
Protests? If they and their supporters consider what happened in Lhasa in March
"protest", when Tibetan mobs stabbing, kicking and beating Han and Hui Chinese
citizens and savagely burning and destroying stores and other public property,
then I must say these "protests" must be dealt with with brute force, just like
how those terrorists in Mumbai were dealt with. Overwhelmingly brute force. No
question about it. The Chinese authorities were caught off-guard the last time,
it takes a fool to think they will not be better prepared coming next March.
Juchechosunmanse
Beijing, PR China (Dec 16,'08)
[Re The rich aren't different, Dec
15] Sorry, F Scott Fitzgerald was right. The rich are different. The rich, when
they get caught with their hands in the honey pot, get off with lighter
sentences, go to minimum security prison facilities, and though they suffer
some social shame have the wherewithal to weather well the sea of trouble that
they have created, and what's more perhaps chastened are welcomed back into the
stratosphere of the monied classes. Look at Michael Millikin. He did his time
and came back big and swam in a large pond of money and glamour and glitz
before he went back to the slammer. Ivan Bosky did his time, and is not living
like a down-and-out . Bear Stearns' Jimmy Cayne ruined his stockholders, yet he
walked away with millions, and enough to purchase two condominiums in the
renovated Tony Plaza Hotel in Central Park South. The list of hedge fund broker
Bernard Madoff keeps growing longer and longer, and its fallout has dark
implications not only for the individual wealthy clients, but also for the
big-bracket banks which are simmering in the subprime mortgage soup. Madoff is
assuming a Spartan-lad posture. He is taking all the blame, thereby saving his
sons who have milked the Ponzi scheme for Madoff Securities Investments and
their own pockets. Madoff pere is 70, and so the court will take his age
into account in sentencing the old man; the depth and breadth of the fraud
notwithstanding, he can count on its leniency. Scott Fitzgerald was right in
this sense, too. In spite of the loss in Madoff's management of their wealth,
they will not face foreclosure nor the loss of a position, but yes will have a
few million less in the bank and walk away saddened but hardly wiser with a
bruised ego. Had David Goldman quoted Shylock's monologue in the Merchant of
Venice, his metaphor would have been spot on. The rich like anyone else
when pricked will bleed, and bleed they will for trusting Bernard Madoff.
Sympathy however is reserved for the students of Yeshiva University who won't
find scholarship funding nor aid from the university, for example, but hardly
for the wealthy who benefited from tax loopholes and the shifting of their
share of the tax burden under the presidency of George W Bush.
Nakamura Junzo
Guam (Dec 16,'08)
[Re A novel way to
tackle Pakistan, Dec 15] Strangely, Mr Chaulia's "analysis" and
"solution" of the "Pakistan problem" treats Pakistan as the only state actor in
the region, with no mention of India, the United States, China, Afghan
warlords, or others who over time perhaps have contributed to the current form
of the Pakistani state. I wonder if these states (or entities) too, in Mr
Chaulia's opinion, should be made into wards of the United Nations until they
meet Mr Chaulia's expectations and standards. And if so, then how is the UN
army to execute this task? Oh wait, I forgot - there is no UN army, so the
former colonial powers will likely need to be involved under the auspices of
the UN. Hey, that's a really great idea! Those powers have contributed so
positively to the development of the region over the last three centuries.
John R Yates
Encino, California (Dec 16,'08)
I join in the hosannas and high-fives for Muntadar al-Zaidi, the Iraqi
journalist who reminded Americans what bravery and integrity once meant to us,
before we sold our souls to snake-oil neo-conservatives. The imagery of
President George W Bush being "assaulted" by hurled shoes, in the forum of a
press conference, was too timeless and iconic to be mere coincidence. This is
the closest the draft-dodging AWOL Bush has ever come to being in combat. The
shoe, symbolic of lowliness and contempt in the Arab world, was the perfect
metaphor for a man who has ground his country and its prestige under his heel
as if it were some slug-like vermin. Press conferences have always been the
opportunity for America's journalists to show their courage and challenge the
bald-faced lies of a president, opportunities repeatedly squandered as they
scrambled over themselves to exhibit brown-nosing sycophancy to their corporate
masters. But Mr al-Zaidi decided that he would show his people that their
chances to denounce blood-thirsty tyrants did not die when Saddam Hussein met
American-manipulated justice.
Hardy Campbell
Texas (Dec 16,'08)
I write to thank you for your Internet edition. Your publication is the finest
I can find on many topics from economics to politics anywhere. I am sorry to
say most US and UK publications have become highly propagandized. But you
publish an array of views and authors from the Mogambo Guru to Arundhati Roy.
You are an invaluable resource to many around the world.
Bonnie Moore (Dec 16,'08)
Regarding the December 15 letter of R Kline of Chicago, fundamentally, the
global price of oil is determined by the principle of supply and demand, not by
investment banks, individual investors and speculators. The role of the
investment banks, individual investors and speculators is to evaluate supply
and demand considerations for the present and the future and to "place their
bets", whether figurative or literal, thereby adding their considerable
influence into the pricing equations. These players will not depart
significantly from the fundamentals of supply and demand for, if they do, they
stand to suffer heavy loss for placing the wrong bets. That fact means that on
a fundamental level the price of oil is now in the hands of those who produce
it; if they can cut production sufficiently, then they can begin the process of
eliminating the current global supply glut. That will in time force the price
of oil higher as the markets begin to see data over the next several weeks and
months that will prove a tightening of supply. If OPEC (Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries) and Russia can present a case that is convincing
enough coming out of their December 17 meeting, then the investment banks,
individual investors and speculators will potentially sign on to the idea that
supply will progressively tighten, and their influence on the markets and
pricing can potentially shorten the time it takes for oil to return to a bull
market. That is the idea behind futures contracts, after all. Minus any
significant action by both OPEC and Russia, the price of oil will likely fall
to $30 per barrel, or even less, very quickly. Producers therefore are going to
lose significant sums of income in at least the short term if they do nothing
to cut production, and if they do cut production significantly, they at least
have the real prospect of seeing the price go higher to compensate for the
smaller volumes they will be selling on the markets. Therefore, Mr Kline's
assumption that they cannot afford to cut production is faulted because he
evidently assumes (wrongly) that the markets won't permit a higher price no
matter what OPEC and Russia do. He should look at the lift the oil price
received in that last few days simply on the prospect that the OPEC and Russia
production cuts might be very significant ones. OPEC and Russia are in the
driver's seat, if they get serious about production cuts. The markets and all
their players will have no choice but to follow the lead of producers if they
do enact serious cuts. Finally, Mr Kline asserts that only a dollar collapse
can afford Russia and other producers the opportunity to institute new pricing
mechanisms such as pricing in a basket of currencies, rather than in the dollar
alone. He is also mistaken here. There is growing evidence that the dollar may
well have resumed its strategic decline after getting a short-term lift from
the onset of the present global crisis. The further the dollar declines, the
less producers like it, for they have to take payment for their product in a
weakening currency. Added to this is the fact that such currency declines are
most often accompanied by ever greater volatility - the decline is seldom
orderly. A strategically declining dollar is eventually inflationary, and
current US monetary policy is almost entirely inflationary. Consumer nations
whose currencies are still pegged to the dollar strongly dislike a dollar
decline as well. Not a collapse, but fundamentally a resumed strategic decline
of the dollar on the world stage will eventually carry enough disadvantage and
its volatility will produce enough financial and economic pain that a movement
to pricing oil in a basket of currencies will continue to gain key adherents
around the globe and it will be the only viable solution. Russia and OPEC are
not "in check" or "checkmated" in the current game, as Mr Kline evidently
assumes. They are presently at a serious disadvantage, but they hold the key to
the outcome for themselves. That key is deeper coordination on global
production, and eventually on pricing mechanisms. It is the West that is in
very serious danger of checkmate, for if OPEC and Russia get their act
together, nothing the West can do will be able to stop them. It is my
prediction that they are ready, over the next several weeks, to do just that.
W Joseph Stroupe (Dec 16,'08)
Julian Delasantellis' article,
US auto rescue - a society health check [Dec 10], is an excellent
historical review of the problems of America's auto companies and should be
required reading. However, what it did not address [are] the implications for
US national security if a bridge loan is not provided and the auto companies
fail. For years now, America's captains of industry have outsourced our
manufacturing base, and this has especially accelerated in the last eight
years. The only real manufacturing left is our auto companies. Should they
disappear and we face a national emergency, where will the "arsenal of
democracy" come from? Also, Delasantellis is absolutely right when he points
out the burden of health costs that adds to the price of labor and every car,
something the transplants do not have to suffer. Also, he does a great service
in exposing the myth that unionized American auto workers are paid three times
as much as their transplant counterparts. If the George W Bush/Dick Cheney
administration can bail out Wall Street, banks and insurance companies who, by
their bad investment decisions, have caused this economic disaster, can we dare
do less for an industry that is so vital for our national security?
Fariborz S Fatemi
Virginia
USA (Dec 15,'08)
[Re Pakistan's military
takes a big hit, Dec 15] The chickens have come home to roost for
Pakistan's military. Had the United Nations Security Council not condemned
Pakistan's Jamaatut-Dawa (Community of the Messengers of True Islam) as a front
for Lashkar-e-Taiba (LET or Army of the Pure), the Kashmiri group blamed for
the November attacks on Mumbai, the military establishment would have carried
on business as usual. Now it cannot without drawing attention to its complicit
hand in protecting, sustaining, and financing such terrorist groups. Saying
this is really reheating stale bread, but the road from Mumbai has led to
Pakistani terrorists, thereby giving the civilian government of President Asif
Ali Zardari, with the weight of a UN formal condemnation behind him, the power
to rope in the military's prerogatives and put Jamaat-ud-Dawa leaders under
house arrest. Zardari has wider powers to go after other terrorist groups with
ties to the Pakistani military, and some whose activities are aimed at the
overthrow of the state itself. It is then no secret that the military has found
cover for extra activities especially since the days of the late-president Zia
ul-Haq, who strongly sought to Islamize Pakistan's military, breaking with the
secular legacy of the country's founder Mohammed Ali Jennah.
Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 15,'08)
[Re Gold fever sets
in, Dec 11] I hadn't heard of either "backwardation" or the Comex
before Professor Fekete's article came out, so I may be quite wrong here.
However, it seems the Comex itself is as compromised as other key US
institutions, and that gold owners are among the few who can just take their
commodity and run. As I've said, I'm feeling my way in the dark here, but
shouldn't more of the focus be on the exchange itself? This all reminds me of
Spain in the latter part of its Golden Age [1492-1659], saddled with
dysfunctional ideas, laws and institutions. As horrible as it all is now, it
can get worse and stay that way for generations, without better ideas, laws and
institutions.
Steve McCaffery
St Catharines
Canada (Dec 15,'08)
The scandal of [Illinois Governor Rod] Blagojevich is providing
crisis-weary Americans a much-needed injection of comic relief. Additionally,
heads collectively shake at the brazenness, stupidity and sheer greed the
ill-advised Illinois governor has exhibited - corruption so vast that it rivals
the numerous scandals of the George W Bush administration. Indeed, this may be
the greatest hidden tragedy of this latest in a seemingly interminable chain of
political corruption scandals, that Americans have become so inured and
accustomed to the frequency and magnitude of the corrosion that it takes
mega-scandals to register a blip on the public consciousness. Fifteen minutes
of fame for politicos requires much more than just getting caught with their
hand in the cookie jar. But this level of numbness has been building since
former president Richard Nixon stained the Oval Office with his crude penchant
for vengeance. His impeachment and conviction could have set a precedent that
other presidents would have transgressed at their peril, but alas, that was not
to be. The standard was thus set for continued violations of the public trust.
Sure enough, the Reagan years gave us S&L scandals, Iran-contra and CIA
[Central Intelligence Agency] drug-running, serious events, to be sure, which
generated their share of outrage, but already the public was content to fume
and vent with no real repercussions to the perps. Former president Bill
Clinton's moral laxity was punished by politically vindictive Grand Old Party
(GOP) operatives, not out of any moral zeal, of course, since so many of their
own brethren were just as guilty, if not more so, of similar sexual and
financial peccadilloes. But these were just more sedatives to the political
consciousness, which now made every value or principle relative; as long as "my
man/woman" didn't get caught, everything was kosher. The bar sank lower and
lower, as so-called private business scandals, such as Enron, became cannon
fodder for a zombified electorate. The stage was set for Bush Junior, who took
all of his predecessors' scandals, magnified them by a factor of 10 or 20, and
made no bones about it to anyone. By that time, and with the trauma of the
September 11, 2001 attacks as his convenient and suspicious excuse, the public
was ready to accept any and all violations and repudiations of every value the
country had held dear. The crack that Nixon had started had become an open
breach, allowing all of the ideals and noble sounding tenets of Americanism to
gush out in a torrent, leaving nothing, absolutely nothing but drought and
misery behind. So here we are, our economy, constitution, public trust,
industrial base, military, core values and fundamental faith utterly destroyed,
and there's no one to blame but ourselves. We started down this slippery slope
in 1974 and kept looking the other way, thinking these were just "bad apples"
and not the whole barrel. But they came from a diseased and infected orchard,
grown from the poisoned soil of relative morality, opportunistic politics and
American capitalistic-democracy. Blagojevich may be the poster boy of the day,
but leaving out unconvicted criminals like Bush Junior, Ronald Reagan and
Richard Nixon would be disingenuous in the extreme.
Hardy Campbell
Houston TX USA (Dec 15,'08)
[Re Change or deja vu?
Obama divides Iran, Dec 12] Mr Porter says that the Iranian leadership,
(and, I'm sure, the ordinary people, as well), have both optimistic and
pessimistic views of the new Barack Obama administration in Washington. One of
the things I learned about the average Iranian, when I lived among them, just
as their revolution was getting underway, was that they are very good judges of
human character - and that they always say it the way it is. So I assume that
the optimists are in the minority. In fact, I'd bet my US Vice President Dick
Cheney t-shirt on it. The pessimists had spotted all the right omens when they
decided that Obama's foreign policy would continue to be dictated by the Jewish
Lobby. All the world knows that it's there, but only the Iranian leadership has
had the "courage" to call a spade a shovel. So Gareth Porter's final words on
this part of the matter should not be a surprise to anyone who has been paying
attention to the (American) world around them. "Now the Obama administration's
early signals appear to have tilted the post-election debate [in Tehran] over
negotiations in favor of those who doubt Obama's ability to deliver a change in
US policy".
Keith E Leal
Canada (Dec 15,'08)
The article, Pakistan's
military takes a big hit, [Dec 15] by Syed Saleem Shahzad, clearly
outlines the terrorist arm of the Pakistani military. The United Nations
statement that Jamaatut Dawa is a new terrorist group coupled with the action
of freezing its assets has been tried before with other terrorist groups
emanating from Pakistan but with no results. Pakistan's military will not give
up this connection nor attempt to dismantle the Inter-Services Intelligence
(ISI); both sectors, one illegal and the other (the ISI) legal have served
Islamabad diligently. If this US-backed government follows the dictates from
the UN then there is a good chance that the current government may be
overthrown and replaced by another military coup. The anti-India/US theocratic
influence in Pakistan is rising and could joins hands with the military. If
this happens, it could lead to full-scale war with India.
Chrysantha Wijeyasingha
Clinton, USA (Dec 15,'08)
[Re Win-win opening
for Russia and OPEC, Dec 10] The price of oil and natural gas are very
heavily influenced by the NYMEX and ICE in New York and London, respectively,
as well as by our largest banks (JPMorgan; Goldman Sachs). Short of an outright
dollar collapse, which the Chinese will certainly not allow (considering what
it would do to their own economy) and thus won't be happening any time soon
despite the author's hopes, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and Russia cannot do a thing to shift the current monetary
arrangements involving the global energy sector towards any sort of
multi-currency pricing standard. Also, the exporters the author mentions will
not be able to set successful production level agreements while under the
duress of rising domestic social and political turmoil (see Greece for a mild
version of this too-common phenomenon). More likely than what the author paints
is that an economically weakened Moscow will face a soft coup before 2010.
Russians bitterly remember the hunger of the 1990s and will do anything to
prevent it happening again, including removing their Kremlin-sponsored populist
puppets.
R Kline
Chicago (Dec 15,'08)
[Re The search for a
US envoy for Iran, Dec 10] Why does this thing about big, bad Iran and
its big, bad nuclear bomb go on and on? It's a squandering of newspaper and
cyber space, not to mention an insult to the intelligence of anyone with common
sense and the ability to read and think. According to international law,
specifically, the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, (of which Iran is a
signatory), and simple common sense, Iran has every right to develop its own
nuclear energy. When we were in Iran, in the 1970s, the shah, who was much more
of a loose cannon than what's there now, had a deal going with General
Electric, et al, to build him six such generation plants. (Could it be that the
real US powers-that-be had plans for making this guy their regional nuclear
satrap? Knowing what we do about the US today, that's not such a kooky idea, is
it?) In any case, the shah's (purported) reason for developing nuclear energy
was that the fossil fuel route was/is terminal; so Iran - a non-industrialized
country of 66 million people - should prepare for that event in advance with
some of the proceeds of its petroleum resources. Good thinking and feasible -
when you're a US lackey. But if you are a nation that has rejected the
"American Way", you are, automatically, terrorist and deserving of punishment -
any sort of punishment that twisted minds can conceive of. Finally, most
important of all, if your real estate's location happens to be critical for the
advancement of US geo-petro hegemony and your regional neighbors are
indifferent to your cause, then you have to do what a man's gotta do. So Kaveh
L Afrasiabi, the author of this article, has it right when he says: "The fact
is that Iran has already mastered nuclear fuel technology and the only thing
the outside world can do to prevent a 'break-out' is to address the country's
national security fears and concerns that may one day trigger such a
development."
Keith E Leal
Canada (Dec 12,'08)
Donald Kirk has set the right tone in
Pentagon's faux pas pleases Pyongyang [Dec 11]. A slip of
the pen in a US Department of Defense (DOD) report listing "North Korea as one
of 'five nuclear powers' ... on the rime of the great Asian continent ..." has
brought immediately a refutation from the Pentagon that a mistake was made in
wording. The inclusion of the phrase "nuclear power" understandably raised
South Korea's hackles, on one hand, and on the other indicates a degree of
carelessness on the part of the DOD. It has as Kirk suggests two readings. One,
a torpedoing of the six-party talks in Beijing being held at the present
moment, or more simply, a statement of fact that yes Pyongyang has nuclear
weapons, which has explosive diplomatic implications. But this curious wording
in a Pentagon document won't derail the six-party talks, as little progress in
the current round is expected, even without the Pentagon's indiscretion. North
Korea has rejected out of hand China's proposal on nuclear verification
procedures and the talks will extend into 2009 when president-elect Barack
Obama is in office. Pyongyang's evasive shifts of humor in negotiations is
nothing new. North Korea has used and will continue to play its nuclear card in
six-party talks. Nonetheless, the wording of the Pentagon document signals a
clear lack of clarity of thought.
Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 12,'08)
[Re US auto rescue
- a society health check, Dec 10] For once, I, a diehard
liberal-progressive American, find common ground with the Republicans, though
perhaps not for the same reasons. The Senate GOPs' rejection of the auto
bailout plan is justified, but not because this effort constitutes governmental
picking-and-choosing of winners and losers. The failure of the US auto industry
has been long in coming and with plenty of warning, red flags and prescient
forecasts. Indeed, it is amazing it has not happened sooner, since it has long
been obvious that the Detroit management was only interested in fattening their
plutocratic portfolios - the American public, environment and economy be
damned. Their feet permanently mired in the quicksand of the early 20th
century, the Big Three struggled with each new non-Anglo-Saxon competitor, each
new innovation or design, and every spike in fossil fuel prices. Their reaction
times to such challenges makes quadriplegic snails look positively Mercurian by
contrast, but not even that failure doomed the industry in the long run. Just
as every general is condemned by history and human nature to fight the latest
war by the tactics of its predecessors, so Detroit fought for survival using
the paradigm and mentality of the post-war years. A massive, ponderous work
force, using industrial practices with roots in the assembly lines of Ford,
represented a past that was no longer viable or efficient, a fact tacitly
acknowledged by the Detroitosaurians, since they always resisted the extensive
the re-education, re-tooling and infrastructure revamping they required. So I
support the rejection of a bailout because it is time for the dinosaurs to die
and make way for nimbler, more daring and less reactionary managers to
revolutionize the industry once more. Sadly, Detroit itself will probably
wither away and die, or undergo gut-wrenching transformation, but the time is
well past for gradual, painless tinkering and tweaking. American ingenuity and
daring needs to let the forest fire clear out the diseased, old and tired
deadwood for the new growth to be generated, without the suffocating shade of
tottering giants to stifle their growth. For those who decry the domino effect
that will cause millions more jobs to vanish, I say, better now than later,
after billions more of our tax money goes into the wallets of the incompetents
who destroyed their industry in the first place. Sure as shootin', the car
industry that squandered money they owned will do so with even more gusto and
less inhibition when the money's not theirs in the first place.
Hardy Campbell
Houston, TX USA (Dec 12,'08)
[Re China sends jitters
to India through Nepal, Dec,10] Dhruba Adhikary's article regarding the
uphill struggle that Nepal's current ruler is facing to balance Nepal's
relationship with its two giant neighbors China and India is descriptive,
analytical and to a certain extent realistic. Not only Nepal but also other
close nations like Sri Lanka and Bangladesh are feeling uneasy and having a
hard time dealing with India, whose main intention is one day to rule the
remaining smaller nations in the sub-continent. The double role played by India
naturally creates a state of extreme concern in China, particularly the role
India has been playing on the issue of an independent Tibet. India is the
largest democratic country in the world and its constructive role undoubtedly
contributes a lot to world peace and democracy, but its expansionist ambitions
keeps it unpopular. Nepal's current Prime Minister Prachanda seems troubled by
the lack of national consensus on foreign policy to deal with the nation's
northern and southern neighbors. And both India and China are trying to
influence him for sustainable strategic gains. The attachment with China by
being Maoist is necessary to maintain ideological relations for future
prospects, and it is necessary to be strong with India because of past pacts
and surrenders to this country. As far as the population is concerned, they
don't want to be unnecessarily trapped with either through the mistakes of
their leaders. To secure a strong, prosperous,democratic and independent Nepal,
the only option is a greater and broader leadership alliance encompassing all
political forces and the monarchy, and the drafting of an effective
constitution that best suits to the needs of the people and the land.
Dibakar Pant
St Paul, USA (Dec 12,'08)
I am a devoted reader and admirer of the articles published by Asia Times
Online. But I'd like to bring a problem to your notice, that is that there
often seems to be Pakistan-bashing between the lines of every article written
about the country. Pakistan is a victim of terrorism and a frontline state for
the fight against terror, and needs and deserves respect.
Mohammad A Sheikh (Dec 12,'08)
Strange. One of our correspondents based in India recently commented on
purported India-bashing in our reports. - ATol
[Re Hit the road,
Damascus tells Americans, December 11] This story reminds me of my
experience in Iran, 1977-78, and I have had reason to say, many times since,
that Americans never learn. After two years in residence there, my wife and I
were becoming very attached to the country and its people. I was a process
operations instructor in the oil industry, but my trainees, thanks to United
States foreign policy, were the country's imminent "revolutionaries" - (I
called them freedom fighters) - rather than its gas-plant operators. They were
also the young guys who would fight and die (640,000 of them) in the eight
years of the American-blessed Iran-Iraq War [in the 1980s]. So my wife and I
can certainly empathize with the expats involved in this, (yet another),
demonstration of "The American Way" abroad. However, I have long felt that
these "good" Americans that are popping up everywhere these days are shirking a
responsibility. They are the people who (purportedly) put the rulers of their
nation in place. Do they not feel obliged to see that they then rule the "good"
American way? And should they not take caution that the strings of control are
truly in the people's hands ... and stay there? Since our time in the Middle
East and the coming of the Internet, I have kept in close touch with events
there and in the Central Asian region. This is where the future of mankind is
being shaped today. So, to me, the new man in the Oval Office is little more
than another case of I'll-believe-it-when-I-see-it, another "American Dream".
Let's hope it comes true ... with a lot of help from the "good" people of the
world.
Keith E Leal
Alberta, Canada (Dec 11,'08)
Antoaneta Bezlova's
Yuan's slide no power game [Dec 11] makes an interesting observation:
China is trying to "dump" its export surplus on the world market to regain
statistically strong economic growth in a global recession. In spite of China's
deep pockets, the monumental downturn in the world markets has unfavorably
affected its own industries and export trade, especially its own multinational
corporations, which in the spirit of zhuada fangxiao - grasping the
large and releasing the small - in order to enlarge market share. This model is
a pale copy of Korea's chaebol; it means that the medium- and
small-sized export subcontractors of the multinationals are left with hardly
any political support and financial backing from the central government. And it
is precisely the medium and smaller export industries which are feeling the
full force of the worldwide economic problems. Viewed from this angle, the
slide in the yuan is buffeted by the market which Beijing can no longer prop up
nor protect its currency and trade policy, as it has done in the past. Simply
put, China's road to capitalism has enmeshed it into the global capitalist
economy. As such, it is open to the strong winds and high tides of the market.
Bezlova cites Michael Pettis, a professor of finance at Beijing University's
Guanghua School of Management, as saying that China is banking on a perilous
strategy to maintain high growth which historically has led to a crash of
fitfully resound. And that augurs little good. Nakamura Junzo
Guam (Dec 11,'08)
The article US
auto rescue - a society health check by Julian Delasantellis [Dec 11]
states that the US auto industry and those that came up with this measly US$14
billion are hoping that this "bailout" will save the day. What a laugh! Car
dealerships across the nation are having a very hard time selling their product
- the car. One would conclude that this auto "bailout" is for the stock
holders, CEOs and corrupt politicians, while thousands of auto workers are
being laid off with little or no rescue package. Watch as these auto CEOs go
back to Washington for more bailouts.
Chrysantha Wijeyasingha
Clinton, USA (Dec 11,'08)
The article about taxi protests in China [Taxi
protests test China's tolerance, Dec 11] causing worry to their
government about social unrest is very significant when taken with the many
signs of unrest elsewhere - for example, Greece, Africa. Much has been said
about the resemblance of the current economic crisis to the Great Depression,
but little has been said about the social unrest of today compared to the
widespread social unrest of the 1930s. We can expect severe social upheavals
around the world, very likely including the US. The political/social map of the
world is due for drastic change.
Ron Mepwith USA (Dec 11,'08)
I agree with the analysis of David Gosset in
An unnecessary quarrel [Dec 9]. Unless the Dalai Lama is able to print
money, it is difficult to understand the motivation behind French President
Nicolas Sarkozy's gambit. Ideological grounds are a possibility, but in the
context of global financial and economic crises, an ideological ploy at this
time is almost nonsensical, if not irresponsible. The most rational ground may
be that the European Union (EU) does not have the upper hand in trade and
finance negotiations with China and the developing countries. If the EU is to
maintain some leadership or negotiating advantage by whatever is important to
it, be it trade, government philosophy, redirection or reformulation of the
global financial markets, moral authority, or a combination thereof, then the
Sarkozy gambit is meant to introduce potential destabilizing consequences that
the EU may utilize in future negotiations with China, particularly in view of
the replacement in 2009 by a smaller and perhaps less influential country as
the rotating head of the EU. If this is the case, the Sarkozy/Mirek Topolanek
prime minister of the Czech Republic] gambit is functional in the short term.
On the other hand, China's approach and policies are for the most part based on
the long term. Hence, there is friction in an otherwise professed smoother,
mutually beneficial relationship between the EU and China in these times of
crisis; and the question becomes, who do you think will benefit?
mlee
New York, New York (Dec 10,'08)
[Re China plays Tibet card
to the full, Dec 9] I would like to ask Wu Zhong what he thinks should
be the reaction of the Chinese government regarding the issue of Sarkozy seeing
the Dalai Lama. Personally, I think if China had shown a meek reaction then all
the Western countries would take it lightly in future. The Western countries
are probing the resolve of China. Needless to say, there goes Taiwan and
Xinjiang. It really is a matter of killing the chicken to warn the monkeys. Wu
Zhong should read the article written by David Gosset,
An unnecessary quarrel [Dec 9]. It is unbelievable that Gosset is even
an Westerner.
Wendy Cai
USA (Dec 10,'08)
Trombay is an island very close to Mumbai. India's biggest nuclear
establishment BARC is situated there. It has nuclear research labs, nuclear
reactors and a facility to manufacture nuclear weapons. It is a place where a
lot of fissile uranium and plutonium can be found. The purpose of the
terrorists who attacked Mumbai was to cause maximum damage and they succeeded
partially. Now the indications are that they could attack another soft target.
What better target is there than BARC? They can reach the target by sea using
mini-submarines or hijack a plane from Mumbai airport and use it as a weapon. A
truckful of explosives could be brought to the door of a reactor or the weapons
facility. Just imagine the damage it could do! India's defenses at BARC are
very poor. There is no radar system. No missiles integrated with the radar.The
Indian navy is oblivious to the Chinese and Pakistani submarines that often
cruise in the area. Some Asian smugglers use the mini-submarines on a regular
basis. The police and some politicians know about it. But there is a nexus of
police, politicians and organized crime and the underworld has its tentacles
right into BARC. After all, they were able to persuade some scientists to make
"black diamonds" for them. The loot was shared by all. The terrorists can
easily use the criminals to get some inside help. Kargil [brief border war in
1999] would have not happened if India had paid attention to Pakistan's
procurement of defense equipment. Why is Pakistan trying its best to get more
submarines,air-to-surface missiles and [unmanned aerial vehicles] UAVS?
Jay Jolly (Dec 10,'08)
Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari had to be seen to be doing something to
calm India's anger and so conveniently captured Zakiur Rehman Lakhvi, whom
Indian officials have fingered as a top controller of the 10 gunmen who staged
the Mumbai attack. Why was he not captured months ago? It is inconceivable that
such a precise, meticulous military operation could have been carried out from
outside India. The entire Mumbai drama seems as scripted as a Bollywood movie.
Saqib Khan
UK (Dec 10,'08)
[Re US-China
dialogue is Paulson's vital legacy, Dec 9] The US-China Strategic
Economic Dialogue won't be scrapped by the incoming Barack Obama
administration, it is easy to say. Nonetheless, its emphasis will change. As
China's vice premier told US Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson at the
beginning of the recently completed round of talks, China's first and foremost
concern is the "safety of China's assets and investments in the US", in the
light of a widening global recession. Mr Paulson, as Jing-dong Yuan stresses,
is a firm believer that "engagement" with China is the "only path" to resolving
the dire economic mess in these highly globalized times. The US secretary of
the treasury's view is optimistic, narrow and naive, and if we hold to the
light his handling of the US subprime mortgage meltdown, it leaves us to openly
question his position. It is equally disturbing that he is treating relations
with China as though he were still chairman of Goldman Sachs and working for
China as Goldman's client. The US is equally concerned with the safety of its
assets and multi-billion dollar investments in a China, where the government
has undisputed control over financial controls and the power to restrict
internal markets to foreign capital. Furthermore, Beijing is looking to sharpen
the presence of its overseas investments and its own corporations to operate as
global enterprises. And as such, frictions will arise with the US. Obviously,
the downturn in the US economy has a direct bearing on China's investments as
placements and export trade with its largest market. The weakened US economy
has had a direct and indirect and even unforeseen affect on China's own
economic growth. Which has caused unease in Beijing. Yet, on the issue of
currency reform, it has continued to resist any significant re-evaluation which
would and could ease relations with the US across the board. Therefore, it is
at the same time complicating any arrangements which would be mutually
satisfying to both parties. China has been unwilling to see the broader and
comprehensive picture in dire economic times, and has dug its heels in,
thinking that its massive holdings of US debt put it in the driver's seat.
Beijing, as it slips more and more into capitalist reality and a great
awakening as socialism with Chinese characteristics, seems to have forgotten
the wisdom of John Maynard Keynes. Loosely put, economist Keynes said it this
way: if you owe the bank a million dollars, you are the bank's prisoner. If you
owe them a hundred million, the bank is your prisoner. In spite of the
multi-billion dollar holdings of US debt, in the short and long run, China is
the US's prisoner, and its inability to show flexibility has proven futile. So
with Mr Obama, China may find that the ground has shifted in the running
dialogue that it has with Washington.
Nakamura Junzo
Guam (Dec 9,'08)
Kent Ewing was spot on in
'Roses' lost before translation in China [Dec 4]. With the album
Chinese Democracy, we have yet another rocker who feels the urge to turn all
introspective and intellectual. But Axl is no Bono, and the Chinese leaders
should have just had a good hearty laugh before going back to fixing their
economy.
David L
USA (Dec 8,'08)
[Re Pakistan follows
its own path, Dec 5] The dynamics of an overt state within a state,
like the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), and a covert state within
a state, like the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), are more intriguing than
any James Bond movie. I would like to see a piece from Saleem Shahzad on the
ISI. How it unabashedly operates its own domestic and foreign policy, and how
it was an asset for Pakistan but now may have become a liability. We need to
know about the ISI's omnipotent existence in the historical context, and about
its inner workings and lack of accountability in the "war on terror" context.
We need to go deeper into the dark hallowed halls and dig up what defines this
baleful organization. Maybe Saleem Shahzad can find this former Pakistan
president Zia ul-Haq-era retired major who took orders on the jihadi agenda,
and now runs a questionable charity. And maybe he can get an interview from the
retired brigadier who ran former president Pervez Musharraf's secular agenda at
the ISI (and now can be found at your local gymkhana playing bridge and sipping
wine).
Moiz
Oregon, USA (Dec 8,'08)
[Re A change of wind
over North Korea, Dec 5] The change in the wind is South Korean
President Lee Myung-bak's approach towards North Korea. The ruling Grand
National Party (GNP) has exerted strong pressure on anti-North groups to end
their campaign of sending the balloons full of leaflets towards Pyongyang which
personally attacked Kim Jong-il and denounced the North Korea regime. Mr Lee's
no-nonsense policy towards the North encouraged such groups to act without
interference from the Seoul government. What has happened to make Mr Lee
retreat from his firm position, and begin even resurrecting the ghost of the
Sunshine Policy? One, the cold winds of war which Mr Lee threatened to unleash
unsettled the delicate negotiations of the upcoming six-power talks on
Pyongyang's nuclear program. China and the US want them to proceed towards a
close of sorts. Two, the South Korean president's push for the establishment of
a regime of righteousness in the North has backfired. North Korea's authorities
won't brook any maligning of Kim Jong-il, and what's more they are willing to
sacrifice any benefits from the free-trade zone in Kaesong; in addition, they
are willing to "undo", albeit temporarily, any thaw on the 38th parallel by
closing the borders between North and South Korea. The US is now leaning hard
on Mr Lee to soften his policy towards the North, and South Korea is in the
midst of a bad economic turn. In fact, Mr Lee's government is betting on
exports to put a smile on a grim economic face, and Kaesong plays an important
part in South Korea's export model. So, it is not surprising that it is from
the South that zephyrs are blowing northwards.
Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 8,'08)
[Re Iran's breakout
incapability, Dec 5] Kaveh L Afrasiabi is right. Dennis Ross and Martin
Indyk, former Palestinian/Israeli negotiators and retreads from the Clinton
years, are not honest brokers when it comes to Iran. As pointed out by Aaron
David Miller, author of The Much Promised Land and an expert on Middle
Eastern negotiations who at times was part of the Ross/Indyk team: part of the
reason the Palestinian/Israeli negotiations were not successful was because
Ross and Indyk served as Israel's lawyers. What America needs for its Iran
policy to be successful are honest brokers. A president-elect Barack Obama team
on Iran composed of people who continue to perpetuate false assumptions based
on "iffy" scenarios will bring more of the same, not change. In order for
negotiations with Iran to get somewhere, the myths need to be challenged over
and over again and dispelled. Myth number one, Iran must be prevented from
acquiring nuclear weapons. Iran has no nuclear weapons and there is no credible
evidence that it is engaged in developing or acquiring them. US national
intelligence agencies have said so, as has the International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA). Myth number two, by enriching uranium, Iran is verging on
"breakout capability". According to IAEA inspectors, Iran has not enriched
uranium to weapons grade. The uranium it has enriched amounts to 630 kilograms
of industrial grade. It would need 1,700 kilograms of highly enriched uranium
for a single bomb. As Afrasiabi points out, all nuclear facilities in Iran are
under IAEA inspection. Time and time again, the IAEA reports have said: "the
agency has been able to continue to verify the non-diversion of declared
nuclear materials in Iran. Iran has provided the agency with access to declared
nuclear materials and has provided the required nuclear material accounting
reports in connection with declared nuclear materials and activities. All
nuclear materials at fuel enrichment plants as well as all installed cascades
remain under agency containment and surveillance." Myth number three, Iran's
advancement in missile capability. This is another red herring. To have missile
capability is one thing, but this does not automatically translate into a
mechanism for delivering a nuclear bomb. The fact is, Iran has no mechanism for
delivering a nuclear bomb. The question again must be asked why are all the
lies and distortions continuing and constantly perpetuated? Whose interests
does this serve? Certainly not the national interests of the United States.
There must be a fresh approach to negotiations with Iran. It should be based on
justice, dignity and real facts, not made up ones.
Fariborz S Fatemi
Virginia, USA (Dec 8,'08)
Al-Qaeda 'hijack' led
to Mumbai attack [Dec 2], by Syed Saleem Shahzad, is indeed
exceptional. It gives a much more clearer picture of what really caused recent
and several earlier Mumbai terrorist attacks and who was responsible for it.
With all their might, mainstream newspapers, media in the US, India and spies
and intelligence agencies in India, the US and other countries still either do
not have such a clear a picture or are not ready to bring it out in such a
clear manner. I congratulate Asia Times Online and Shahzad for this exceptional
analysis and the speed with which it has been brought out. It may indeed help
all concerned in creating a truthful picture of the causes of this event.
Soumyasrajan (Dec 5,'08)
Mr Syed Saleem Shazad's article
Mumbai after-shocks rattle Pakistan [Dec 4], is an excellent article
that clearly illustrates the intrinsic connection between Pakistan's ISI
[Inter-Services Intelligence] and the LET [Lashkar-e-Taiba] terror organization
of Kashmir. This article also reveals the obvious weaknesses of a war between
India and Pakistan. The most blaring example is that the US will play the
events to its advantage and truly enter the South Asian stage. Due to the
recent emergence of strategic alliances between India and the US, the Pakistani
army may face the full brunt of an Indian-US force instead of the traditional
India-Pakistan faceoffs in the past. Secondly, any military action the
al-Qaeda/Taliban nexus makes will factor into the [North Atlantic Treaty
Organization] NATO's war plans against them. A classic example is when the
article quoted the chief of the Jamaatut Dawa, Hafiz Muhammad Saeed, saying,
"LET would be the first line of defense against the Indian navy". He failed in
his speech to mention the "US" factor and overestimates the LET's naval
strength. He goes on to state that he would tell militants in Pakistan's
troubled [North Western Frontier Province] NWFP to hold their fire against the
Pakistani security forces. Again the "US factor" is not even whispered. These
militants will still be engaged against the ever-intrusive NATO forces.
Finally, Pakistan's economy is in the emergency ward, a war against a possible
Indian-US force, and all the sanctions it will carry, is the last thing
Islamabad needs.
Chrysantha Wijeyasingha
Clinton, USA (Dec 5,'08)
In 'Roses' lost before
translation in China [Dec 4], Kent Ewing misconstrues the savvy of the
Chinese censors. When the Guns N' Roses album Chinese Democracy is available on
the band's My Space page, why should precious dollars be spent to encourage
those who want to make money out of others and at the same time make fun of
them? To the Roses, it is a failure to capture a large segment of a potential
market, but they could derive some consolation from a bystander like Ewing.
Seung Li (Dec 5,'08)
[Re Obama's
choice: Straight talk - or more chaos , Dec 4] Hard times mean hard
choices. Nonetheless, US president-elect Barack Obama is not faced with a
Hobson's choice, nor for that matter with Ockham's razor. In other words, he
has other choices than either or as the authors Hossein Askari and Noureddine
Krichene imply. That is to deal with the horrendous economic crisis that he is
inheriting from President George W Bush. If there is a certainty, the new
president will lean towards a modified form of "dirigisme", in order to dig the
country out of a deep recession, he would bring order back into the economy
through government intervention (ie regulation), and spur economic planning
through a mix of private and public enterprise. Askari and Krichene are right
to bring up the US Federal Reserve's stewardship under Ben Bernanke ...
Furthermore, Askari and Krichene seem to forget that as a public servant,
Bernanke will serve at the request of the president of the US, who is Mr Obama.
As the soon to be 44th president has many times said, he has chosen his
secretary of the Treasury Timothy F Geither to carry out his policy to
jump-start the economy along with Mr Obama's economic council and a strong
Democratic presence in Congress and some willing Republicans, and Mr Bernanke
has new marching orders. So, it is not going to be business as usual by a long
shot.
Nakamura Junzo
Guam (Dec 5,'08)
[Re China’s six-to-one
advantage over the US, Dec 1] Spengler's example of potential Chinese
originality is renowned pianist Lang Lang playing someone else's music. A bit
counter-intuitive, but a defensible point that embracing other cultures can
nurture originality. However, Spengler overstates the benefits of studying and
performing classical music. China could dispense with classical music
altogether and not slow its progress perceptibly. Their popular arts and
literature show a lot more genius, inventiveness and promise than their take on
classical music. A more reliable indicator of future originality and success on
the world stage might be the number of high-schoolers who participate in
forensics (debate teams), or who are comfortable raising their hand in class to
ask a question. America may have a piano gap, but China is on the wrong side of
many other gaps. But gaps aside, the Chinese renaissance is here and now,
driven by curiosity, creativeness, self-sacrifice, personal ambition, greed,
nationalism, racial pride, and family honor. It is not the zero-sum game that
Spengler portrays, with winners and those who fetch their coffee. Americans are
just as capable of learning from the Chinese as they from us. Of course, we
Americans must first show that we can rekindle our desire to learn from our own
mistakes before making too much of our ability to learn from others.
Geoffrey Sherwood
New Jersey, USA (Dec 5,'08)
I enjoyed reading the article,
Neo-cons still preparing for Iran attack [Dec 3] by Robert Dreyfuss.
Just about seven weeks are left before president-elect Barack Obama takes the
oath of office, but the uncompromisingly warmongering friends, aides and the
vice president assembled by US President George W Bush still believe America
should "inspire fear" and attack Iran with its full might before it is too
late. They believe that the next administration’s intention of diplomacy would
be dangerous, weak and lenient towards Tehran. Despite incoming secretary of
state Hillary Clinton's bellicose rhetoric of bombing Iran into annihilation if
it threatened Israel, her vehement hatred of Iranian mullahs will be
ineffective when she is in office. Vice President Dick Cheney, one of the
leading warmongers, is hankering and hawking for military action before Bush
leaves the White House, which would leave a bigger mess for Obama to tackle
after the takeover. A point to remember is that American foreign policy is
based on intimidating the world for its political and economic advantage. It is
now accepted more than ever before that all along Kazakhstan's oil and gas
reserves are the crux of all the destabilization of the region, which started
with Afghanistan and Iraq. Next on the list is Iran, and finally will be a
confrontation with Syria. This is to possess 20% of world's oil reserves, for
the domination and free access to the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea,
to bully the region, control oil prices and supply to the world. With oil
prices becoming unpredictable and threatening leading economies' flagrant
lifestyles, it must be done for the sake of the West's and Israel's survival.
With Bush and Cheney leaving soon, a full-scale bombing of Iran would appear to
be certain, any time before January 20, 2009. Cheney and his cabal want to
destroy Iranian mullahs' dreams of possessing nuclear technology for peaceful
purposes. The matter is so serious that the president of Iran has ordered his
country's leading banks to transfer billions of dollars of assets from Europe
to the central bank of Iran to prevent them being frozen by international
sanctions. Cheney's other sinister plan is to put Russia and China on the cold
war footing that is already surfacing in Europe. But the consequences of
bombing Iranian nuclear installations will engulf the globe. Cheney was the
real motivator and propagator of America's evil foreign policy and the power
behind Bush. He has shown the same amount of respect to Bush as a dog would
show to a lamp post.
Saqib Khan
UK (Dec 4,'08)
[Re Neo-cons still
preparing for Iran attack, Dec 3] Mr Dreyfuss says, "That such a
high-level group of luminaries should even propose steps like these - and mean
it - can only be described as lunacy. That an important adviser to
[president-elect Barack] Obama would sign on to such a report should be
shocking, though it has received next to no attention." And that is the crux of
the whole American dilemma; the people who have controlled that nation for the
past eight years are still in charge! It occurred to me early on during this
most recent election that Obama might be a ruse, bought and paid for by the
military industrial complex that president Dwight D Eisenhower warned about in
his farewell to the nation.
Keith E Leal
Canada (Dec 4,'08)
Dr George Koo's Obama
needs new start with China [Dec 3] is a cry from the heart. His
suggestions for a new direction in Sino-US policy are as good as anyone else's.
With an Barack Obama presidency all options seem open, although continuity in
policy should not be ruled out. The new president is giving China much wool of
worry to thread, for Mr Obama is a man who acts, as he has many times
reiterated, out of pragmatism and necessity. Two cardinal virtures which
Beijing practices and appreciates. In other words, although in a way Mr Obama
in policy terms may appear as a soulmate, China is having trouble reading him.
The days of the Bush family's close ties to China are about to change. This
said, Dr Koo does not assess the content of China's international relations,
which has points of convergence yet many differences with US concerns, be they
oil, currency reform, sanctions and human rights. As for a reduction in
military affairs, Dr Koo ignores studies which show that China has by a large
margin not only escalated military expenditures to catch up with the West, but
its strategy is based on the idea that its primary enemy is the US. It is a
truism that for China, the US is a very important market. The growing global
recession and downturn in bilateral trade has and will continue to affect the
slowdown in China's remarkable economic growth, which as everyone knows is
sustained by the wild west-like American consumerism and massive infusions of
American capital. Those days are winding down, with serious socio-economic
implications for the Chinese. Finally, the Wen Ho Lee scandal notwithstanding,
Chinese Americans are no more targeted by homeland security than the ordinary
US citizen in the light of the war against terrorism. Although Dr Koo never
mentions it, the White House and the Pentagon are fingering worry beads since
they do suspect that Chinese hackers have gained illegal entrance into highly
sensitive national security databases. This is cause for concern, it goes
without saying. On the whole, Dr Koo is right to think that under Mr Obama
relations between Beijing and Washington will remain civil and even cordial,
but different in emphasis if not of nature.
Nakamura Junzo
Guam (Dec 4,'08)
[Re Al-Qaeda
'hijack' led to Mumbai attack, Dec 1] I wish to congratulate Syed
Saleem Shahzad for his illuminating, well-researched and level-headed write-up
about the genesis and the utter complexities involved in comprehending the
Mumbai attacks. Please keep up the good work! An honest, uncompromising pursuit
of the actual, unvarnished truth that lies hidden behind the disturbing
headlines we see today; is the best - nay - the only hope we have of clearing
the air of mutual suspicion or the "fog of war", which usually threatens to
cloud our judgements in such troubled times. I sincerely hope the strategic
planners in India have at their disposal the benefit of such in-depth analysis
as well as the patience and wisdom to account for all these subtle insights and
distinctions, which need to be kept in mind before taking the next step. I
believe good sense among our troubled nations can only prevail in light of good
journalism from people like you on both sides of that broken line!
Anand Kapoor (Dec 3,'08)
Juchechosunmanse's letter on December 1 claims India is almost a non-topic in
Chinese cyberspace, yet one has just to browse through some of China's leading
news portal websites' blog sections to find out how deeply Chinese netizens are
obsessed with India.
BB
China (Dec 3,'08)
[Re Taj Mahal leads
India's recovery, Dec 2] Once again Raja Murthy, thanks for your
excellent reporting from Mumbai. However, we must also give credit to the
Pakistani media for forcing India to focus on the failures of its politicians.
Pakistani electronic media have vigorously attacked the Indian media's initial
Pakistan bashing, and to their credit they changed their coverage on the third
day of the siege. As others have said, it is hard for us ordinary citizens to
assess who is behind this carnage. In this case, as the US and bad boy Britain
don't want Pakistani forces disengaged, it leaves only al-Qaeda and Hindu
extremists as the only beneficiaries of sustained hostilities between India and
Pakistan. In the last five years there has been remarkable goodwill for India
from the Pakistani people and finally they have realized that we have so much
in common with Indians. So the last thing we want is renewed hostilities
between the two countries. I don't understand why the Indian government let it
happen when they had advance warning from the US, even last month. Pakistani
President Asif Ali Zardari is finding it impossible to control everything -
more then 200 were killed in Karachi in the last four days during open war
between two ethnic groups. It must be remembered that he lost his own wife
[Benazir Bhutto] just 11 months ago and could have been killed in the Marriott
blast, so I fail to see the Indian logic behind a public flogging of the
Pakistani government. Could sending Indian armed forces to Afghanistan be part
of this reasoning? Whatever it is and whoever has done this, it definitely was
not the Pakistani people or the government, who would rather emulate the
success of India and enjoy the fruits of bilateral trade and enhanced cultural
exchanges between the two countries.
R Ahmed
Chicago, USA (Dec 3,'08)
[Re Obama team
promises 'new dawn', Dec 2] The author is right about the hawkish tone
of many of Barack Obama's appointments, particularly that war-mongering Hillary
Clinton, the future secretary of state. At a time when we ought to begin
supporting international law, he has chosen lawbreakers. The US has a splendid
opportunity to strengthen international law and order by carrying out a
concerted campaign against the pirates near Somalia and near Indonesia.
Ron Mepwith (Dec 3,'08)
The atrocities in Mumbai committed by 10 terrorists were solely in the name of
those who committed them and not in the name of Islam, as so perfidiously
portrayed by the Indian and Western media. What possible benefit could Pakistan
have achieved or would achieve out of this barbarity when thousands of its own
people have been killed and murdered by the same terrorists? As a consequence
of terrorism, Pakistan's economy is in ruin and the country is going down the
drain politically, financially and socially. Indian intelligence services had
every possible information that a terrorist attack on Mumbai was imminent and
even the CIA [US Central Intelligence Agency] warned them of the forthcoming
threat, yet the central and Maharashtra government allowed the horrendous crime
to happen. Either it was sheer incompetence or a deliberate attempt to ignore
the intelligence to manipulate the aftermath for political gains before the
general election. And why is it that Mumbai is always a "soft target" for these
terrorists? The citizens of Mumbai are getting rebellious and disgruntled with
the provincial and central government and still mopping up the blood on their
streets, railway stations and counting the corpses in their hotels. So the
Indian government has a motive to blame Pakistan without any concrete evidence,
apart from what is coming out of the mouth of the captured terrorist? Is the
word of a criminal and a terrorist to be believed and put India on a war
footing, rather than trusting the Pakistan government? Indian politicians and
their parties are itching to start a war against Pakistan to win the next
general election. This is real: India and Pakistan have gone to war three times
since the 1947 partition. The prospect of another war in the sub-continent is
horrendous and chilling to imagine with the mushroom clouds of death and
destruction dwarfing the horrors of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Indian politicians
should speak, behave and act responsibly and stop being selfish and silly for
the sake of wining their constituencies in the next general election. Pakistan
is suffering even worse atrocities because of a lot of terrorism inflicted on
its territory originates in foreign lands, but it does not accuse India or
indulge in a childish "blame game" The attacks of September 11, 2001, on Lahore
in July, on Islamabad's Marriott hotel on September 20, on London on July
7, 2005, in Bali and in Madrid were repugnant to the world's 1.87 billion
Muslims and not compatible with Islamic teachings. Please do not call these
terrorists "jihadis, Islamists or Muslims" because by doing so, you are
sullying Islam.
Saqib Khan
UK (Dec 3,'08)
[Re Court
brings down Thai government, Dec 3] The court's decision is a victory
for the People's Alliance for Democracy (PAD), which has held the Thai economy
hostage. The PAD, in spite of its name, is a coalition of the Thai elite and
the monied classes who are waging their own form of class warfare to keep the
rural and urban poor in their place once and for all. Is it a pyrrhic victory?
It looks as though it were so. The dissolved People's Power Party has taken the
precaution to rise out of its ashes as a new party. As such, the ancient regime
in the guise of the PAD has much to worry about since its cannot stop the
championing of the small people by the exiled former prime minister Thaksin
Shinawatra. On the other hand, in
East Timor kills Chinese power deal[Dec 3], we see the courts in Timor
Leste or East Timor striking down the hasty actions of the Parliamentary
Majority Alliance (AMP), who courted investment from China. Here, the AMP's
plans were thwarted by the opposition FREITLAN party, which craves a return to
power. The courts ruled against the AMP because it had strained the limits of
the law. Further scratching the surface in Dili we see an example of not only a
fight for power, which thank goodness has not broken out into armed conflict as
it did a year or so ago, but also of the determination of the AMP to slip out
of the grasp of Australia and reclaim the right of self-determining the use of
its own natural resources. This would create a path to bring East Timor out of
economic underdevelopment at a more rapid pace. In brief, in Thailand, we see
the forces of the old who won't stop at anything to retain their own caste and
privileges, and in East Timor, a double-layered struggle for the control of the
future and to free a country from the colonial-like grip of Australia.
Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 3,'08)
[Re China's six-to-one
advantage over the US, Dec 1] Stunning article by Spengler, the recent
six-to-one scenario. Absolutely riveting, music to my ears. A natural piece of
writing which flows like the classical music he has talked about, a smart
vision of the future where minds will be more important than weapons. I was
humbled by the vision and the award qualifying content. He may also consider
this. The trans-Atlantic money cycle, which is an unnatural blip on the world
trade cycles, is ending. The new, more powerful Eurasian cycle, with its 5
billion people, 75% of the world's resources, 70% of the world's population and
largest land mass with the world's most interconnected roads to be built, is
coming. This is why the "war on terror" is so important, with energy being the
key to how the transference takes place. The trans-Atlantic cycle was unnatural
in the first place, built on colonialism, unnatural communism, and slavery
through the compound interest models of the International Monetary Fund and the
World Bank, which are now irrelevant entities except to those who intend to
borrow money and just never pay it back. China produces more engineers,
scientists and every other "ist" than anyone else on the planet. They don't
need to innovate, let the hard research and development work be done by someone
else. Just copy it, make it much cheaper by a factor of up to 90% and ask the
competitor to challenge that! Let the customer make the decision who is
relevant to their transaction. In industrial warfare, you have to create
conditions where your competitor can always have the possibility of losing ...
Can you take away the will to progress from your competitor? Can you make them
give up without a fight? Can you force them into a position whereby the only
industry they can supply is the military industrial complex? Can you make the
competitor industry stay alive only by placing its energy into fighting its
client and subject states? And that is where the downfall starts … when the
only transaction which is suitable is one which is based on the destruction of
people in wars fabricated for the purpose of just maintaining and sustaining an
existence. When this position entrenches itself into a cyclical entity, then
the whole empire starts to deplete itself, it is at war with the very
principles that make it an empire: fairness, equality, diversity, strength
through friendships, strength through trade, partnerships through growth. It
usually culminates in the "run to the hills" process, where the industrialists,
bankers, financiers, rich, powerful and decision-makers realize what is
happening and start to run away from the quicksand ... The whole process of
collapse gets faster until there is simply no place to go than just to
collapse. This is what America is up against. Why do they have to follow the
American rules, and who is really in the red and who is really in the yellow?
Ghengis Veddar (Dec 3,'08)
Genocidal
loopholes in Cambodia by Stephen Kurczy [Dec 3], gives us a general
lopsided look at the trial shenanigans of what remains of the leadership of the
former Khmer Rouge. But somehow the whole trial sounds as if it is being held
in a vacuum. Is no mention being made of American atrocities committed against
Cambodia at this trial? If so, then why do we not hear about it? Obviously, the
US would have to be defeated in war first before its leaders could appear in
the dock in Phnom Penh. In the meantime, they are being allowed to hold the
moral high ground. Who will ever, for example, pay for the crimes of president
Richard Nixon and his national security advisor Henry Kissinger. In 1969,
believing that the territory of Cambodia was being used by North Vietnam for
the transportation of munitions and as a safe haven, the US began carpet
bombing it for 14 months with B-52s; 3,500 bombing sorties were flown,
resulting in an estimated 600,000 deaths. The US was not officially at war with
Cambodia and the bombing and ground incursions into Cambodia were kept a secret
from the worldwide public during that time. At the same time, Cambodia was
supposed to be an ally of the US. It seems that history is written by the
victors and those put on trial are put on trial by the victors. So unless you
can get the US into the dock to answer for its crimes, it is pointless to put
on trial the surviving leadership of the Khmer Rouge.
Wilson John Haire
London (Dec 3,'08)
One could posit that president-elect Barack Obama's election (and I know there
are rumblings against some appointments, such as Hillary Clinton - but I feel
these are misplaced; she will certainly prove herself a formidable enforcer)
injects a technicolor element into things. For the recalcitrant terrorist, a
world that is no longer transmitted in black and white but in fully nuanced
color is a substantially different proposition. I am certain the
president-elect will take the opportunity to engage previously pariah states,
with both hands. One senses a pragmatist at work. Therefore, one would
extrapolate that those state actors who were deeply alienated might be
compelled to enter into a dialogue. Even their domestic and radicalized
constituencies I am sure will demand an engagement and a conversation. This
prospective rapprochement is clearly not to the terrorists' liking. In that
context, one can better understand the viciousness of Mumbai. It might very
well have been designed to drive a blood-stained wedge between the Pakistani
and Indian governments, and India seems to be falling into that very trap. It
is entirely alarming that 10 boys with AK-47s can cause such havoc and other
cities in other countries need to be aware of what can happen. The asymmetry is
plain alarming.
Aly-Khan Satchu
Nairobi (Dec 2,'08)
[Re Strange storm
brews in South Asia, Dec 1] Unfortunately, both India and Pakistan have
created a trap from which escape will be difficult, if not impossible. Pakistan
under president Zia ul-Haq first created the trap for US money and patronage
when the Soviets were in Afghanistan. America not only provided funds for the
Zia government, but also took over the training of the Inter-Services
Intelligence (ISI) when Pakistan lost control over its own secret service. From
then on, no administration in Pakistan has had any control over the terrorists
and they feel free to terrorize anywhere inside or outside the Pakistani
borders. Though the present civilian president of Pakistan is trying
desperately to get out of this trap, the Indian administration needs to blow
hot against Pakistan to escape from its own trap. That Mumbai has been a
gateway to smugglers between the Gulf states and India using the sea route has
been an open secret for a long time. The Indian authorities, using their
infinite wisdom, believed that the route would only be used by the decent
"law-abiding" smugglers, busy smuggling such harmless stuff as drugs, and
turned a blind eye to their activities. Now, with an election looming, they
have no other alternative but to play the blame-game - it is easier to move
your army to the border area than to investigate how the attack took place, and
hang themselves in the process.
TutuG (Dec 2,'08)
[Re Strange storm
brews in South Asia, Dec 1] Thank you Asia Times Online for the
comprehensive coverage from your journalists and commentators on the latest
terrorist attacks on India. As someone who lived in Asia for a long period,
including stints in India, Pakistan, Indonesia and Bangladesh, besides the
bigger cities such as Hong Kong and Tokyo, my initial reaction was "not again".
Your continued monitoring of the developments will be invaluable to all of us.
What was the reaction of other Asian countries, including China, to this mess?
Could we hope for more follow-up on those stories?
Salt (Dec 2,'08)
Obama's collision course
with China [Dec 1], simply restates the problems that the Bill Clinton
and George W Bush administrations have had with Beijing. Human rights, currency
and trade. Broadly speaking, you can say that China is on a collision course
with the US. The weakening of the American economy and the tightening of the
American consumer's purse have had an immediate effect on China's economy.
Immediately, we see huge inventories, the closing of thousands of factories,
the spike in unemployment, and a noticeable slowing of China's
"werkschaftwunder". And this is happening even before president-elect Obama is
sworn in as America's 44th president. So if there is to be a collision course,
its trajectory has long been set under Mr Bush's stewardship as president.
Benjamin Shobert, the author, has reason to worry since it would disrupt
opportunities in the market for say his Chinese clients to introduce
high-technology ventures into the US. But his fears may remain simply that, for
the two Congressional commission reports on China break no new ground, and do
not necessarily indicate a radical departure in Sino-American relations. It is
always difficult to give us an accurate forecast as to how Beijing is going to
employ its sovereign funds. We do know that in the face of a growing global
recession, China has dipped into its deep pockets to earmark $600 billion to
deal with the downturn in its own economy. Let's face it, no one really knows
Mr Obama's China's policy. As for Beijing, it has put itself into a snit over
the fact that French President Nicolas Sarkozy was going to welcome Tibet's
Dalai Lama. It worked itself into such a state of agitation that it refused to
attend a Sino-European conference. China's wish for the Tibet issue to go away
is unrealistic, for it won't, although the worldwide recession has slowly drawn
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown to inch towards its view. Saying this
doesn't improve our understanding of Mr Obama's thoughts on China. He is a man
who keeps his own counsel, and when he wants to divulge it, he shall, no
sooner, no later.
Nakamura Junzo
Guam (Dec 2,'08)
[Re The hottest place
in the world, Dec 1] Chan Akya is losing himself, and keeping company
with Spengler is doing him no good other than subverting his mind with failed
ideas from the bad old 1930s. As I've previously pointed out, the original,
clean Chan Akya was from Pakistan, and not Mitteleuropa. Anyway, our friend
needs to look beyond a "Hindu resurgence". The BJP [Bharatiya Janata Party]
government credited with 15% annual growth rate in Gujarat state is also
responsible for sponsoring the massacre of some 2,500 Muslims. If nothing else,
India's communists can be lauded for being strongly anti-fascist.
Dr Usman Qazi
Lahore, Pakistan (Dec 2,'08)
In regards to Mel Cooper's letter about Donald Kirk's article
Pyongyang floats a border bluff [Nov 26], I am not sure Mr Cooper read
the same article I did. Mr Cooper puts quotes around the line that President
Lee Myung-bak will "teach North Korea a lesson", however that line does not
appear in the article. Mr Cooper writes that South Korea is "looking to
sideline and isolate the North". What Mr Kirk wrote was, "The game, as South
Korean officials recognize, is the sideline of the South". Mr Cooper claims
that the South is launching "incessant attacks on Kim Jong-il", however, the
South has not fired off one attack. The North however has been incessant in its
attacks on Lee. Mr Cooper claims that South Korea has a hostile policy towards
the North. That is not true, Lee has merely ended the insane Sunshine policies
of South Korea, which gave billions of aid to the North in return for nothing.
North Korea is cutting back on the Kaesong complex because the $20 million the
North Korean government gets from taking two-thirds of complex employees
paychecks is not worth the exposure to the South's culture. A despot who
believes in square wheels must make certain his subjects don't get to see round
wheels in action, so North Korea must make sure its citizens remain ignorant
and terrified, that I can understand. What I can't understand is why leftists
like Mr Cooper feel compelled to defend murderers like Kim Jong-il.
Dennis O'Connell
USA (Dec 2,'08)
[Re Mumbai's night
of terror, Nov 27] Raja Murthy's bird's-eye narrative provided gripping
details of one of Aristotle's "causal factors", commonly called the 3M axis of
Motivation, Method and Means. Hopefully, Asia Times Online will follow up
providing its readership with the other two Ms. A sample of what other websites
have suggested include; the objective was to kidnap former US secretary of
state Henry Kissinger, who was attending a conference of the India Industry and
Aspen Industry groups at the Taj Mahal Hotel; another website intimated the
main objective was sending a message about spying activities operated from an
Israeli synagogue; and a third website suggested that the motivation was to
have India attack Pakistan, thereby providing an opportunity for the Western
powers to split Pakistan into two separate states. All readers would certainly
appreciate any and all contributions from ATol's erudite contributors to the
causal factors of this tragedy.
Armand De Laurell (Dec 1,'08)
[Re A country
crashes and burns , Nov 26] Just want to say that Shawn Crispin's
article was well written and informative. I'm in my 30s, come from the world's
oldest democracy and am doing business here in Thailand. The PAD [People's
Alliance for Democracy] has all but killed my business plans, putting eight
Thais out of their jobs, and me out of my major investment. It's a frustrating
time. I hope things come to a conclusion soon. With the horrible events
unfolding in India, this situation has played second fiddle in the Western
news. Keep digging and keep reporting.
Allan Dresner (Dec 1,'08)
[Re Debt cold
turkey [Nov 26] Nice try, Chan. Asian "communists" conspire with
Western financial capitalists, CEOs and a US ruling class that will not give up
its dreams of imperial grandeur to loot their imperial homelands using Asian
labor arbitrage and environment despoliation (along with financial engineering,
crooked accounting and cooked statistics). Asian governments are so quietly
delighted at this Western suicidal stupidity they plow every bit of money they
can get into the factories and technologies which are the foundations of real
wealth in the modern world and neglect (at least a little) infrastructure
development. And now, with the consequences of Western financial folly and CEO
treason coming home to roost, it is time for one last dip in the pool of
Western financial credit before sending the credulous masses of the (formerly)
industrialized world on their way to a future of poverty and despair. The state
of public awareness and banker brainwashing in the West being what it is, you
will probably get your way. A much better solution for everyone concerned,
however, is for everyone to come to the realization that money is not wealth -
including the trillions of hot dollars and euros in hot paper Western financial
capitalists have hung on central banks and wealthy investors around the world.
Any group of people aspiring to the status of an independent nation, including
the US, requires at a minimum enough real wealth, ie factories, infrastructure
and technology to support itself. The alternative for a country like the United
States, left with only weapons to support its claim on the world’s wealth, has
already been demonstrated in Iraq and Afghanistan. And while the situation of
the US and other Western imperial powers riding on its coattails is becoming
increasingly desperate, it has yet to break out the ‘big guns’.
Steven Lesh (Dec 1,'08)
Abanti Bhattacharya's piece entitled
China's cyber-warriors challenge India [Nov 26], is the latest evidence
showcasing India's self-perceived moral superiority and its disgusting
obsession with China. There is no denying that Chinese cyber-nationalism is on
the rise; however, cyber-nationalism is not an unique Chinese phenomenon, it is
found in many countries, including India. Chinese cyber-nationalism targets
Japan and the West almost exclusively, the Indians get so ahead of themselves
by assuming the significance of India to the Chinese psyche and consequently
picturing themselves as potential target. If Bhattacharya had spoken to Chinese
he would have found out that India is almost a non-topic in Chinese cyberspace.
The Chinese public simply doesn't care much about India, perhaps at their own
expense. The obsession is certainly not mutual. Finally, Bhattacharya did not
provide a shred of evidence to support his wild claim that Chinese
cyber-nationalism is being used as a part of China's psychological warfare.
What exactly is China's psychological warfare allegedly doing to harm India?
Juchechosunmanse
Beijing, PR China (Dec 1,'08)
In China's
cyber-warriors challenge India [Nov 26] Abanti Bhattacharya, as if
India like any other country does not have enough challenges, tried to add one
more, namely ,Chinese cyber-nationalism. In each instance he cited the Chinese
"cyber-warriors" reacted after being provoked. The change in the Japanese
history textbooks, the bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade, the wanton
disruption of the Olympic torch relay, and reports on a crackdown of Tibetan
protests before it happened, etc. The 1962 war was more a result of border
demarcation between China and British India. What Britain did elsewhere during
its colonial era was well known. It is important for India and China to grow as
friendly neighbors and look forward with understanding and cooperation, lest
their own national interests will be compromised.
Seung Li (Dec 1,'08)
I was alarmed by the fallacies presented in the piece:
The evil of the US dollar [Asif Salahuddin, Nov 25]. I'll agree that
the modern financial system is a mess, but to suggest we return to a Medieval
version of the gold standard is like trying to fix airline travel by having
everyone walk or swim. Surely, complex institutions always look out of place
from a simplistic perspective. The bottom line is the world is not simple, we
have moved on from historical models because historical models did not work.
Salahuddin’s cartoon account presents a very weak case against the
international economic order. The global economy needs a lot of work, but
against Salahuddin's feeble complaints I'd say it still stands as the best
available alternative. In the opening analogy of the article, it is stated that
"the banker simply prints some of the paper currency which the people in the
building trade in and exchanges this for … whatever goods or services he may
require". This is a fascinating thought except that no central banker in the
history of central banking has ever done this. The piece is describing
something which does not, nor has ever, existed. Obviously, central bankers do
not employ or pay themselves. The author has confused the term "central banker"
with "despot". In any event, it should be noted that plenty of kings, popes,
amirs, caliphs, ayatollahs and the like have proven themselves perfectly
capable of thieving and killing without central bankers ... In the end,
Salahuddin offers us the benefit of unchanging rules to live by. The problem
with unchanging rules is that they tend to work best in unchanging situations.
Some may think it is unfortunate, but a lot has changed in the past 14
centuries. I suppose the unchanging rules would work fine in the world of his
analogy which consists in large part of 50-person villages. We don't live in
that world. If the program is to decimate and bludgeon the world until it
conforms to these immovable ideas, Salahuddin could have dispensed with the
charade. If on the other hand, Salahuddin's appraisal is honest, I suppose he
should be applauded for at least attempting to use reason. Using logic at the
same time would be more encouraging.
Michael Carroll
Planner, Pennsylvania, USA (Dec 1,'08)
[Re Pyongyang floats a
border bluff, Nov 26] Pyongyang is not playing "Liar's Poker". It is
willing to act on its threat to close border crossings at the 38th parallel,
and reduce its participation in the Kaesong free trade zone. It is reacting to
the hostile policy of South Korea's President Lee Myung-bak to "teach North
Korea a lesson". Pyongyang is more hurt by the incessant attacks on its Dear
Leader Kim Jong-il, the health and welfare of whom are open to much
speculation, as well as what appears to the North as Seoul's moves to
destabilize its economy, attempting to trigger regime change. So, from
Pyongyang's standpoint, it is Lee who is looking to sideline and isolate the
North. As such, Pyongyang's motives are more understandable. If Pyongyang
sticks to its timetable, the border will close on December 1. As Donald Kirk
points, the six-party talks will resume five days later in Beijing. We know
already that at the APEC [Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation] meeting in Lima
Peru, China, South Korea, the US and Japan had discussions as to the meeting's
agenda in the light of Pyongyang's complaints. It is senseless to speculate on
the outcome of talks in Beijing. More likely than not, they will not advance
much. As for how president-elect Barack Obama will tackle the six-party talks
and relations with Pyongyang, that, too, remains to be seen. What we do know is
that the George W Bush administration is leaving behind a tortuous track record
in dealing with North Korea. Furthermore, after eight years of high-mindedness,
Bush has had to turn the clock back to 2000 and resume a Clintonesque approach
towards Pyongyang. And that is how and where the matter lies today. In
observing North Korea, it depends on which end of the binoculars the Pyongyang
watcher is looking.
Mel Cooper
Singapore (Dec 1,'08)
Your website is altogether edifying to read not only because of the quality of
the writing but also because of the reliability of the authors and their access
to the information that forms the basis of the articles. But the recent article
titled Fleeing
Tamils hit Indian political wall is not only exasperatingly tendentious
but also is the very antithesis of reliability. I am somewhat disappointed that
Asia Times Online allowed itself to be used to further someone's agenda to
defame an upstanding freedom movement - the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam
(LTTE) - and surreptitiously attempt to isolate the movement from the Tamil
people. Raja Murthy, the author of the article, quotes three sources for his
information: One Mr Anandasangaree, "The Hindu" newspaper employee and the US's
Federal Bureau of Investigation [FBI]. Mr Anandasangaree is a discredited and
bankrupt politician who has no following among the Tamils. In fact he lives
under the tutelage and control of the Sinhala government of Sri Lanka far away
from Tamil areas in Colombo. In fact, when he visited, after a very long
absence, the Sri Lankan government occupied Tamil area in the north of the
island, he was in the constant company of the Sri Lankan army. Neither he nor
"The Hindu" nor Raja Murthy has any access to the LTTE-administered areas. "The
Hindu" is the voice of the Sri Lankan (SL) Sinhala government in India. Mr
Raman, the head honcho of that paper, was awarded the Lankaratna "honor" for
excellence in journalism for his services to the Sri Lankan government.
Recently he was the intermediary for arranging a dialogue between the president
of Sri Lanka and the prime minister of India - such is his closeness to the
rulers of Sri Lanka! It is a pervasive suspicion among the Tamils that the
"Hindu" is a conduit between the RAW Indian intelligence agency and the Sri
Lankan government. It not only instigated the latest Sri Lankan government war
against the Tamils of the island of Sri Lanka but also sustains its supply of
arms and other support. Murthy's tears about the suffering of Tamils, knowing
his connections, is simply crocodilian! The FBI's peremptory categorization of
freedom movements, and individuals has no credibility. Nelson Mandela's African
National Congress, Albert Eienstein, Charles Chaplin were designated
"terrorists" by this organ of the US - the only country to commit atomic
"terrorism".
S K Suntharm (Dec 1,'08)
Every terrorist organization in the world has its sympathizers
and front men. Mr S K Suntharm runs the risk of falling in that category by
calling the LTTE terrorists who are banned by over 30 countries, not just the
US, as "an upstanding freedom movement". As a Tamil who was born in Colombo,
Sri Lanka, just before my Indian-origin parents returned to India, my
sympathies are entirely with Sri Lankan Tamils and Sri Lanka, the land of my
birth. Sri Lankan Tamils have legitimate concerns that have to be addressed by
their government, just as endangered rights of ethnic minorities in many other
nations, including India. But they can be only addressed by true
representatives of Sri Lankan Tamils, not terrorists who have assassinated an
entire generation of moderate Tamil leaders. -
Raja Murthy (Dec 1,'08)
November Letters
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