Middle East

Lessons from Gaddafi
By Ronald Bruce St John

(Posted with permission from Foreign Policy in Focus)

In April 1986, American pilots bombed multiple targets in Libya. One of the targets, the residence of Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, was destroyed and his two-year-old adopted daughter was killed. The "collateral damage" included the French embassy, a chicken farm on the outskirts of Tripoli, and other civilian sites. Unconfirmed reports put noncombatant casualties at up to 100 people.

The attack was in response to alleged Libyan involvement in a string of terrorist incidents, including the bombing two weeks before of a West Berlin discotheque in which two Americans died. Following the air strikes, the Ronald Reagan administration, completely misreading their impact, argued that Gaddafi had changed his ways and ended Libyan support for terrorism. The opposite was the case. The Gaddafi regime responded almost immediately with a string of terrorist reprisals lasting almost four years.

The evidence suggests the immediate Libyan response included the murder of a kidnapped American and two Britons in Beirut, an attack on a US embassy employee in Sudan, and a Libyan missile fired at a US installation in Italy. Pan Am Flight 103 was later destroyed in December 1988 over Scotland and UTA Flight 772 blew up over Niger in September 1989. Libyan officials were eventually convicted of involvement in both the Pan Am and UTA terrorist attacks.

Inside Libya, the air strikes rallied radical elements behind Gaddafi and demoralized any opposition in the Libyan armed forces. Outside, the American crusade embarrassed exiled Libyan opposition groups, undermining their credibility and left many to argue that the military option was for Libyans and Libyans alone. Internationally, the attack accentuated the very real differences separating Washington and its European allies on how to deal with terrorism in general and Gaddafi in particular.

It was only in the 1990s that Gaddafi began to change his ways. A combination of bilateral US sanctions, quiet diplomacy and a multilateral UN sanctions regime played a major role in the shift in Libyan foreign policy.

Seemingly terrorism-free for more than a decade, Gaddafi today can best be described as a "rogue" trying to come in from the cold. He immediately denounced the September 11, 2001 attacks on the Pentagon and World Trade Center. Actively supporting the war on terrorism, Libyan officials rushed to share with their American and British counterparts intelligence on al-Qaeda and related Islamic militant groups. Libya also paid compensation to the families of the victims of the UTA bombing and has agreed, in principle, to compensate the families of the victims of the Pan Am tragedy.

The Bush administration should apply the lessons learned from Libya to its treatment of Saddam Hussein. Violence in the Middle East, as most recently demonstrated in the Israeli-Palestinian case, most often leads to retaliation, perpetuating an ongoing cycle of violence. It can also have unexpected, undesirable consequences.

With Gaddafi, the international community achieved desired policy change only when it moved from the use of force to the use of a basket of commercial, diplomatic and legal remedies. In future, the US would be well served to adopt such quiet diplomacy.

Ronald Bruce St John is a contributor to Foreign Policy in Focus. His latest book is Libya and the United States: Two Centuries of Strife.

(Posted with permission from Foreign Policy in Focus)
 
Mar 20, 2003


Libya tries to come in from the cold
(Jan 11, '03)

 

Affiliates
Click here to be one)

 

 
   
         
No material from Asia Times Online may be republished in any form without written permission.
Copyright Asia Times Online, 6306 The Center, Queen’s Road, Central, Hong Kong.