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Iran starts up the high-tech ladder
By Hooman Peimani

In a bid to expand its high-tech industries, Iran has announced a plan to turn itself into the second-largest producer of blank CDs and DVDs - after Taiwan - by 2005. While blank disc production is hardly a pathbreaking industry, added to various projects including personal computer production and software development by its public and private sectors, it reflects Tehran's desire to expand into technology partly for economic reasons and partly consolidate its self-sufficiency to withstand economic sanctions.

The Iranian state news agency IRNA on July 6 quoted an unnamed manager of Iran's Optical Disk Production Company (ODPC) who described a three-phase production plan to turn the country into a major international player in the production and the export of CDs and DVDs, with the first phase to begin in late summer and followed by the second and third phases in late spring 2004 and early 2005, respectively.

The project, the manager said, is to be a joint venture with Schitag Homatech, Germany's biggest producer of optical disks and the provider of the requisite technology. The ODPC is now seeking investment and to secure markets for its products, which, if everything goes as planned, will hit the market in a few weeks. Thus, according to the manager, "negotiations for direct investment in the production and ordering of the product[s] are currently underway with major world owners of CD technology, which are to present them in the world markets under their own brand name".

Iran annually imports 55 million blank CDs and DVDS, a situation the OPDC plans to reverse - not only by ending Iran's dependency on imported items, but also by turning the country into a major exporter with an anticipated annual export value of US$380 million, the manager said. The ODPC manager did not specify whether this would be the expected revenue for the first phase or for the third, when the company will operate at full capacity.

Added to Japan as the world second largest economy and the house of high-tech inventions, most Southeast Asian countries have come to dominate much of the high-tech international market, particularly in consumer goods. Thanks to years of investment and planning, countries like South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore have turned themselves into major players in certain high-tech fields such as semiconductors and cellular phones, while countries such as China are fast catching up.

However, unlike the Southeast Asian countries, the West Asian states including Iran have not been very successful. The government regards high-tech industries as essential for economic and technological advancement, while preserving Iran's independence. Unlike many Middle Eastern countries, Iran has a relatively well-developed industrial sector. However, it lags the Southeast Asian states even though the Iranians began certain high-tech industries (eg, electronics and telecommunications) in the late 1950s.

Recognizing the importance of high-tech industries for economic advancement and growing domestic needs, the Iranian public and private sectors invested in telecommunications, electronics and computers in the 1990s to expand their operating units and to establish new facilities, especially in those areas in which they had no prior experience. This was part of the reconstruction program following the Iran-Iraq War, which lasted from 1980 to 1988 and cost millions of lives. The reconstruction program continues to this date. The computer industry, which emerged in the 1990s, is a successful example both in hardware and software streams. Its PC production increased from 80,000 in 1998 to about 150,000 in 2002.
However, despite its large number of manufacturing units (about 1,100 in 1998), the Iranian tech sector is significantly less advanced than those of South Korea and Taiwan, for instance. This is notwithstanding the fact that Iran is a producer of various high-tech products, including a wide range of telecommunications devices - telephone sets, cellular phones, digital telephone systems and fiber-optic terminals - and solar energy equipment.

Western economic sanctions and restrictions have played a major role in Iran's lack of progress. Recognition of this has been a major factor in the Iranian private and public sectors' efforts to embark on high-tech projects. The Iranians' plan to diversify their exports to decrease their heavy reliance on oil exports is another major incentive to invest in the high-tech industry, apart from satisfying the growing domestic need for its products for civilian and non-civilian purposes. Because of the sanctions, many products cannot be imported or their imports are subject to unacceptable political demands.

The CD/DVD project should be analyzed in the mentioned context. In addition to meeting internal demand, it has a very ambitious target - turning Iran into the second largest CD and DVD producer within a very short time frame as stated by the ODPC manager, who expects this to happen "once the project is put into full operation". Provided they pull it off, Iran will emerge as a major competitor to Taiwan, which now reportedly produced 90 percent of the world market.

While the July 6 announcement is important on its own, perhaps, it is even more important in demonstrating two necessary trends in the Iranian economy. These are investing in mainly neglected industries and going beyond an import-substitution strategy in economic development as reflected in the CD/DVD project's ambitious export target. The economy is now growing at 7.3 percent annually excluding its oil industry. That is a significant but still not adequate rate given the severe damage of the Iran-Iraq War, rapid population growth and years of negligible growth.

Dr Hooman Peimani works as an independent consultant with international organizations in Geneva and does research in international relations.

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Jul 16, 2003



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