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Middle East

House of Saud in a bind
By Erich Marquardt

On August 2, 1990, Iraq invaded the small, oil-rich country of Kuwait. Saudi Arabia, which borders both Kuwait and Iraq, feared the powerful Iraqi state's next move. It was at this time that Osama bin Laden, a Saudi national, offered his support to the Saudi defense minister to mobilize fighters from the 1979-1989 Soviet-Afghani war to defend Saudi Arabia against Iraq. Riyadh rejected his offer, instead choosing to use the United States to protect its national interests. This policy decision resulted in the protection of Saudi Arabia's territorial and governmental integrity through the massive influx of US military forces that soon flooded the kingdom's desert sands.

To protect the leadership in Riyadh, and to attack Iraqi forces that had invaded Kuwait, the Pentagon sent about 500,000 US troops to Saudi Arabia in 1991. The decision by the kingdom to allow US troops on Saudi soil - which is home to some of Islam's holiest sites - and the desire of the US to use Saudi Arabia as a staging ground for its attack on Iraq, infuriated many Islamic fundamentalist groups in Saudi Arabia and elsewhere in the Middle East.

Bin Laden, in particular, was enraged, as it brought the US directly into the affairs of the Middle East. In February of 1998, bin Laden explained this anger, saying that "for over seven years the United States has been occupying the lands of Islam in the holiest of places, the Arabian Peninsula, plundering its riches, dictating to its rulers, humiliating its people, terrorizing its neighbors, and turning its bases in the peninsula into a spearhead through which to fight the neighboring Muslim peoples."

Yet the US maintained its presence in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East, using the Prince Sultan Base to launch sorties against the Iraqi state with the objective of keeping it in a perpetual condition of weakness. By the start of Operation Iraqi Freedom in March of 2003, about 286,000 flight missions against Iraq had been launched from this air base.

In a major act of retaliation, bin Laden and his al-Qaeda network managed to strike two devastating blows into the heart of the US on September 11. The attacks on New York and Washington were in line with bin Laden's objective of removing US influence from the Middle East. Indeed, in 1998 when bin Laden issued a fatwa calling for the killing of US military personnel and civilians, he reiterated these demands:

"The ruling to kill the Americans and their allies - civilians and military - is an individual duty for every Muslim who can do it in any country in which it is possible to do it, in order to liberate the al-Aqsa Mosque and the holy mosque [Mecca] from their grip, and in order for their armies to move out of all the lands of Islam, defeated and unable to threaten any Muslim."

Yet after the attacks, the US continued its influence in the Middle East; in fact, the Bush administration chose to increase its power and presence in the region. In doing so, the administration recognized the danger that Islamic militant groups pose to US interests at home and abroad. The administration paid attention to the fact that 15 out of the 19 hijackers that attacked the US on September 11 were Saudi nationals. Therefore, the administration warned Saudi Arabia that it would have to crack down on militant segments of its own population, a task not so simple for the Saudi leadership.

Punishing Islamists within its society is difficult for the Saudi monarchy because it has managed to stay in power due to its support of Islamic tradition and its promotion of the more traditional Wahhabi sect of Islam throughout the world. For example, the monarchy has spent billions of its oil wealth to fund missionary campaigns across the globe. Yet much of this support is likely to have fallen into the hands of religious extremists intent on dealing devastating blows to enemy states. Furthermore, the lack of a political will to crack down on these militants - who refrain from using their power against the Saudi leadership - has resulted in the militants' ability to use Saudi Arabia as a staging ground to launch attacks on foreign states.

Even outside its borders, Saudi Arabia has been funding militant groups. In Israel, generous amounts of Saudi funds have poured into the coffers of the two Palestinian organizations Hamas and Islamic Jihad. While these groups provide essential social services to the Palestinian people, they are also involved in frequent attacks on Israeli civilians - most notably, their infamous suicide bomb attacks. Up until recently, Washington has been willing to accept this state of affairs.

But now the Bush administration has recognized the conundrum caused by the Saudi government's acquiescence on issues of religious extremism and has applied pressure on the House of Saud to crack down on its internal militants. Fearing the danger in losing the US as a key ally, Riyadh responded by clamping down on militant groups within its society. Riyadh also aimed to dry up financial support to these groups by limiting the amount of cash donations given by Saudi society to charities.

Throughout Saudi Arabia - such as in mosques and shopping centers - charity boxes can be found, in which passing Saudi Muslims give their zakat, sharing a percentage of their earnings with the less fortunate. Also, since Saudis do not pay income tax - due to the vast oil wealth distributed to society by the government - they cannot donate to charities through their taxes, making many of their contributions completely unaccountable. Because anonymous donations sometimes end up in the hands of militants, the government in Riyadh has been eliminating these boxes.

Yet in disposing of charity boxes, the government is also undermining the poor that these charities support. Sheik Salman al-Omari, who operates a charity that cares for the poor, recently told Associated Press writer Adnan Malik that the removal of the cash boxes "is in line with America's anti-Islam strategy". Indeed, Riyadh's attempts to dry up financial support for militants within its society, coupled with its domestic tactics of eliminating these groups, has caused these militant organizations to target the power of the Saudi ruling family. This was most evident on May 12, when Saudi militants used car bombs to attack two housing compounds home to many American and Western defense contractors and advisors to the Saudi Arabian National Guard, in addition to other Saudi military units.

Therefore, the House of Saud finds itself split between two antagonistic forces. On the one hand, it desires to keep the US as an ally, and certainly not as an enemy. In order to do this, it must crack down on the militancy brewing within Saudi society. On the other hand, by tightening the leash on militant groups within Saudi society - both physically and financially - Riyadh makes itself a target for these groups, thus risking domestic stability.

Due to this difficult situation in which Riyadh now finds itself, the Saud ruling family has been attempting to fight on both sides of the war. While this has been arguably effective so far, it is not clear how long this state of affairs can continue. If the Middle East continues to destabilize, and the US begins to look like even more of a villain, the House of Saud will have a harder time justifying its relationship with Washington.

Yet if Riyadh continues this relationship, it could quickly find itself facing increasing cases of armed insurrection by its own population; such rebellion will threaten to destroy the Saudi ruling family's long lasting leadership.

But if Riyadh ignores Washington's demands, and looks to be supporting terrorism, it could end up in the crosshairs of the Bush administration's "regime change" policy. While Washington does not have the political clout - or current military resources - to deal too forcefully with the kingdom, any weakening of ties with the US will be looked at negatively by the Saudi leadership. Considering these circumstances, the best Riyadh can hope for is it to have the US limit its involvement in the Middle East - which would quell anger among militant Saudis - yet continue to be an avid protector and collaborator of the Saudi monarch. Otherwise, the House of Saud will have to decide which side of the war they want to fight on, or else their indecision will cause them to be attacked by both.

Published with permission of the Power and Interest News Report, an analysis-based publication that seeks to provide insight into various conflicts, regions and points of interest around the globe. All comments should be directed to content@pinr.com
 
Oct 9, 2003



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