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And then there was Saddam
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

SULAIMANIYA, Northern Iraq - With Saddam Hussein's sons Uday and Qusay killed by US soldiers in a firefight in Mosul on Tuesday, all focus now falls on the hunt to track down Saddam himself as final proof that the deposed dictator really will not return to terrorize Iraq.

Because the sons were found in the northern Kurdish town of Mosul, US forces are paying particular attention to this city and surrounding areas, including the towns of Faluja and Hawija, as potential hideouts for Saddam.

Since Tuesday, the US military has acknowledged that it has received a "significant increase" in the number of Saddam sightings by Iraqi citizens. "We are getting a lot of different sightings every day," a senior administration official was quoted in the media as saying. There is a US$25 million reward on Saddam's head. According to NBC News, Saddam's cousin, Nawaf al-Zaydan Muhammad, the owner of the house where the sons were killed, betrayed them for $30 million.

The movements of Saddam's wife and his daughters have been tracked by informers, who claim that they first traveled to Syria, then returned to Mosul before somehow making their way to the United Arab Emirates. As reported in Asia Times Online on July 23 (Iraqi resistance takes on a new face) Uday and Qusay had tried to get into Syria but were turned back to Iraq, where they ended up in Mosul.

The death of Saddam's sons, both notorious for their brutality but also said to be key figures in the ongoing unrest that has bedeviled Iraq ever since the toppling of Saddam nearly two months ago, has had no immediate impact on that resistance. According to a Reuters report, three US soldiers from the 101st Airborne Division operating in northern Iraq were killed in a rifle and grenade attack on Thursday. Soldiers from the 101st led the raid against Saddam's sons. "Three 101st Airborne Division soldiers were killed in a small arms and RPG [rocket-propelled grenade] attack," an army spokesman at US headquarters in Baghdad said.

Resistance in Iraq can broadly be broken into four groups: different groups from among the ranks of Saddam's Ba'ath Party; small pockets of Arab tribes who have been left out of the current interim setup; a few thousand Arabs who arrived in Iraq before the US-led invasion who have joined hands with different resistance groups; and independent groups of gangsters.

Of these, the Ba'ath Party remnants have been the most effective to date. According to insiders who spoke to Asia Times Online, on May 14, a leader of the Ba'ath Party in Mosul, Mohammed al-Samidai, called a meeting of different leaders of the party from north and central Iraq, including Kirkuk, Mosul, Tikrit and Baghdad. They resolved to operate under a new name, Owda, meaning return, as symbolic of restoring the party's "glory" days in power.

At about the same time, other Ba'ath members from Hawija in Kirkuk province met separately and formed another ring, which they named Afaa - snake. These two groups represent people who benefited the most under Saddam's brutal rule, and therefore they have the most to lose. They are clearly at a dead end from which there is no point of return.

Meanwhile, a significant report appeared on Thursday in the weekly Hawlati newspaper - the largest and most respected Kurdish language paper in the country and which is printed in Sulaimaniya. It said that Faluja (west of Baghdad where most US soldiers have been killed in ambushes and shootouts ) is in the hands of different Islamic groups. Reading between the lines, it appears that Ba'ath members - who were despised in this region - have now adopted Islamic mantles and are calling for jihad against US forces. This trend is expected to continue in other parts of the country.

Beyond the Ba'ath machinations, tribal leaders are also defining their role. The chief of Faluja is believed to have met in Hawija on June 6, at the house of Abu Hasan, one of the most powerful local tribal leaders. All chiefs present declared jihad against the US.

Soon after this meeting, in the night of June 11, an oil pipeline exploded in the vicinity. The action was apparently carried out by the head of the al-Ubaed tribe, who was responsible for looking after the pipeline during Saddam's time as it passed through his territory. In return, he was paid a royalty, which stopped when the US administration took over. As a result, the tribe blew up the pipeline.

This is just one example of the difficulties faced by the US in post-war Iraq which could be avoided with a little more understanding of how Iraq has worked over the years. Saddam, of course, knows exactly how the country ticks, as he instituted the pillars of power and influence from the grassroots to the top. Conceivably, he also put in place mechanisms to protect himself in exactly the predicament in which he now finds himself.

Either way, until Saddam is found or meets the same fate that has befallen his ill-begotten progeny, Iraq can never rest easily.

(Copyright 2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact content@atimes.com for information on our sales and syndication policies.)
 
Jul 25, 2003


Iraqi resistance takes on a new face
(Jul 24, '03)

Kurds show Iraqis a way forward
(Jul 23, '03)

The consequences of invasion
(Jul 22, '03)

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