Middle East

A city prepares for war
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

BAGHDAD - On Sunday, Hans Blix, lead UN weapons inspector, held a press conference at the the city's Canal Hotel, where he was careful to downplay the importance of the next scheduled due date for reporting to headquarters by his UN weapons inspections team in Iraq. That date, February 14, he said, "is not the end of the world".

Indeed, a stranger to Baghdad would not imagine oneself strolling through a potential ground zero. Shopping centers still remain open until late at night. The historical Shah Bander coffeeshop is full of poets, intellectuals and writers debating the latest developments in Arab literature.

Diplomats, however, were taking no chances; by Sunday, many had already begun packing to leave, in the belief that the countdown for the next Gulf war had already begun. It was not the only sign of imminent war.

This weekend, for the first time, Iraqi television channels and radio stations began telling the public to build their reserves, especially of water and food. All five-star hotels have started taping windows. Standby generators are being placed in important commercial and industrial enterprises.

Meanwhile, an inside government source said that workers of Iraqi Arab Ba'ath Party had been instructed to coordinate their activities with superiors and remain vigilant. Sources said that special contingents of Ba'ath party workers were preparing for any signs of unrest - particularly in the eastern sections of Baghdad where about 5,000 members of the Shi'ite minority live, most of them followers of the Shi'ite dissident Baqar Al-Hakim. Iraqi authorities have already earmarked this area as a potential threat.

As a measure of response, perhaps, various cities throughout Iraq have been recent scenes of displays of military might and ideological purity. On February 9, for example, Iraq celebrated its Revolution Day with a show in Tikrit (hometown of Saddam Hussein) organized by the Iraqi Arab Ba'ath Party and featuring about 70,000 members of the national Al-Quds army. The volunteer soldiers - equipped with light weapons such as AK-47s, rocket launchers, anti-aircraft guns and machine guns - marched in a convention center in front of Iraqi deputy president Izzat Ibrahim and the local Tikriti party leadership.

"This is just the volunteer strength in Tikrit," said an official of the Ministry of Information. "Otherwise we would have have 7 million workers of Al-Quds army. The purpose of organizing such a big show is to send a message to the US that they are going to attack a completely militant nation and will get a crushing reply."

The war preparations are taking place amid a backdrop of intense diplomatic activity. Blix and Mohamed ElBaradei, chief UN nuclear inspector, claimed to have seen a positive change in Iraq's attitude towards disarmament after two days of key talks with Iraqi authorities. ElBaradei said that he was seeing a "change of heart" from Iraq about compliance with UN disarmament demands. "We made good progress ... we are leaving with a sense of cautious optimism," he said. But ElBaradei added that "Iraqi cooperation in all areas has to be simultaneous".

Blix earlier said that he, too, "detected the beginning of a serious attitude on the part of the Iraqis on substance". His visit to Baghdad with ElBaradei was the "beginning of taking those outstanding [disarmament] issues more seriously ... access [to suspect sites] has been prompt and practical ... cooperation on the process [of resolution 1441] has been good". Cooperation on the substance of the resolution, however, was "less good".

Lieutenant-General Amir al-Saadi, Saddam's closest weapons advisor, had a mostly similar reply when he appeared before the press on Sunday. But he was nevertheless pessimistic about the results. "Perhaps Mr Blix himself does not know how many more demands he has to ask from Iraq ... It is not his duty to pursue scientist to go abroad with their families and give interviews to UN inspectors. If they say no, they do not want to go abroad, it becomes their private business."

The press conference was the culmination of a hectic week for inspectors in Iraq. That day they had inspected various Iraqi facilities, including the Al-Rasheed Water Project in Baghdad and the Djerf Al Naddaf grain-handling facility in Mosul. Earlier in the week the Iraqi regime had invited foreign journalists to the Al-Rafah missile-testing facility 90 kilometers outside Baghdad to convince them that Iraq was not manufacturing long-range missiles in contravention of UN arm conventions. The Al-Rafah factory is situated near the border of Jordan and Syria within a wasteland with few signs of life except the occasional anti-aircraft bunker. The Al-Rafah compound comprises two buildings - each about 15 meters wide and 34 meters long - made of cement and iron. It was impossible to judge by observation alone the correctness of Colin Powell's assessment that the facility was involved in manufacturing or testing banned weapons.

Ali Jaseem, the head man at the facility, insisted they were not. "The first facility was bombed in 1991 by US planes. It was reconstructed later but was bombed again in 1998. After that, the new site was selected in the same compound, which is now under construction," he said. "Before the site was bombed in 1998, only missile engines [with ranges of] less than 150 kilometers were tested at this site. After the bombing, the facility was destroyed and we only recently started construction of a new site at the same compound.

"Now Mr Powell is objecting to a site which is just under construction, a site which UN inspectors visited on November 27, after which they filed no objections. The specifications of the facility are self-evident; this site is not fit to build extra-long-range missiles."

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Feb 11, 2003




The Saddam branch of Islam (Feb 8, '03)

Iraq waits blissfully for the bombs to drop (Feb 7, '03)

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