Middle East

Persuading the Muslim mind
By Ehsan Ahrari

International pressure against the impending US invasion of Iraq is building, and it is not felt more intensely anywhere than the UN Security Council in statements issued by France. Needless to say, Russia, China and Germany are very much on the French side. Their collective position is, to paraphrase John Lennon's famous song, "give inspections a chance". In response, top US officials - including Secretary of State Colin Powell, his deputy, Richard Armitage, and even President George W Bush - are publicly posturing that their country is likely to go it alone. In addition, the spigot of propaganda has been turned on in Washington through the release of a document titled "The Apparatus of Lies".

The Bush administration's hope for a unanimous endorsement of the Security Council for its cherished toppling of Saddam Hussein of Iraq appears to be going up in smoke. The Franco-German opposition is having a two-pronged effect. First, as one of the permanent five members of the Security Council, France can wield its veto against military invasion of Iraq. In a private meeting with Powell this week, the French Foreign Minister, Dominique De Villepin, refused to rule out that option.

A poll conducted by the French weekly Journal du Dimanche showed that 76 percent of the respondents were opposed to the participation of French troops in a US-led invasion of Iraq. Germany will take over the rotating presidency of the Security Council on February 1. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder has categorically affirmed his country's position by saying, "Do not expect that Germany will agree to a resolution that legitimizes war." His country, he said, "would not back any UN resolution which legitimized a war against Iraq". Second, De Villepin has stated that he will rally the rest of the European Union members to oppose an early war against Iraq.

The voluble Franco-German opposition to military action against Iraq is reportedly putting Britain in an awkward position, where 62 percent of the people disapprove Prime Minister Tony Blair's handling of the Iraq issue. The support for Britain's participation in a war against Iraq is around 22 percent, according to ICM/London Guardian polls done this month. Public opinion in Spain, Italy and Germany is also showing increasing amount of opposition to the invasion of Iraq without the UN approval. Russia and China thus far are refraining from doing any heavy lifting on this issue; they have, nevertheless, clearly aired their position about letting the UN inspection of Iraqi facilities go unhampered.

This heavy dose of "truth" from major international players - three of which are part of the permanent five - leaves the United States with limited options. But Washington has initiated its own public diplomacy, which also includes propaganda against Iraq. Both Powell and Armitage have been on the public circuit making a case for not waiting for long before finding a "smoking gun" in Iraq. Bush has reiterated his position that Saddam has been notorious about playing the cat-and-mouse game, and observed that the international community must understand that the US will not wait forever.

But wait a minute! Bush's own handling of the Iraqi issue is currently being disapproved by 68 percent of Americans, according to the ICM polls. The Gallup poll indicates that Bush's handling of foreign policy is getting even lower marks, from 75 percent of the past to 52 percent currently. The recently issued Washington Post-ABC News poll of this week states that seven in 10 Americans would give the UN weapons inspectors months more to complete their work in Iraq.

Needless to say, these opinion polls are not likely to drive the US decision to invade Iraq. All presidents have known that once military action begins, there is always a "rally-around-the-flag" effect that boosts a president's popularity, and "support for our troops".

The most interesting - albeit highly controversial - part of the US public diplomacy is the "Apparatus of Lies" document issued by the Office of Global Communications, which was created around August 2001. At the time of its creation, one journalist most succinctly described it this way, "The purpose of the Office of Global Communications lies more in the propagation of the American faith as seen through the lens of the Bush White House than in an international exchange of information and opinions. Call it, perhaps, the 'Office of Global One-Way Communications'."

Undoubtedly, the purpose of the document is to demonize Saddam (as if that is a real challenge). It contains an interesting statement attributed to the late Dr Rihab Taha, former head of Iraq's bioweapons program. She has been billed in the West as Saddam's own femme fatale, a modern-day Dr Death. When asked by an American weapons inspector why she is lying about her country's chemical and biological weapons program, she is reported to have answered, "It's not a lie when you are ordered to lie." "Apparatus of Lies" does not say anything about Iraq's alleged development of weapons of mass destruction; rather it is a document that contains a litany of Saddam's alleged deceptions.

The most interesting section of the document is entitled "Exploiting Islam". There is little doubt that in this section the Bush administration is speaking to the Muslim and Arab streets. It states that Saddam is a well-known secularist, or even atheist, who, in order to "exploit Islamic sentiments", "adopts expressions of faith in his public pronouncements, and the Iraqi propaganda apparatus erects billboards and distributes images showing him praying or in other acts of piety - all while the regime prevents pilgrims from making the Hajj".

Still, dealing with the subject of Islam, the document at another point states, "Ba'athists [members of Saddam's political party] view Islam as a product of Arab culture and a bridge to pan-Arabism, and until 1990, Iraq was the only officially secular state in the region. Over time, the personality of Saddam Hussein has supplanted Ba'ath Party doctrine, but one factor has not changed: The key figures in Iraq's regime and ruling party remain non-religious or even non-believers."

It is too early to make any conclusive statements about how this propaganda campaign will be received in the Muslim-Arab world. However, given the intensity of anti-Americanism that is being shown on attacks on the American military and civilian personnel in countries like Afghanistan, Jordan and Kuwait, no one is betting that it will be well received in the world of Islam.

It is safe to conclude that the pre-war phase of dealing with Iraq is turning out to be quite an experience for Bush. If the present state of affairs has any relationship with "things to come" when the US becomes the de facto ruler of Iraq, his administration is setting itself up for a rough ride, indeed.

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Jan 29, 2003





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