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SPEAKING FREELY
Saudi Arabia: A nation in turmoil
By Swati Parashar

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

Introduction
Much has been said and written about Saudi Arabia's role in the "war on terror". The ruling family of the House of Saud has been an unabashed US ally in the campaign to hunt out terrorists. However, even a large-scale massive crackdown on terrorists in the kingdom has not been able to thwart attacks on foreigners, mostly Westerners. The recent hostage crisis in the oil city of al-Khobar, which left 22 civilians dead, including foreigners, and the brazen attacks on British journalists and American defense contractors highlight a need to understand the nature of terrorism in Saudi Arabia and the complexities that confront the state.

Beyond al-Qaeda
Recent events in Saudi Arabia, including the beheading of Paul Johnson, an employee of a US defense contractor, point toward an al-Qaeda organization that is moving away from suicide bombings toward sporadic guerrilla attacks on chosen targets and kidnappings and which is desperate to establish its credentials through media publicity. But most important, it has lost some of its top leaders to encounters with the Saudi forces.

Even the tightly policed state has not been able to prevent terrorist operations against Westerners. However, it is very important to realize that terrorism in Saudi Arabia is not just under the aegis of al-Qaeda. Even though 15 out of the 19 al-Qaeda hijackers of September 11, 2001, notoriety were Saudis, there is insufficient evidence of a centralized command of al-Qaeda operating in the Persian Gulf kingdom. An Internet statement of slain al-Qaeda leader, Abdul Aziz al-Muqrin, claimed that al-Qaeda relied on "independent cells that function without organizational cohesion". Most analysts believe that al-Qaeda is a loosely knit organization of several three-to-four-member cells that operate independently.

There have been reports of some indigenous groups being involved in acts of terror in Saudi Arabia, as was the case of the June 25, 1996, truck bombing at the King Abdul Aziz air base at Khobar Towers, which killed 19 US servicemen. The Iranian-supported Shi'ite group, the Saudi Hezbollah, has also been accused of terrorism in the country. There have also been reports of individuals who have carried out acts of terrorism claiming inspiration from Osama bin Laden's teachings, but who are not affiliated with al-Qaeda.

The Muqrin factor
However, the recent cases of the al-Khobar attack and the beheading of Johnson that were claimed by the "al-Qaeda of the Arabian Peninsula", focus the debate on al-Qaeda's presence in the kingdom. The man behind these acts of terror was "Abu Hajir" Abdul Aziz al-Muqrin. This ruthless tactician died in a shootout with Saudi security forces hours after he and three colleagues had disposed of the decapitated body of the unfortunate Johnson.

Muqrin transformed al-Qaeda's war against the Saudi state into a pan-Islamic jihad against Westerners and other "infidels". He often expressed his solidarity with Muslims in Palestine, Iraq, Afghanistan and Chechnya, and was even recruiting mujahideen for Iraq. For him, the struggle of Muslims in these countries was as much an issue for jihad as the growing "apostasy" of the ruling Saudi elite.

Muqrin was a dropout from the Saudi educational system who took the usual path to terrorism through the Afghan jihad, where he met his mentor, bin Laden, and trained under him. He participated in several conflicts in Afghanistan, Algeria, Bosnia, and the Horn of Africa in Somalia and Ethiopia, and was sentenced to four years in prison in Saudi Arabia in the late 1990s. He was released after two years because of his effortless recitation of the Koran, which he learned by heart while in jail.

He took over as leader of al-Qaeda operations this March when the previous chief, a Yemeni national, Khalid Ali Haj, and an accomplice were killed in a raid by security forces after an aggressive anti-terror campaign. Haj himself had succeeded Yussef al-Ayri, who was also shot dead in June 2003, a month after the deadly suicide bombings in Riyadh that May, which claimed more than 20 lives and in which 10 Americans died.

The author of "Al-Qaeda's Targeting Guidance", which was released as a chapter in the seventh issue of al-Qaeda's training publication, Camp al-Battar Magazine, released this March 29, Muqrin identified categories of urban, religious, economic and human targets on which future attacks would be conducted. True to this document, the al-Khobar attack was on an economic target, whereas Johnson was the perfect human target, an American "infidel" working for a defense contractor.

Muqrin had a flair for media publicity and often released statements and pictures on the Internet and appeared on videotapes. His media propaganda was most evident in the Johnson case when he posted grisly images of Johnson's severed head and decapitated body on websites that have been used by al-Qaeda in the past. In fact, he first appeared in al-Qaeda's "Badr al-Riyadh" video released on February 8 as an al-Qaeda field commander who had perhaps masterminded the al-Muhaya housing compound bombing in Riyadh last November. Media propaganda, as in the Johnson case, enhances the impact of terror, and Muqrin understood this well.

Muqrin was a wanted man, but there were doubts about his whereabouts. Some people believed he was not based in Saudi Arabia and directed operations from a distant country, but reliable reports claimed that he probably residing in the al-Suweidi district of Saudi Arabia, which has a long tradition of nurturing terrorists. The British Broadcasting Corp journalist and a cameraman who were shot at in al-Suweidi recently were working on a documentary on Ibrahim al-Rayyes, one of the 26 most wanted terrorists in the kingdom, who was killed in a shootout last December. Figures reveal that 15 out of the 26 most wanted terrorists, the list of which was released by the Saudi Interior Ministry in December, are from this notorious al-Suweidi area.

Muqrin was gunned down with three other al-Qaeda militants on their escape route after dumping Johnson's body. Police received information about the car license number, which helped them chase the militants. It is significant to note here the involvement of the al-Qaeda chief in the basic planning and dumping of a body, which suggests that the leadership is part of the execution of the entire plan until its completion. Some analysts have pointed out that this could imply that al-Qaeda is running out of recruits, but the number of militants detained and killed in the crackdown by the security forces and the increasing frequency of attacks suggest otherwise. The al-Khobar militants were young men between 15 and 25 years of age, which suggests that for the unemployed youth in Saudi Arabia, militancy is both an economic as well as a political option to vent their frustration at the "authoritarian, corrupt and apostate" regime that is indifferent to their plight.

Muqrin's death was denied in a communique by al-Qaeda posted on an Islamist website that the organization uses regularly. The statement said the news of Muqrin's death was intended "to undermine the morale of the mujahideen of the Arabian Peninsula". This message was perhaps an indication of the desperation of the organization, completely taken aback by the unexpected killing of its chief mastermind in Saudi Arabia and a master strategist and planner just two months after the previous chief was killed.

The government, though, confirmed the death of Muqrin and security experts declared Saleh Mohammad al-Aofi as the successor of Muqrin. Some Islamist websites used by al-Qaeda later issued a statement saying that Muqrin had died "after having prepared sincere men from among the combatants to succeed him and carry on the jihad, equipped by God with everything needed to bring harm to America and its agents among the tyrants". The confirmation about Aofi's succession is still being awaited from the information sources of al-Qaeda.

Challenges before the state
Muqrin, who had written in "Al-Qaeda's Targeting Guidance" that the "targets inside the cities are considered a sort of military diplomacy. Normally, this kind of diplomacy is written with blood and decorated with body parts and the smell of guns," has been laid to rest, but his death has brought into focus several important questions related to the nature of the Saudi state and its so-called "war on terror".

The Saudi state, an Islamic theocracy, faces antipathy not only from its citizens but also from other Islamic countries in the region because of its proximity to the United States and the corrupt and authoritarian rule that seems to have benefited the ruling few. The regime is a logical target of attack from international Islamic terrorist groups who consider the House of Saud unfit to continue as the custodian of the Islamic holy places. In fact, before becoming a global Islamic movement, al-Qaeda started its campaign in Saudi Arabia against the government, calling for the overthrow of the monarchy, the first step toward the establishment of a caliphate to unite the Muslims. Their repeated use of the term "al-Qaeda of the Arabian Peninsula" seems a deliberate attempt to avoid the usage of "Saudi Arabia", a name derived from the House of Saud.

There are increasing reports about possible linkages between the Saudi security forces and militants. Pro-militant websites have reported that some elements in the Saudi security forces helped in the kidnapping of Johnson by providing the militants with police uniforms, cars and a fake checkpoint at which Johnson's car was intercepted by the kidnappers. This claim was denied by the government.

The new al-Qaeda chief in Saudi Arabia, Saleh Mohammad al-Aofi, has worked as a prison guard and may have some connections in the security establishment. Even the al-Khobar terrorists were in army uniforms. In a heavily policed state where there is a sustained crackdown on terrorists, the probabilities of some police and army personnel cooperating with the militants does not seem misplaced, especially in the light of the increasingly brazen terrorist attacks and ideological support for al-Qaeda by some Saudis, including those in the royal family who are against any kind of alignment with the West. The security forces have succeeded in gunning down three al-Qaeda chiefs, but the death in each case has only resulted in a more ruthless and dangerous commander taking over. Muqrin's successor, Aofi, is also experienced and has a substantial following.

The recent amnesty offer by King Fahd to militants who surrender themselves in the next month is perhaps a desperate attempt by the regime to establish its credentials as a sincere ally in the "war on terror", at the same time trying to make peace with the dissatisfied elements who may have taken to militancy.

Nevertheless, the amnesty has had some success. This week, a Saudi-born Islamic militant, Khaled al-Harbi, who was seen in a videotape with bin Laden several years ago, turned himself in to the Saudi Embassy in Tehran and was flown back to Saudi Arabia.

Certainly, Muqrin's death is a loss to al-Qaeda, but it is not a "victory" for the Saudi government, which still faces a daunting task. Terrorism and fundamentalism in the Saudi state are not imported phenomena. Many Osamas have emerged out of the Saudi political and religious system, which has a distinct schizophrenic character. The Saudi state is a glaring example of the religious and the political spaces merging together, based on the principles of fundamentalist Wahhabi ideology. Juxtaposed with this Islamic theocratic nature of the state is the Saudi elite's alignment with the Western world and especially close ties with the US.

The struggle between tauhid (monotheism) and taqarub (rapprochement between Muslims and non-Muslims) is reflected in the two factions that have emerged in the royalty. Prince Abdullah, the de facto ruler, with his pro-Western taqarub approach, faces challenges from Prince Nayef, the interior minister, who is said to be a favorite with the tauhid, advocating clergy who are also sympathetic to the al-Qaeda ideology.

Conclusion
The problem in Saudi Arabia is not just the growing menace of terrorism but a systemic collapse that is in urgent need of reform. The power struggle in the ruling elite, coupled with the fact that the regime has failed to address issues affecting the common people, such as corruption and growing unemployment, has distanced the ruling class from the masses. The much-needed political and economic reforms in favor of the common people hardly seem in the offing as the regime continues to derive its legitimacy from Western powers, and control vast oil wealth, which is said to be adding to the riches of the 20,000-member royal family.

This complex interplay of internal and external factors has provided fodder for jihadi terrorism based on the fundamentalist interpretation of Islam advocated by the likes of al-Qaeda.

Swati Parashar is a post-graduate student in international relations from the Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, and currently a researcher at the Observer Research Foundation (ORF), associated with the International Terrorism Watch Project. She is based in New Delhi and can be contacted by e-mail: swatiparashar@orfonline.org

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.


Jul 16, 2004



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