Middle East

Politics and war, Iraqi style
By Stephen Blank

Carl von Clausewitz teaches us that war is the continuation of politics (or policy) by other means. Among other things, this means that the political objectives, institutions and the policies of a government that go to war exercise a continuing influence over the nature and scope of military operations.

Culturally, this is a hard idea for the American military and political leaders to accept in its entirety, and the manifestations of that difficulty go back years. But the validity of Clausewitz's insights have already been established in the first days of the coalition war against Iraq. Indeed, there is a direct correlation between US policy and diplomacy before the war and the nature of the operations mounted by the coalition since the fighting began.

Whether or not one accepts the legitimacy of the coalition's arguments in favor of war, it is undeniable that there exists widespread international public and governmental opposition to this war. Moreover, it has long been recognized as well that when it comes to public diplomacy, or the propagation of the rightness of its arguments, American policy has been tone deaf, if not worse, throughout much of the Islamic world. This much is visibly true regardless of the merits of the case for either side. But due to that failure of US and UK diplomacy to persuade broad masses of people and many important states of the rightness and legitimacy of their cause, the coalition has entered into war under the shadow of this deficit in international support and legitimacy.

As a result, it appears that military planners have been extraordinarily constrained in the development of their target sets to avoid striking civilian targets. This is not to say that the coalition would not have done so anyway. Normally in a professed war of liberation, indiscriminate targeting of civilians reduces support for the supposed liberators who are targeting innocent civilians. But had the coalition started the war without this deficit in support by the global public and interested states, there is little doubt that it could have more thoroughly prosecuted the war.

While the precision strike weapons in its possession allow the coalition members to calibrate their hits to an unprecedented degree, the need not to alienate either ordinary Iraqis or international opinion has clearly constrained military planners. They knew beforehand and now know for sure that Iraq, like other so-called asymmetric enemies in the Third World or Serbia, collocates its military vehicles, installations, strike platforms, command and control centers etc amid civilian targets, using them as human shields and in order to rain down upon these hapless victims enemy strikes that will discredit the opposition and strengthen Saddam Hussein and his henchmen.

Were there more support globally for the coalition, it undoubtedly could have risked striking at more of these targets and of producing unintended civilian casualties and "collateral damage". Instead, news reports make clear that these military platforms and weapons, interspersed among the civilian population, have been able to impede the progress of the coalition's armed forces to a certain degree and to inflict casualties on them.

These limitations on targeting missions and target sets clearly owe something to the prior failure to attain large-scale international support and confirm the close linkage between politics and war postulated by Clausewitz. Thus political considerations have helped to constrain strategic and tactical options. But they also have led to some other revealing discoveries.

First of all, this practice of collocating civilian and military facilities has led to evidence of preparation for chemical warfare since coalition forces have found what appear to be chemical warfare suits and paraphernalia at an Iraqi hospital. They have also encountered the use of human shields by Iraqi forces who have mingled among civilians compelled to stage a fake surrender only to start firing on allied forces.

These kinds of Iraqi operations also confirm the primacy of politics and its linkage to warfighting. Clearly for Iraq this is a total war, for if Saddam loses, he and his regime are gone forever. Accordingly, all operations are directed towards displaying, reinforcing and manifesting the regime's control of the population and ability to coerce it into defense of the state.

Likewise, the discoveries in the hospital evoke the image of a state whose purpose, other than glorification of Saddam, is war. Like one of his heroes, Stalin, Saddam has striven to optimize a permanent war economy or mobilization state. And he has done so - certainly in the past - by stockpiling and developing weapons of mass destruction to use against his internal and external opponents.

Thus the operations planned or carried out by Iraq in this and other wars also remind us that policy must guide war lest it become war for its own sake, as has happened in Iraq and in other countries at other times. Indeed, when war becomes the purpose of the state, then only military action by some superior power can bring that nightmare to a close.

But that conclusion, too, only further validates Clausewitz's logic. For the state that brings down the regime that is "out of control" does so in order to return us to a status quo where the ends of policy and of politics are pursued by political means. Whatever other benefits accrue to Iraq, its neighbors and partners from the end of the Ba'ath nightmare, we need to ensure that the new state is one whose raison d'etre is not war but politics, and that the military remains an instrument of state power, not its most visible manifestation.

Stephen Blank is an analyst of international security affairs residing in Harrisburg, PA.

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Mar 27, 2003


 



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