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Shahristani hedges his bets

Dr Hussain al-Shahristani, a Shi'ite Muslim nuclear scientist, has emerged as the favorite to become Iraq's prime minister once sovereignty is transferred on June 30, although some reports have emerged saying - without elaboration - that he does not want the job.

A spokesman for the United Nations' special envoy Lakhdar Brahimi said in a statement that Shahristani "preferred and intended to serve his country in other ways", but another US official stressed that no final decision had yet been made.

Brahimi is due to announce within days the makeup of the caretaker government that is to take power. Brahimi is helping identify who will serve as president, prime minister, two vice presidents and 26 cabinet ministers, conscious that he needs to strike a balance among Iraq's Shi'ite, Sunni and Kurdish factions. Such a balance is considered vital to ensuring the stability of an administration that will run Iraq until elections due by next January 31.

Brahimi, top US administrator in Iraq L Paul Bremer and White House envoy Robert Blackwill met this week with some members of the US-appointed Iraqi Governing Council (IGC) to discuss candidates. Brahimi is "crunching names" and "going flat out trying to reach consensus" on the leadership, UN spokesman Fred Eckhard said.

The post of prime minister, which will hold executive powers, appears to have been earmarked for a member of Iraq's Shi'ite majority. A Sunni will likely be president, serving as the symbolic head of state. Sunnis, despite being numerically weaker than Shi'ites, have controlled the levers of power in Iraq for decades.

Brahimi has said he prefers "technocrats", as opposed to traditional politicians, for the new government, and Shahristani would fit the bill. He is also close to Iraq's top Shi'ite cleric, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, a power broker whose consent would likely be needed for the position.

Others who have been mentioned as possible premiers include Mehdi Hafedh, the current planning minister, and Adel Abdel-Mahdi, a leading Shi'ite political figure. Adnan Pachachi is most mentioned for the presidency. He is a former foreign minister from pre-Saddam Hussein governments and a respected Sunni member of the IGC. The current rotating president of the IGC, Ghazi al-Yawer, is also a possibility as president.

Kurdish leader Jalal Talabani is also a possible candidate for a top spot, though Kurdish parties have backed off calls that they receive either the president's or prime minister's spot. Kurds make up 20 percent of Iraq's population of 26 million.

In an April 29 editorial in the Wall Street Journal, Shahristani criticized the US handling of Iraq, saying the US "failed to win the trust of the Iraqi people and has allowed the country to slip into turmoil" by failing to allow Iraqis to hold elections.

In February 2003, before the US invasion of Iraq, Shahristani said he opposed a large-scale war that would kill civilians and leave Iraq occupied. Instead, he called for a "surgical" occupation-forces operation to remove Saddam and "allow the Iraqi people to free themselves and decide their destiny".

Shahristani was chief of the Iraq Atomic Energy Commission until he was arrested in 1979, after he says he refused to help Saddam build a nuclear weapon. His arrest occurred at a time when the regime was rounding up Shi'ites because of suspected links to Iran. He escaped in 1991 after the US military bombed the Abu Ghraib prison during the first Gulf War, enabling him to flee to Jordan.

Before the war, Shahristani was among the Iraqi exiles who insisted that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction. In February 2003, he told CBS's 60 Minutes that such weapons may have been hidden in tunnels for a Baghdad subway that never opened.

(Asia Times Online)

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May 28, 2004



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