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Saudi blasts: More than meets the eye
By B Raman

Statements emanating from Saudi authorities about their neutralizing an al-Qaeda cell, which was allegedly planning to carry out a terrorist strike against hajj pilgrims, and about the car bomb explosion at a Riyadh housing complex on November 9, which killed 17 foreign workers, all Sunni Muslims, do not provide a complete answer to understanding what has been happening in Saudi Arabia.

The history of Pakistan is replete with instances of Sunni terrorists killing Shi'ites in their places of worship and during their pilgrimage to their holy places and vice versa. Before September 11, al-Qaeda, the Taliban and Pakistan's Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, a Sunni extremist organization, had massacred a large number of Shi'ites (Hazaras) in Afghanistan.

The history of the jihadi terrorism in India's Jammu and Kashmir has seen the deaths of thousands of Sunnis at the hands of Wahhabi terrorists from Pakistan. Some were deliberately targeted and killed because they supported the government, and many were the unintended victims of the indiscriminate use of explosive devices, hand-grenades, mines etc by the jihadi terrorists at public places.

Many Sunnis were also the unintended victims of the Bali bombing in Indonesia in October last year.

Before September 11, the Taliban and Gulbuddin Hekmatyar's Hezb-e-Islami, both Sunni organizations, had killed hundreds of Sunnis in each other's ranks during their struggle with each other to capture power in Afghanistan.

However, there have rarely been instances of al-Qaeda or any of its associates in the International Islamic Front (IIF) deliberately targeting innocent Sunni civilians, either at their places of worship or while they were on pilgrimage or at their places of residence or work. It is, therefore, difficult to accept that al-Qaeda was planning to kill any pilgrims during the hajj or that it deliberately killed the foreign Sunni workers at the Riyadh housing complex.

A more convincing explanation for the presence of the neutralized cell in the pilgrimage area is that it was there not to carry out a terrorist strike against the pilgrims, but to facilitate the transit of jihadi terrorists from and to their places of training or their areas of operation.

Over the years, the movement of millions of Muslims from all over the world to Saudi Arabia for hajj has been exploited by al-Qaeda and other jihadi terrorist organizations to make new recruitment from among the pilgrims, take them clandestinely to training camps in Pakistan and (before September 11) Afghanistan with the help of plain paper visas issued by Pakistani diplomatic missions in Saudi Arabia, bring them back to Saudi Arabia after the training and then send them back to their areas of operation. In this way, there is no entry in their passports about their visits to Pakistan or Afghanistan.

Similarly, trained and jihad-hardened terrorists are sent to Saudi Arabia during the hajj under the garb of pilgrims and then infiltrated into other countries. In February last, dozens of terrorists belonging to the Pakistani components of the IIF had thus gone to Saudi Arabia and from there infiltrated into Iraq, even before the US-led invasion of that country.

To facilitate such transits, different organizations of the IIF set up their presence in Saudi Arabia much before the hajj starts. It is one such cell that seems to have been detected and neutralized by the Saudi authorities. It is unlikely that the objective of this cell was to target the pilgrims, which would have alienated them from al-Qaeda and the IIF.

It is similarly difficult to accept at present that the car bomb which killed the foreign Sunni workers at the Riyadh housing complex was designed to deliberately kill them. A more convincing explanation is that the real targets were - either the members of the Saudi ruling families or foreign diplomats and their families - elsewhere. There is reason to believe that the car bomb fitted with the explosives was being taken to the housing complex to be kept there before being taken to the real target. The explosion seems to have been caused by accident or by the interception of the vehicle by the security guards at the complex.

There is no doubt that since February last, there has been an intensification in the activities of jihadi terrorists in Saudi Arabia - partly to destabilize the kingdom and partly to set up a rear base there for organizing jihad against the US troops in Iraq. Al-Qaeda and the Lashkar-e-Toiba (LET) have been in the forefront of these activities. There have been unconfirmed reports that Osama bin Laden is no longer in Pakistan or Afghanistan, and that he might have moved to Yemen or Saudi Arabia to coordinate the jihad against the US troops in Iraq.

For some years now, the LET has had an active presence in Saudi Arabia, which has not been neutralized by the Saudi authorities. There is a growing threat to the stability of the kingdom. The LET and al-Qaeda want to capture power in Saudi Arabia, proclaim the establishment of a caliphate there with bin Laden as the amir and use Saudi Arabia as the rear base for the jihad against the crusaders and the Jewish people.

If they succeed, it is likely to aggravate the already existing threats to the peace and security of the region from the jihadi terrorists and affect energy security.

B Raman is Additional Secretary (ret), Cabinet Secretariat, Government of India, and presently director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai; former member of the National Security Advisory Board of the Government of India. E-Mail: corde@vsnl.com. He was also head of the counter-terrorism division of the Research & Analysis Wing, India's external intelligence agency, from 1988 to August, 1994.
 
Nov 12, 2003



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