Middle East

Turkey resigned to US attack
By Nadire Mater

ISTANBUL - Turkish leaders are preparing themselves for a US-led attack on Iraq that they do not want. "US officials have already expressed to us their determination for an attack against Iraq," Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit said in a televised interview this week. "They don't imply it, they openly express it. And we are preparing both politically and militarily."

But despite preparing for a US attack on Iraq, Ecevit has said that the Turkish government would continue efforts to restrain Washington from doing so. "A military operation will seriously affect our crisis-ridden economy," Ecevit said.

Ecevit, whose own future as premier is uncertain following a spate of defections from his political alliance, has been strongly opposed to a war on Iraq. His tone changed, however, after a series of meetings with US ambassador to Turkey, Robert Pearson.

The government is now preparing for an attack, and it has also set out a follow-up plan code-named "B.020" for dealing with a post-Saddam situation in Iraq, according to media reports citing sources in the prime minister's office.

A report in the national daily Hurriyet says that according to the government plan, "there is no doubt that the emergence on our southeastern borders of a democratic Iraq with good relations with the West is extremely valuable for our strategic interests."

But the US move has the business community worried. "The US is determined to intervene in Iraq," says Bedrettin Karaboga, chair of the Southeastern Industrialists and Businessmen Association, following a meeting with Pearson. "In reply to Pearson's question we openly said that the region's economy will be adversely affected by a US military operation," Karaboga said. "Yet he remained silent."

Mike Parris, former US ambassador to Turkey, warned a senate foreign relations committee session on Iraq on Wednesday about Turk resistance to an attack on Iraq. "Turks hate the idea of overthrowing Saddam," Parris is reported to have told the panel.

"Turkey is worried that if everything does not get along as planned, the US will leave Turkey face to face with a hostile or chaotic neighbor," he said. "Yet Ankara will not have the luxury of sitting with arms folded should Washington go after Saddam," he said. "Ankara, for her own interests, will need to take part in the planning and implementation of US plans."

After announcing elections for November 3 in a special session on Wednesday, the Turkish parliament left Iraq out of its agenda and debated moves instead to bring Turkish laws in line with European Union (EU) guidelines as a step towards joining the EU. But any plans for support to the US will need parliamentary approval, says Turgut Tarhanali of Bilgi University in Istanbul. "The Turkish parliament should make a decision in that direction," he says. "Without such a decision the government will be faced with difficulties."

Turkey fears the Kurdish fallout of a US attack as the Turkish plan on support to the US is reported to rule out any "declaration of an independent Kurdish state" in a future Iraq.

Following 15 years of war against the guerrilla group PKK (Kurdistan Workers Party), which was struggling for an autonomous Kurdistan in southeastern Turkey, the Turkish government wants to block any moves for Kurdish autonomy within Iraq.

Last year the PKK changed its name to KADEK (Kurdistan Democracy and Freedom Congress), disbanded its armed units within Turkey and adopted a peaceful struggle for the rights of Kurds. But according to Turkish defense sources, about 5,000 of the former armed guerrillas are now based in northern Iraq.

Kurdish land in the former Ottoman empire was divided after World War 1 into Iran, Iraq, Turkey and Syria. An estimated 15 million Kurds live in Turkey, 2 million in northern Iraq, 1.5 million in Iran and a little less than 1 million in Syria.

"Ethnic minorities in Iraq should be prevented from establishing separate administrations," the reported Turkish plan states. "Such declarations in this direction can be cause for intervention on our part."

Turkey is also concerned about a flow of Kurdish refugees into Turkey from northern Iraq in the event of a US invasion. Hundreds of thousands of Kurds fled Iraq into Turkey following a failed uprising against Saddam during the Gulf War in 1991. Cold and hunger cost thousands of lives during the exodus and after.

(Inter Press Service)

 
Aug 3, 2002


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