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SPEAKING FREELY
Iraqi dissidents: Down, but far from out

By Kaveh L Afrasiabi

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

Last year, prior to the invasion of Iraq, he repeatedly went on record accusing Saddam Hussein's regime of actively pursuing weapons of mass destruction, claiming forcefully, in both the US and European media, that Saddam had constructed "hundreds of kilometers of underground tunnels" to stockpile vast amounts of chemical and biological weapons. He authoritatively questioned the Iraqi government's voluminous report to the United Nations on its weapons systems, citing the paperwork found at the home of an Iraqi scientist in Baghdad as evidence of that government's cover-up and clandestine nuclear program. Also, he repeatedly claimed there was a connection between Saddam's regime and al-Qaeda terrorists.

No, this is not about Ahmad Chalabi, leader of the Iraqi National Congress (INC) and onetime darling of Pentagon officials who has fallen out of favor in Washington and, worse, been accused of spying for Iran's mullahs. Rather, the reference is to Dr Hussain al-Shahristani, a close aide to the moderate Shi'ite leader Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, who has been reportedly hand-picked by the United Nations' special envoy on Iraq, Lakhdar Brahimi, as Iraq's next prime minister - wisely so, given Shahristani's impressive background and widespread respect accorded to him by Iraqis as a voice of reason in a sea of trouble.

Still, irrespective of the aptness of Shahristani's choice to run the Iraqi interim government about to be installed in a few weeks after the handover of "sovereignty" on June 30, it is important, partly out of fairness to Chalabi and other similar dissidents blamed for "misinforming" the US government and the media, to bear in mind that Shahristani is equally, if not more, responsible. This is because, given his background as a onetime director of nuclear research in Iraq who became a political prisoner, locked in Saddam's Abu Ghraib for seven years, his words carried quite a bit of weight, especially when he was billed as a "model Iraqi dissident" on such high-profile news programs as CBS's 60 Minutes, which interviewed him in February.

This raises, in turn, a peculiar question: Why such singular focus on Chalabi for misleading the US public, even by the New York Times, which in its latest self-criticism for "falling for misinformation" by Iraqi dissidents, fails to mention Shahristani? Indeed, the omission of Shahristani by the New York Times smacks of double standards and even hypocrisy on the part of its editorial leadership.

Simultaneously, all the current hoopla about the supposed ability of exiled Iraqi dissidents somehow to manipulate the US intelligence community and Washington's policymakers not only needs to be viewed with a grain of healthy skepticism - it all reeks of election-induced "politics of scapegoatism" - more important, it should be put in proper historical perspective: Who can truly blame Iraq's prewar dissidents for knowingly or unknowingly exaggerating the weapons-of-mass-destruction threat of Saddam and his ruthless gang, who had brought a major generational catastrophe to the Iraqi people with wars of conquest in Iran and Kuwait and who had plundered the national wealth and brutalized millions? A related question: given the Bush administration's refusal to purge any high-ranking officials for faulty intelligence or, for that matter, dereliction of duty with respect to the systematic torture and sexual abuse of Iraqi prisoners, it is less than fair to single out the Iraqi dissidents and pour blame on them. Sadly, the present debate and "Chalabi-bashing" in the United States risk losing perspective on several important issues.

First, both Chalabi and Shahristani are Shi'ite politicians who have sought to build timely bridges with the rulers of neighboring Shi'ites, who have a vested interest in peace and stability in the region, as well as the well-being of the Iraqi Shi'ite majority. Critics of Chalabi who cite his group's opening an office in Tehran as evidence of his complicity with Iran have consistently failed to draw attention to the fact that Shahristani has comparatively deeper ties to Iran: his prewar Iraqi Refugee Council had offices in Tehran and London for a number of years, and Shahristani maintained partial residence in Iran after escaping from Abu Ghraib in 1991.

But does this mean Shahristani should be lumped with Chalabi and other Shi'ite dissidents, including current members of the Iraqi Governing Council who represent the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, as Iran's "spies"? After all, the latter were exclusively based and their Badr Brigade trained in Iran for roughly two decades. The answer is most certainly negative, for to do so, to jump on the simplistic bandwagon of labeling, is not only to overlook the integrity of these dissidents, who were forced by the exigencies of their struggle to establish rapport with Iran, but also to deny them legitimacy in Iraq's postwar political process and thus to exclude them.

Second, to avoid the pitfalls of such a simplistic "recipe for disaster", the US government and media must pay closer attention to the real dynamic of interaction between Iraq's Shi'ite politicians and Iran's ruling clergy, for to do otherwise is to fuel a new "anti-Iran witchhunt" culminating in an Iraqi version of McCarthyism where no Iraqi, Shi'ite or otherwise, would dare set foot in Iran or network with their brethren in Iran's powerful seminaries.

Third, it is self-deluding of anyone to overlook the importance of Iran's growing influence in Iraq, partly accomplished through the mass pilgrimages to Iraq's holy cities on a daily basis, and simply to interpret this influence negatively, as counter-productive, when in fact Iran has so far displayed a mature diplomacy toward Iraq, offering mediation in the conflict between the coalition forces and the Shi'ite militias, and vocally supporting the mainstream positions of (Iranian-born) Sistani. The so-called "hard evidence" of Chalabi's spying for Iran, until confirmed beyond the rumor mills of anti-Chalabi sources in Baghdad and Washington, may turn out to be "misinformation" cooked up to rationalize his exclusion from the new Iraqi government on the horizon. In a word, it is doubtful that the shrewd salesman Chalabi, who was on the US government's monthly payroll, would risk his position by funneling secret information to Tehran. Whether or not any of his aides were seduced by Iranian intelligence to cough up information is an entirely separate story that, for the moment, cannot be ruled out.

Fourth, a prudent US policy is to take advantage of the leading Iraqi Shi'ites' rapport with Iran in order to encourage Iran's cooperation with the US design for the political process in Iraq, instead of censuring and castigating those Shi'ites and targeting them for blame about "faulty intelligence" that, in all fairness, rests squarely at the door of the vast conglomerate of the US and British intelligence machinery. In historical retrospective, Iraqi prewar politics of dissidence may well end up completely exonerated for alleged excesses and exaggerations aimed at toppling the "Pol Pot of the Middle East", and the sooner the Washington pundits arrive at this conclusion the better.

Kaveh L Afrasiabi, PhD, is the author of After Khomeini: New Directions in Iran's Foreign Policy (Westview Press) and "Iran's Foreign Policy Since 9/11", Brown's Journal of World Affairs, co-authored with former deputy foreign minister Abbas Maleki, No 2, 2003.

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say.
Please click here if you are interested in contributing.


May 28, 2004



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(May 27, '04)

Iraq's religious tide cannot be turned back
(May 26, '04)

Chalabi: From White House to dog house
(May 22, '04)

The dilemmas of Iran's policy toward Iraq
(May 20, '04)

 

 
   
         
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