Middle East

Iranians struggle just to get by
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

TEHRAN - As a place to do business or invest, the Islamic Republic of Iran offers several advantages - a solid base of infrastructure, natural resources and the physical facilities needed for trade. But there are also serious disadvantages, the most serious being an over-reliance on dogmatic and introverted economic policies that subvert the business environment and erect barriers where there should be welcome mats.

These contradictions are a source of both economic stagnancy and social and political complexities. Seemingly the only beneficiaries of these closed and backward economic policies are the unscrupulous elements of the bureaucracy who profit from backdoor corruption. More important, the closed-off nature of the Iranian economy has the effect of spoiling any chance that Iran might have of entering the new global economy.

Iran undoubtedly has one of the most civilized urban systems in the world, with low crime, a good literacy rate, a computerized and well-documented economy and good roads and highways. The Iranian cities of Tehran, Esfahan and Shiraz can be compared to any European city, including London and Frankfurt, as far as natural beauty and municipal and communication networks are concerned.

However, the conservative and restrained Iranian policies impede the ability of this system to translate prosperity to the general public. The fact that the benefits of the system fail to trickle down to the public is one of the prime cause of cynicism and disappointment with the government among the masses.

At 3.6 million barrels per day, Iran is the second-largest oil exporter in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. But as the entire economy is monopolized, and most enterprises are under state control, too many government resources are spent in the management of these organizations, with political considerations trumping the commercial in decision-making and hiring.

For instance, the power sector is in state control. The government produces electricity at higher rates, sells it at lower rates, and the difference is subsidized by the exchequer. At the same time, the power sector companies open the door of employment on the recommendations of higher political offices. These unrealistic approaches cost power sector companies heavily. They do not have funds to renovate their aging plants and transmission and distribution systems. The loss of electricity due to technical leakages stands at 25 percent.

At a time when the power sector is on the verge of financial failure in Iran, the government has decided to make an attempt at privatization - but only those power plants that are already outdated, specifically, the Zarand, Chabahar, Khoy Zargan, Zanbaq and Sofian plants. The money acquired from the sale of these plants is intended to be spend on the construction of new power plants.

Iran's Third Economic Development Plan (2000-05) empowers the energy ministry to construct new power plants through Build, Operate and Transfer and Build, Operate and Own deals with private domestic investors, public-private cooperatives and foreign investors. At present, the Rodshor and Shahroud gas power plants, which have capacities of 2,000 MW and 500 MW respectively, are under the process of negotiation to hand over to private companies.

"These are some of the steps that were decided by the Iranian government in principle. But the pace of progress in the implementation of the plans is so slow and full of bottlenecks that the process has failed to deliver the required results to the people. A a result, frustration among the public is growing," said a foreign financial expert in Tehran.

"From 1991 to 2000, different government ministries ceded shares worth only rials 110 billion (US$13.7 million) to the private sector. The current year's budget law dictates that state-run companies' shares worth rials 12,000 billion should be ceded to the private sector by year's end, of which rials 1,300 billion have been realized. These facts clearly show a reluctance by Iranians to give up enterprises to foreign investors. The private Iranian investor does not have that kind of money to buy these organizations, while Iranian expatriates are still indecisive on whether to come back to Iran or not - they are still not sure of stable economic policies in the future.

"This kind of progress does not make any difference, and only helps to maintain some status quo in the political economy. That is the real agenda of both conservative and reformists."

It is policies like these that prevent the Iranian economy from producing good chances for the public to enter the competitive world economy through better production and exports. As a result, all sectors of the Iranian economy are at a standstill, and the economy is over-dependent on oil exports and agriculture. High inflation in the oil market and drought conditions over the past few years have shaken the Iranian economy and caused tremendous price increases. This situation has also had a deep impact on politics and society.

The general public in Iran lives under serious economic repressive conditions. On average, the maximum wages of a clerk are about $160 a month, and the salary package for an executive in lower management is about $220 a month. The rent for an ordinary house for a family, though, is more than $200 a month in Tehran. Goat cheese, nan (Iranian bread), and tea are essential items for breakfast; mutton, chicken and red beans for lunch and dinner. These days in Iran, cream goat cheese is available at $0.37 per kg, mutton at $5 per kg, and chicken at $3 per kg.

To understand how these high prices for essential foods affect the daily life of an Iranian, consider the broader perspective. Unlike in other Third World countries, the people of Tehran - whether they live in Sher-I-Bala (the northern part of the city) or Shehr-I-Paeen (the southern part) have a set standard for their daily lives. There is no slum area in Tehran, or in any other Iranian city. All residents pay their utilities, which are generally inexpensive. There are some essential items - wall-to-wall carpeting, for example - which may be either cheap or expensive, but which all Iranians possess, whether they be high-paid executives or taxi drivers. Also, Iranians are generally very well dressed; whether attired in ordinary dress or expensive costumes, they always go for a good match in color, coordination, etc.

To manage this kind of living, one's salary is insufficient. As a result, these days every member of an Iranian family works. The government of President Mohammad Khatami has allowed women to work. As a result, in many travel agencies, banks and other offices, the number of women sometimes exceed the number of men. What is more, few people take taxis; preferring to use either their personal cars or, if they don't own one, their motorbikes. This is how an average Iranian makes two ends meet.

Reza is an example in this regard. He is a non-commissioned officer in the Iranian army and receives a monthly salary of $215. He stands every evening at a corner of Shehr-I-Bala with his private car. He takes four passengers on different routes and charges 65 US cents per person. "I hardly find a single passenger who could afford to hire a cab for even $3 or $4. Even my net earning stands at $30 to $40 a month after subtracting fuel and maintenance cost. This is how I run my household," Reza said.

The fact that most Iranians have to go outside their salaries to make ends meet has opened up an opportunity for unscrupulous elements in the bureaucracy to manipulate government for their own ends. The Iranian government has established three Free Trade Zones (FTZs): Kish, Qeshm and Chabahar Islands. These FTZs are managed according to special laws and bylaws, being excluded from the laws of the governing motherland. These zones are excluded from the domain of the customs authorities and enjoy generally the same trade freedoms, for both imports and exports, found in FTZs elsewhere in the world.

However, due to the strictness of the rules governing the import of foreign goods to mainland Iran, these FTZs are the main conduits for smuggling in the nexus of some corrupt elements in the Iranian bureaucracy. This situation manifests itself in Tehran's black market, where foreign-made electronic items and video cassettes are available in such abundance that shutting off the supply would require a full-scale operation, not merely a few raids. And the government fully understands that, at this time, with the people under such economic pressure to survive, any such step it tried would be politically impossible.

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Dec 12, 2002



In Iran, an economic stalemate (Dec 7, '02)

 

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