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Iran lines up its al-Qaeda aces
By Hooman Peimani

The Iranian government has confirmed the identification of some of the al-Qaeda detainees in its custody. Although it has not yet released their names, there are unconfirmed reports that they include high-ranking al-Qaeda members. If this is true, Tehran could deal a heavy blow to the group by extraditing them to their respective countries. This could give the Iranian government a bargaining chip to demand concessions not only from the respective Arab states, but also from the United States, which has so far failed to neutralize the terrorist group.

In his weekend press conference, Iranian government spokesperson Abdullah Ramezanzadeh stated that "we have not been able to identify all al-Qaeda members [in our custody]". And he added, "And even if we did, there [were] no reasons for us to give their names to the press. This is a security issue, and this is how security apparatuses work." As for the fate of the al-Qaeda members, he stated in an earlier press conference that those who had committed crimes in Iran would be tried in that country, while others would be extradited to their respective countries.

While Ramezanzadeh did not specify their nationality, there is speculation, with some evidence to back it up, that they are mainly Saudis, Kuwaitis and Egyptians. For example, about a week ago, Saudi Interior Minister Prince Nayef bin Abdulaziz confirmed that the Iranian authorities had informed him of the existence of Saudi nationals among those al-Qaeda members who had been arrested as they entered Iran from Afghanistan. However, he claimed not to be aware of their names and numbers, although they would eventually be extradited to his country. Reportedly, last year the Iranian government quietly extradited over 500 suspected al-Qaeda members who crossed the Afghan-Iranian border to Persian Gulf Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia, and to some Asian and European countries.

Without providing any evidence, Western sources suggest that the al-Qaeda members in Iran's custody include some of its top leadership, such as an Egyptian-born man believed to be number three in al-Qaeda's military hierarchy (Saif al-Adel), a Kuwaiti-born spokesman for al-Qaeda (Sulaiman Abu Gaith) and a Saudi-born son of Osama bin Laden (Saad bin Laden).

If these people are indeed in Iran's custody, Tehran is in a position to demand concessions from their respective countries - Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Egypt - in return for their extradition. However, if this is the intention of the Iranians, it will be more applicable to dealing with non-regional states, such as the European nations, if some of the detainees have European nationalities. In fact, the al-Qaeda members extradited last year included Europeans. The Europeans have recently joined the Americans, though in a different manner, in pressing Iran to sign an additional protocol to the non-proliferation treaty of 1968.

Extracting concessions will also be applicable to Egypt, a country without full diplomatic relations with Iran. The 1979 Islamic revolution severed Iranian-Egyptian friendly relations. Factors such as Cairo's ties with Israel and its taking sides with Iraq during the Iran-Iraq War (1980-88) and Iran's alleged interference in Egypt's internal affairs created barriers to their resumption of ties in the 1980s. Tehran and Cairo have been engaged in talks on an on-and-off basis since the mid-1990s to normalize relations. This has resulted in low-level diplomatic representation in each other's capital and in talks at the foreign ministerial level, but the two countries are yet to establish full diplomatic relations. Iran could use the extradition to Egypt of high-ranking al-Qaeda members as leverage in the process of normalizing relations, while both sides could use the occasion to end their estrangement.

As for a regional country such as Saudi Arabia, Tehran has security agreements with Riyadh. They should include extradition of terrorists, although their contents have not been released. Last year's extradition of al-Qaeda members to Saudi Arabia provides grounds for this speculation. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, allegedly the home to many of al-Qaeda's rank and file, have gradually become Iran's regional friends since the end of the 1991 Gulf War. Their bilateral relations have been growing in all fields, including security. Given this reality, security cooperation is a major factor in confidence building and in maintaining the cooperative mood between the two sides.

Yet, as the two Arab Persian Gulf states house American troops, Tehran might use the opportunity to receive assurances as to their refusal to cooperate with Washington should it resort to military means in dealing with Iran. This may not be too much to demand since those countries have limited their cooperation with the American military. As evident in the US-led war against Iraq, Saudi Arabia denied the Americans the right to attack Iraq from its territory, although Riyadh allowed them to use it for other related activities. Uncertainty about the degree of cooperation of Kuwait resulted in the transfer of the American military command from there to Qatar.

According to Western sources, Iran has been conducting secret talks with Egypt, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia for the extradition of the al-Qaeda members. Undoubtedly, these countries should be interested in having those individuals, whose interrogation could help them dismantle the al-Qaeda network in their territories. Yet the Americans should be even more interested in putting their hands on the al-Qaeda members if they are indeed its senior members. Among others things, that could compensate to some extent for their failure to uproot al-Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan.

As it did a year ago, Tehran will extradite those members to their respective countries, and will exclude the US from the list of eligible recipients. Nevertheless, given the loss of citizenship of senior al-Qaeda members born in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, including Osama bin Laden and his family, there will be grounds for their extradition to the US if their countries of birth refuse to receive them for political reasons. While such a transaction would not be enough to end the growing hostility of Washington towards Iran, it could certainly make a pause. The question is whether Tehran would see any merit in taking that option, which has no tangible impact on its estranged ties with Washington.

Dr Hooman Peimani works as an independent consultant with international organizations in Geneva and does research in international relations.

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