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Headed over Niagara Falls
By Ehsan Ahrari

As the grandiose plan of America's leading neo-conservatives about extending US power and influence in Iraq and the Middle East in the name of implanting democracy hits new lows, a former commander-in-chief of US Central Command (which covers much of the Middle East and Central Asia), retired General Anthony Zinni (1997-2000), aired a scathing criticism of the Bush administration on the CBS program Sixty Minutes on Sunday night. Zinni's verdict: heads of those who were responsible for strategic and operational aspects of the Iraq invasion should roll.

Elaborating on whom should be fired, he told Sixty Minutes correspondent Steve Kroft: "Well, it starts at the top. If you're the secretary of defense and you're responsible for that. If you're responsible for that planning and that execution on the ground. If you've assumed responsibility for the other elements, non-military, non-security, political, economic, social and everything else, then you bear responsibility. Certainly those in your ranks that foisted this strategy on us that is flawed. Certainly they ought to be gone and replaced."

Zinni is not among run-of-the mill retired generals who regularly appear on a number of major television channels as paid consultants. He is one of the most respected generals, and he has educated himself to be a diplomat and a statesman. After his retirement, he served as President George W Bush's top diplomat in jump-starting the Palestinian Liberation Organization-Israeli peace process. As a leading strategic thinker, and as an imaginative military man, he did not agree with the timing or the very act of United States' invasion of Iraq.

In his book, Battle Ready, which he co-authored with well-known fiction writer Tom Clancy, Zinni was even more poignant. "In the lead-up to the Iraq war and its later conduct, I saw, at a minimum, true dereliction, negligence and irresponsibility, at worse, lying, incompetence and corruption. I think there was dereliction in insufficient forces being put on the ground and fully understanding the military dimensions of the plan. I think there was dereliction in lack of planning."

The Bush administration has not treated very kindly those who disagreed with its Iraq policy. Bob Woodward, in his book Plan of Attack, notes that former president George H W Bush's national security adviser, Brent Scowcroft, was frozen out of government briefings after he publicly opposed the then-impending plan of invading Iraq.

Zinni's experience in this regard is more personal and equally unpleasant. He had criticized the neo-conservatives for using the invasion of Iraq as a way to stabilize US interests in the region and strengthen the position of Israel. Those included Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, Under Secretary of Defense Douglas Feith, former Defense Policy Board member Richard Perle, National Security Council member Eliot Abrams and Vice President Cheney's chief of staff, I Lewis "Scooter" Libby. For his naming of those individuals, he told Kroft, he was called "anti-Semitic". He added: "I mean, you know, unbelievable that that's the kind of personal attacks that are run when you criticize a strategy and those who propose it. I certainly didn't criticize who they were. I certainly don't know what their ethnic religious backgrounds are. And I'm not interested."

When a heady crisis of the magnitude of the United States' continued occupation of Iraq promises to get worse, those in charge of that policy turn on the critics of such a policy. That reality continues to poison the environment of Washington today. Those who created the sand dunes of that policy are increasingly realizing how tenuous their arguments were to begin with. Now, instead of examining how to rectify past mistakes, they are not even attempting to make the best of a very bad situation. They are defaming those who have the courage of stating publicly that the emperor has no clothes.

America's policy in Iraq was wrong-headed, and it remains so today. The Abu Ghraib prison abuse scandal has now touched the top US military representative in Iraq, Lieutenant-General Ricardo Sanchez. The US Army dismissed a report in the Washington Post of Sunday that suggested Sanchez was present during some of the alleged abuse of detainees at that prison. The chances are high that, despite his denials of any knowledge, the whispering campaign for his resignation will only increase in volume in the coming days. To complicate matters further, America's former golden boy, Ahmed Chalabi, has come under increased suspicion of passing America's secrets to Iran. US and Iraqi forces ransacked his office last week. Chalabi now knows his career is doomed. In a desperate attempt to salvage this, he is publicly trying to create a distance from the US rulers of Iraq. His newest call: "Let my people go."

Bush was to embark on a public relations campaign starting on Monday to create public support for staying the course in Iraq. Zinni has not even a smidgen of doubt of the failure of that policy, "There has been poor operational planning and execution on the ground," he said. "And to think that we are going to 'stay the course', the course is headed over Niagara Falls. I think it's time to change course a little bit, or at least hold somebody responsible for putting you on this course. Because it's been a failure."

Ehsan Ahrari, PhD, is an Alexandria, Virginia, US-based independent strategic analyst.

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May 25, 2004



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