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Germans follow their own path in Iran
By Hooman Peimani

Visiting German Foreign Ministry official Volker Stanzel's talks in Tehran on Sunday with Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister for Euro-American Affairs, Ali Ahani indicate that while the American government is seeking Iran's isolation, Berlin is moving in the opposite direction.

As the director general for Asia and Pacific affairs of his ministry, Stanzel's talks with his Iranian counterpart focused on their bilateral relations and on regional and international issues.

Germany's friendly ties with Iran are not a surprising phenomenon. Along with many other European Union members, the Germans normalized relations with Iran in the second half of the1990s. To a varying extent, those relations were damaged in the wake of the 1979 Iranian Islamic revolution but Germany has since elevated itself as one of the three largest European trading partners of Iran, along with France and Italy. Berlin's economic relations with Tehran consist of a wide range of fields, including chemical, pharmaceutical and heavy industry, as well as auto manufacturing.

Therefore, Stanzel's official visit to Iran is nothing out of the ordinary given the history of their relations. However, what made it distinct from any other previous German high-ranking official visiting Tehran was its timing. Washington has increased its anti-Iranian rhetoric since the Anglo-American occupation of Iraq. It has also hinted at a plan to destabilize the Iranian government through a variety of means, ranging from supporting its opponents to a military strike. The hostile behavior has significantly worsened over the past three weeks as the Bush administration has accused Iran of having an advanced military nuclear program and of harboring al-Qaeda members.

While it has not yet provided any proof to substantiate its accusations, Washington has tried to rally support among its Western allies, including European Union countries. Their backing is necessary for creating a degree of "legitimacy" in Western countries for any efforts towards a regime change in Iran, which would allow Washington to tolerate opposition from other quarters a significant extent. This is notwithstanding the fact that such objective does not seem achievable because of Iran's level of social, economic and political development - and its military strength. Those factors make the creation of a pro-Washington regime in Tehran through any means other than a total occupation simply unrealistic.

In such a situation, the American government has tried to create a consensus among its close traditional allies in Europe and Russia, as reflected in its efforts to improve its damaged relations with France, Germany and Russia, with a varying degree of enthusiasm. Yet, when it comes to Iran, it seems that those efforts have not been very successful, as evident in the aftermath of the last week's Group of Eight (G8) meeting in Evian, France.

Despite the American and British claims of Russia's sharing their concern about Iran's non-military nuclear program and of its promise to end its nuclear cooperation with Iran, Moscow has categorically denied any such statements, while stressing its continued assistance to Iran in that field. For its part, Paris has denied any consensus among G8 countries over Washington's authority to wage a war against Iran over its alleged nuclear threat. Being opposed to the use of force against that country, it has also confined the interpretation of the G8 demand of Iran regarding its nuclear program as nothing more than Iran's compliance with its commitments.

As for Berlin, Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder has clearly stated its opposition to the American plan of a regime change in Iran through whatever means. Following the G8 meeting, he stated: "Iran will not be a second Iraq". This clear statement revealed the German and the EU stance on the American policy towards Iran, a policy opposite to the EU one. Although the G8 leaders tried to show a degree of solidarity, the mentioned remarks of its main European states showed the persistence of differences between the US with Russia, France and Germany, although political and economic necessities have inclined all of them to change their previous harsh tones.

With it having the largest European economy and the third largest global one, Germany's opposition to the current American policy towards Iran is of special importance. On the one hand, such a stance, which enjoys the backing of the entire EU membership, including Europe's second largest economy and the world's fourth (France), help maintain the current EU policy of engagement and negotiation with Iran, which both sides want to continue. Their growing bilateral relations, which have made the EU the largest trading partner of Iran, demonstrate this mutual interest. It has also been evident in the EU-Iran negotiations for concluding a Trade and Cooperation Agreement, whose fourth round was conducted last week in Tehran. On the other, the German opposition creates a barrier, though not a strong preventive measure, to the repetition of an American regime-change scenario.

Against this background, Stanzel's visit to Tehran was important for its message. Besides promoting their bilateral relations, his visit seemed to signify his government's clear opposition to any American effort to destabilize Iran by demonstrating Berlin's assessment of Iran as a friendly nation. That became apparent in his remarks. As reported by IRNA, Stanzel stated during his talks with Ahani that Iran and Germany had enjoyed "excellent relations", while adding a nod to Iran's "special status" in German public opinion. He also stated that Iran had proved its constructive role in the region, including in the "international campaign against terrorism in Afghanistan". Moreover, he described Iran as a land of peace and security in the region and called for more Iranian contribution to regional peace efforts. Among others, Stanzel's statements contradicted the American accusations of Iran's harboring al-Qaeda members and of portraying it as a source of regional instability.

Like the Russians, who have continued their nuclear relations with Iran despite the American allegations about Iran, the Germans now seek to consolidate their ties with that country in pursuit of their national interests in the oil-rich Persian Gulf region. Such interests, like those of the majority of the EU membership, now seem to be contrary to the American ones. Although various political, economic and security considerations require a degree of cooperation between Berlin and Washington, evidence suggests that their differing long-term objectives will contribute to a widening gap between the two sides over a variety of issues, including Iran's emergence as a regional power.

Dr Hooman Peimani works as an independent consultant with international organizations in Geneva and does research in international relations.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)

 
Jun 11, 2003


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