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Democracy on a leash in Jordan
By Ian Urbina

As most of the coverage quickly points out, recent Jordanian elections saw surprisingly few surprises. Having called off the popular vote first in 1997 and repeatedly thereafter, the Hashemite crown finally decided to roll the electoral dice and, in the end, came out all the stronger.

For a politically rocky region, this was democracy at its smoothest. A clear majority of the seats went to pro-government tribal candidates, thereby diluting what few opposition voices previously resided in parliament. Voter turnout topped 58 percent - a little lower than hoped, but still more than is typical, for example, in United States presidential elections. Jordan's Islamists added credibility to the electoral process. Rather than boycotting, as is typical, they opted to join the process, and much to the relief of the King, they scored only 17 out of 110 total seats, far fewer than expected.

With a brutal Israeli occupation continuing on one border, and a messy US occupation unfolding on another, Jordanian political parties might have decided to use the election season to air pent-up frustrations. But for the most part, they didn't. This was especially noteworthy since 60 percent of Jordanians are Palestinians and close to 90 percent of Jordanians opposed the US invasion of Iraq.

Happiest of all is King Abdullah. In one fell swoop, he reinforced the rubber-stampers he needs, and fortified the democratizer image he so cherishes.

The elections were also a step forward for women. Six of the parliamentary seats were set aside for female candidates. Though none were directly voted into office, the top six candidates will be seated in the coming weeks. From a total 776 Jordanians competing for seats in parliament, 54 female candidates ran, the most ever.

These advances notwithstanding, there is another side to the story. One of the most noteworthy elements of the recent Jordanian elections was who did not show up on the ballot. Despite being a popular favorite, Toujan Faisal, the only woman in Jordanian history to be elected to a seat in the lower house of parliament, was barred from running, and the tale of her exclusion gets to the heart of certain worrisome trends inside the Hashemite kingdom.

In 1993, Toujan Faisal became the first female parliamentarian in Jordan, and quickly earned a reputation as a fierce critic of the crown as well as of the nation's Muslim extremists. In 1997, Faisal lost her seat amid widespread allegations that boxes had been filled with false ballots to prevent her from retaining office. Still, she kept up her fight. In March 2002, Faisal published on the Internet a letter to the government questioning whether the prime minister - whose family owns the bulk of the nation's car-insurance business - might be benefiting personally by having doubled insurance premiums. Faisal was hauled before a military court and summarily sentenced to a year-and-a-half sentence for having "damaged the reputation of the state".

After significant domestic uproar and international pressure, not to mention a 29-day hunger strike, Faisal was pardoned and released from prison. However, because of one of the government's "temporary laws", which take the country's "essential security needs" as their basis, Faisal's conviction forbids her, in perpetuity, from holding political office.

It is these "temporary laws" that are the crux of the matter in Jordanian politics. Not only are they the reason for the exclusion of such popular dissenters as Toujan Faisal, but more broadly it is the proliferation of these extra-constitutional decrees that has gutted what democratic advances Jordan made in the early '90s. These laws have thoroughly undermined Jordan's status as the favorite Western poster-child of slow-brew democratization and moderate Arab reformism.

Not unlike the current situation in the United States in which Attorney General John Ashcroft, armed with the boundless terms of the US-Patriot Act, has shackled some of the core elements of the US constitution such as habeas corpus, the Jordanian government has been on a similar path since well before the post-September 11 crackdowns and roundups that swept countries in the region. As Jillian Schwedler, a professor of Middle East politics, wrote for a June 2002 issue of Middle East Report Online, the Jordanian democratic project has been unraveling at an accelerating pace for years. First, in 1997 the government shut down parliament before the end of session so as to pass a number of restrictive press laws, and then in June 2001 the government dissolved parliament altogether so that the executive branch could fully hijack the writing of legislation.

The constitution allows for temporary laws only when the security of the state is in jeopardy, but more than 120 such laws have been signed in the past two years. Between 1930 and 1999, only about 60 such "temporary laws" were passed in total by 17 different governments.

The domestic restrictions embodied in these "temporary laws" span the gamut. Public gatherings require a three-day-advance permit, which is rarely given. Criticism of "friendly" nations is a crime prosecuted before a military court. The penalty for press violations has been stepped up to three-year prison sentences. Restrictions on the foreign purchase of land has been loosened. Misdemeanor convictions come with no right to appeal. Civil servants are prevented from signing petitions that might reflect poorly on the state.

Temporary laws have also been used to tilt the electoral playing field significantly to favor the regime. The majority Palestinian population, which is largely based in the central and northern cities, is often the most critical of the crown. By expanding the parliament size from 80 to 110 seats the intention was, according to some, to water down the critics and concentrate the membership of pro-regime clans from the west and south of the country. Estimates released by Fawzi Samhouri, director of the Jordan Society for Citizens' Rights, a pro-democracy group that the authorities dissolved last year, reveal, for example, that Amman has roughly one parliament member for each 52,255 voters, whereas cities such as Karak, home town of the government's interior minister, has a parliament member for every 6,000 voters.

None of this takes away from the fact that the restoration of parliamentary elections in Jordan was an essential step forward. But by far the most important challenge lies immediately ahead. The next parliament is supposed to review every one of the "temporary laws" and have the option to accept or reject each. That the political deck has been stacked with pro-regime types raises legitimate skepticism over whether the newly elected parliament will do what is right: begin the across-the-board reversal of these anti-democratic laws. Also dubious for prospects of re-democratization in Jordan is the conservative and non-elected upper house, which has full veto power if the lower and elected parliamentarians step out of line.

Nevertheless, there is no harm in hoping. Perhaps the new parliament will provide a few more surprises than came in the generally sanitized and unsurprising elections that put it into power.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jun 21, 2003



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