Middle East

OPEC prices break through ceiling
By Jose Zambrano

CARACAS - The average price of OPEC's set of benchmark crudes crept higher than the US$28 a barrel limit, established by the cartel itself, last week for the first time since December 2000.

The basket of crudes of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries closed on Friday at $28.69 per 159-liter barrel, reaching an average of $27.60 for the month of September and $23.49 since January, reported the Energy Ministry of Venezuela, the only Latin American member of the group.

At its meeting on September 19, in Osaka, Japan, the OPEC nations decided to maintain their limits on production at 21.7 million barrels a day, unless the prices remained above the $22 to $28 price band for more than 20 consecutive days. If that happens, the members agreed to increase output by 500,000 barrels a day to push prices back within the band.

The last time that the OPEC basket surpassed $28 a barrel was on December 4, 2000, when it reached $28.28. The price band was established at the OPEC summit in September 2000, a year after oil prices had suffered historic lows.

After continuing a downward trend throughout 2001, the average price of the OPEC basket began to recover in July, marking a $25 average per barrel, as a result of the threat of possible military intervention in Iraq. In August, the average recorded was $26, and in early September it reached $27.

The rise in oil prices, however, has not prompted any comments from OPEC executives. The only statements came from Venezuela, where energy minister Rafael Ramirez said that his country would continue to be a reliable oil supplier in case of shortages arising from a potential US-led military attack against Iraq, which is also an OPEC member.

Ramirez assured that Venezuela could boost its current output of 2.5 million barrels a day to 4 million if the market required. "There is a commitment to not use petroleum as a political weapon against anyone. If a problem arises in the supply of fossil fuels due to a war situation, OPEC will place on the market the volume necessary to keep the price within the band," said Ramirez. But the minister insisted that the current supply was sufficient and that the higher prices were largely the result of the threats of war.

"The high levels of production by oil exporting countries that are not part of OPEC and the violation of the established quotes by OPEC members contribute to a petroleum market that continues to face oversupply," he said.

The OPEC nations together surpass their own production quota by 2 million barrels a day, according to the admissions of some of the cartel's spokespersons. Furthermore, Iraq - an OPEC member but not a participant in the quota system due to the international embargo against it - has an output of 1.9 million barrels a day, compared to 1.1 million at the start of the year, according to the executives of the "oil for food" program.

This United Nations initiative allows Iraq to sell crude, but establishes that the Arab nation may only use the revenues to purchase food, medicine and other primary necessities, under strict controls.

In addition to the rumblings of a possible war against Iraq, oil prices were affected last week by the passage of Hurricane Isidore through the Gulf of Mexico. The state-run oil giant Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) reported that the hurricane forced it to reduce its production in the Gulf to 1.38 million barrels a day, when normal daily output is 3.3 million barrels.

Several oil firms operating in the area had to evacuate their workers from more than 500 oil platforms throughout the Gulf. Mexico is not part of OPEC, whose 11 members - Algeria, Indonesia, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates and Venezuela - meet approximately 35 percent of the world's oil demand.

(Inter Press Service)
 
Oct 1, 2002



 

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