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COMMENTARY
Double standards in US nuclear policy
By Michelle Ciarrocca

(Posted with permission from Foreign Policy In Focus)

The Bush administration has its foreign policy hands full with each nation in its "axis of evil". From the ongoing search for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, to the appearance of negotiations with North Korea, and the push to declare Iran in violation of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), President George W Bush is following through with his promise to make certain these "dangerous regimes and terrorists" cannot threaten the United States with the world's most destructive weapons.

But he's going about it in a way that will actually increase the nuclear threat to the US and the world.

Buried in the president's 2004 defense budget are two particularly troubling requests. The first seeks to repeal a 10-year-old ban on the development of smaller, lower-yield nuclear weapons, also known as mini-nukes. The second is a US$15.5 million request to conduct research on a new bunker buster bomb called the Robust Nuclear Earth Penetrator.

The Senate voted 51-43 to lift the ban on research and development of low-yield nuclear weapons. Actual production of the weapons would require the president to obtain congressional authorization. The House is expected to vote on the measure soon.

Administration officials contend that they are not seeking to build new nuclear weapons, but only studying and researching the options. Speaking at a press conference, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld added, "Many of the things you study, you never pursue." Senator Dianne Feinstein, a supporter of the ban, replied, "Does anyone really believe that?"

The Bush administration's desire to develop a low-yield nuclear weapon stems from the theory that a cold war nuclear weapon is so massive and destructive that the US would never actually use one. The thinking goes, a smaller, five-kiloton nuclear weapon - about a third the size of the nuclear bomb used on Hiroshima - would be more useful in deterring nations such as North Korea. But as Senator Jack Reed noted, "We're moving away from more than five decades of efforts to delegitimize the use of nuclear weapons."

As for research into a new bunker-buster nuclear weapon, the Union of Concerned Scientists released a fact sheet outlining the "troubling science" behind the proposed weapons. The scientists note that even a small, low-yield earth-penetrating weapon will create radioactive debris, there is no guarantee that the nuclear blast would successfully destroy chemical or biological weapons, and there are current conventional weapons that could be used as alternatives.

The Bush administration's Nuclear Posture Review, released in January 2002, was a foreshadowing of a new nuclear era in which the once-termed "weapon of last resort" has turned into a usable, necessary tool in the anti-terror arsenal.

As part of the Nuclear Posture Review, the Pentagon expanded the nuclear hit list to include a wide range of potential adversaries, such as North Korea, Iraq, Libya and Syria, whether or not those nations possess nuclear weapons. The circumstances under which the use of nuclear weapons might be considered has also expanded beyond situations threatening the national survival of the US to include retaliation for a North Korean attack on South Korea, or simply as a response to "surprising military developments". The review also sanctions the first use of nuclear weapons to "dissuade adversaries from undertaking military programs or operations that could threaten US interests or those of allies and friends".

The Bush administration's nuclear doctrine represents an abrupt departure from the policies of prior administrations, Democratic and Republican alike. How likely are countries like Iran, North Korea, Syria, Libya, Russia and China - all of which have been targeted in Bush's new nuclear plan - to heed the administration's calls to reduce or renounce their own nuclear arsenals in the face of this new threat from the United States?

"I can't believe that I have witnessed in my time on Capitol Hill a more historic debate than what we are undertaking at this moment," said Senator Richard Durbin. "We are literally talking about whether or not the United States will initiate a nuclear-arms race again. Nothing that I can think of meets this in terms of gravity and its impact on the future of the world.

"If Bush were serious about reducing the threat posed by nuclear weapons he would focus on preventive measures, such as increasing funds for non-proliferation and threat-reduction programs, while also reducing our own massive arsenal. Non-proliferation programs receive about $1.8 billion annually. Compare that to the $41 billion budget for homeland defense, or the $79 billion supplemental for the war in Iraq. "

Representative John Spratt pointed out the disparity in funding, saying the almost $10 billion "ballistic missile defense is a prime example of how the emphasis on counter-proliferation comes at the expense of non-proliferation".

The Russian parliament recently ratified the nuclear arms reduction treaty signed by Russian President Vladimir Putin and Bush last year. The US Senate approved the treaty in March. The treaty reduces each nation's arsenals of strategic nuclear weapons by two-thirds, to fewer than 2,200 each over the next decade. While the treaty is a worthy and symbolic signal of a new relationship with Russia, much more can and should be done.

By taking 10 years to make the proposed reductions, allowing both sides to keep thousands of their withdrawn warheads in "reserve" rather than destroying them, and giving either party the right to withdraw from the agreement on just 90 days' notice, the Pentagon has preserved its ability to rapidly reverse the Bush administration's proposed reductions in the US arsenal whenever it wants to, even as it continues to seek new types of nuclear weapons.

Deeper, verifiable cuts on both sides - to as low as 200-500 strategic warheads each rather than the 1,700-2,200 allowed in the current proposal - would give Washington and Moscow leverage to begin pressing nuclear-armed states such as Britain, France, China, India, Pakistan and Israel to eliminate their own arsenals. This move toward multilateral reductions would also make it much easier to get states with nuclear capabilities to agree not to aid nations such as Iraq, Iran, and North Korea to develop their own weapons of mass destruction.

Whereas former president Ronald Reagan left office saying that a nuclear war can never be won and must never be fought, two decades later, the word coming from the Bush administration is that nuclear weapons are here to stay. The recommendations contained in the Nuclear Posture Review and 2004 budget requests are steps backward, and arguably violations of US commitments to "pursue negotiations in good faith" for the reduction and eventual abolition of nuclear weapons under the NPT. The only way to protect the American people, and the people of the world, from the threat of nuclear weapons - big and small - is to take determined steps to get rid of them, once and for all.

Michelle Ciarrocca (ciarrm01@newschool.edu) is a research associate at the World Policy Institute and writes regularly for Foreign Policy In Focus.

(Posted with permission from Foreign Policy In Focus)
 
May 30, 2003



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