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Iraq draws a bead on 'enemy' Iran
By Valentinas Mite

The recent declaration by Iraqi Defense Minister Hazim Shalan al-Khuzai that Iran is the "first enemy" focuses renewed attention on Baghdad's relations with Tehran. In an interview this week with the Washington Post, Khuzai also accused Iran of taking over some Iraqi border posts and sending spies and saboteurs to destabilize the country.

Iran denies the claims, saying Tehran - "despite the wounds and damages inflicted [on Iran] by the former Iraqi regime" - is doing everything it can to help the Iraqi nation.

At the same time, after years of hostility and recent tension over foreign fighters sneaking into Iraq, interim Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi has ended a visit to Syria with a declaration that diplomatic relations between the two countries will be restored soon.

Yahia Said is a research officer who specializes in Iraq and other nations in transition for the London School of Economics and Political Science. He told Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty that Khuzai's statement was both unprofessional and undiplomatic. "The statements of the minister of defense were, to put it mildly, unprofessional," Said said. "He named Iran as Iraq's enemy No 1, essentially declaring war in diplomatic language. And regardless of what motivated him to say that, it was an unprofessional statement which was rightly rejected or not supported by the prime minister [Allawi]."

In response to Khuzai's comments, Allawi said Iraq "does not have enemies [in Iran] in that sense".

Labid Abawi, deputy foreign minister for policy planning, says Iraq's concerns about border issues apply not only to Iran "but also for the other neighboring countries".

Iran, the biggest Shi'ite state in the world, has special relations and interests in Iraq, where Shi'ite Muslims make up more than 60% of the population.

Ali Reza Nourizadeh is director of the Center for Arab and Iranian Studies in London. He said Iran is eager to influence the situation in Iraq and has many channels through which to do so, the most effective being former Iraqi emigres who spent long years in Iran.

Nourizadeh said the Center for Arab and Iranian Studies had interviewed several Iraqi officials who expressed concerns about the loyalty of these former emigres. Iraqi officials "are very concerned, you know. There are thousands of Iraqis, or half-Iraqis, who lived in Iran, and they were cooperating with Iranian intelligence during Saddam Hussein's [rule]. They all returned to Iraq [now]," Nourizadeh said.

Nourizadeh said there were no accurate figures on how many have returned, but the now-defunct Iraqi Governing Council had issued them passports and identity cards without their backgrounds not being properly checked first.

"When the Iraqi defense minister is saying that Iran is becoming Iraq's first enemy, he is speaking about the Iranian influence and saying what other politicians wouldn't dare say in public," said Nourizadeh.

More important, the militias of some Iraqi political parties were trained with Iranian assistance.

Said from the London School of Economics said the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq has the most efficient military organization, which was trained with Iranian support. "The Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, for example, is definitely [strongly affected by Iran], and has very strong links with the Iranian establishment," Said said. "Especially its military arm [Badr Brigades], which has now been transformed into a political organization, which is [named] Badr Organization. People in Iraq believe that there are lots of Iranian military officers and security officers in that organization."

Said pointed out that Tehran has other possible ways to influence Iraq. Iraq is the historical center of Shi'ite Islam, and the holy cities of Najaf and Karbala are destinations for Iranian pilgrims. It is not difficult for Iran to infiltrate these pilgrims with its own agents. "You know, there are tens of thousands of pilgrims that come to Iraq - Iranian pilgrims - and you often hear reports about Iranian agents being among them, being caught among these pilgrims," Said said.

Analysts say that with no unity among the political elite of Iraq, the future of Iraq-Iran relations looks uncertain. Nourizadeh said the situation might become more distinct after Iraq's prime minister visits Tehran, planned for August. He said Allawi will have to persuade Iran to pursue one policy toward Iraq.

"We should wait until Mr Allawi's visit to Tehran. I mean, he had an invitation from [Iranian President Mohammed] Khatami. We should see whether when he goes to Tehran he would be able to convince the Iranian government that better they come up with one policy towards Iraq, not two or three policies," Nourizadeh said.

Nourizadeh said that although Tehran officially supports stability in Iraq, he believes Iran's Revolutionary Guards and its own security agencies have their own agendas and are acting in contradiction of the official line.

Nourizadeh pointed out that the presence of US troops in Iraq worries Iran and complicates its relations with Iraq. He said Iran faced a difficult geopolitical situation, with US troops also based in neighboring Afghanistan.

Even more, he said, Iran was afraid Iraq might eventually become a democratic and secular state. "I don't think that by just removing Americans from Iraq, the problem between Iran and the new government of Iraq will be solved," Nourizadeh said. "No. The Iranian regime [will be] unhappy to see a secular, prosperous, federal Iraq near Iran."

Hand of friendship to Syria
After what he described as "fruitful and constructive" talks this week with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Allawi said the two countries had agreed to set up a joint committee to oversee the security of their 600-kilometer border.

"Relations will be restored and they will be strong," Allawi said. "It is clear that our visit here is the beginning of a bright chapter in relations between our two brotherly people. We are opening a new page with Syria," he told a press conference held jointly with his Syrian counterpart Mohammed Naji Otri.

Damascus-based diplomats told Inter Press Service that the two countries had signed security agreements that address border control, joint patrols and exchange of security and intelligence information.

"That the decisions were made without US auspices is a good indicator of the Iraqi interim government's willingness to get the ball rolling on establishing a viable state that can stand alongside its neighbors," a Western diplomat said. "Security is a central part of any state, and it is crucial that this agreement works so it can be followed by others."

Syria has long been a haven for Iraqis opposed to Saddam. Syria's branch of the ruling Ba'ath Party broke with the Iraqi Ba'ath Party in 1966 amid political infighting.

During the Iran-Iraq War of 1980-88, Syria was the only Arab country to support Persian Iran. Syria also joined the US-led coalition against Iraq in the 1991 Gulf War. Yet it was one of the strongest opponents of the second US-led war on Iraq, and greeted Allawi's government with suspicion.

Many Syrians are still resistant to the new Iraqi government. "We express resentment over the visit of the head of the government of the occupation of Iraq," a group of Syrian intellectuals said in a statement as Allawi headed for Damascus. "He is persona non grata in our country, not only because of his personal disgraceful past but also because he and his government are just tools in the hands of the occupation against Iraq and the Arab nation."

The statement added: "He and his cabinet are preparing to turn Iraq into a launching pad to reshape the region and place it under American-Israeli domination."

The United States has repeatedly accused Syria of not doing enough to stop infiltration of Islamic fighters through the Syrian border to Iraq to fight the coalition forces. Syria has denied the accusations, but has said also that it cannot fully police its border with its eastern neighbor.

Kidnappings have been frequent in recent months, and insurgents appear to have become emboldened after forcing the Philippines to withdraw its 51-member peacekeeping contingent last week to save the life of a Filipino truck driver they were holding.

Iraqi officials accompanying Allawi said the prime minister was seeking on his first Middle East tour since he took power on June 28 to rebuild relations with Iraq's neighbors after the end of the Saddam regime.

The Syrian prime minister assured Allawi his country was keen to "achieve security and stability in Iraq" and to "support the efforts that aim at achieving that".

Allawi assured Syrians, who repeatedly demand withdrawal of occupation forces from Iraq, that Baghdad has the right once it completes the training of its own military forces to ask US-led forces to leave the country.

Syrian Foreign Minister Farouk Al-Sharaa said the recent improvement in Syrian-Iraqi relations was not intended to placate Washington. He said he hoped the "current faces" in the US administration would "disappear" in the coming presidential elections in November.

Syrian analysts believe Syria is most severely affected by the Iraq war and the deterioration of security within Iraq. An Iraqi oil pipeline running through Syria has been closed, and bilateral trade exchanges greatly cut down, depriving Syria of considerable revenues.

Iraqi sources said the two countries have discussed ways to reinforce economic and trade ties, adding that Syria would participate in the third donor conference for Iraq scheduled to be held in Tokyo in October.

Iraqi Oil Minister Thamer al-Ghadhban said he signed an agreement with his Syrian counterpart Ibrahim Haddad to export crude oil to Syria from an oilfield close to the border. In return, Syria would supply Iraq with refined petroleum products.

The Syrian economy is in deep crisis and would benefit greatly if it were offered a slice of the lucrative reconstruction market in Iraq.

Syria and Iraq have worked over several years to rehabilitate their ties. This was accelerated when Bashar Assad succeeded his father Hafez Assad as president of Syria in 2000.

Trade between the two countries resumed in 1997, and Syrian exports to Iraq jumped from US$500 million in 1997 to $2 billion in 2002, according to official Iraqi statistics.

"Although the new decisions have shown that Iraq and Syria are serious about confronting their mutual security concerns, a dose of healthy skepticism is still warranted," said economist Izeddeen Ismail, who lectures at the Damascus Faculty of Trade. "Pan-Arab projects have hardly had the best track record when judged by the past 50 years' trail of failed agreements and friendships."

(Additional reporting from Damascus by George Baghdadi of Inter Press Service.)

Copyright 2004 RFE/RL Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave NW, Washington, DC 20036


Jul 30, 2004



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