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Baghdad governor slain

BAGHDAD - Baghdad governor Ali al-Haydari was assassinated on Tuesday by gunmen in the Iraqi capital. Haidri is the most senior Iraqi official to be killed in Baghdad since the head of the Iraqi Governing Council was killed by a suicide bomb in May last year. Haidri had survived a previous assassination attempt in Baghdad in September that killed two of his bodyguards.

Meanwhile, police in Iraq say a suicide car bomb on a security checkpoint in Baghdad's fortified Green Zone on Tuesday killed at least 10 people and injured about 40 others. The blast comes one day after at least 20 people were killed in insurgent attacks.

In Baghdad alone, there were three explosions on Monday, including a suicide car bombing near the party offices of interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi. The attack, which killed two people, occurred as party officials were due to hold a news conference announcing candidates for the election.

Iraqi and US officials have warned of an increase in violence during the run-up to elections planned for January 30.

Iraqi intelligence chief General Muhammad Abdullah Shahwani has said there are now more insurgents in Iraq than US soldiers. There are 150,000 US troops in Iraq.

The ongoing security problems in the Sunni-populated center of the country raise serious questions about the extent to which polling can take place there. The problems are highlighted by recent insurgent attacks on Iraqi National Guardsmen, police stations, and voter-registration centers.

Insurgents in central Iraq have become increasingly bold in attacking Iraq's National Guard - one of the main forces seeking to ensure election security.

Two suicide bombers in a car packed with explosives drove into the path of a bus carrying National Guardsmen on Monday, killing 23 members of the paramilitary force. The attack, outside a US military base near Balad, north of Baghdad, was the deadliest against Iraqi security forces in four months.

An Iraqi National Guard soldier described the bombing to Reuters: "The attack took place at 0800 [local time] in the morning on the way to Sayyid Muhammad Street. A number of the National Guards were heading for work in a bus when suddenly an evil attack took place, killing 25 members of the National Guards in Balad."

Gunmen assassinated two government officials in Diyala Province, northeast of Baghdad, and an Iraqi police major in Baghdad on Monday. On the same day, mortars fired by insurgents landed at two centers for registering voters in the central town of Tikrit.

Insurgent groups have threatened to kill anyone taking part in the election. So far, the campaign in the center of the country has had some success in intimidating election workers.

The election commission in the northern town of Baiji resigned en masse on Monday in the wake of death threats against its members. Earlier, guerillas in the nearby town of Sharqat ordered municipal employees out of a local government building to be used as a polling center and blew the building up.

National Guardsmen have detained 228 suspected insurgents over the past week in restive areas south of Baghdad.

But as insurgents step up attacks, they appear intent on demonstrating that the police and National Guard cannot protect voters ahead of the poll.

US officials have said that Iraqi security officials will be responsible for security at polling sites while US-led international troops maintain a low profile "just over the horizon". That means out of sight but near enough to rush to the aid of local security forces if necessary.

But analysts say uncertainties over security at polling sites could reduce voter turnout in many Sunni areas. Some Sunni leaders also have called for boycotting the poll, saying it will hand power to Iraq's Shi'ite majority.

Joost Hiltermann is a regional expert with the International Crisis Group based in Amman. He says that a low turnout in Sunni areas could benefit the insurgents. "Sunni Arabs who fear a 'de-privileging' as a result of becoming a political minority in the future Iraq will, by and large, stay away from the polls, thereby ratifying their own exclusion but also giving rise to further insurgency from within their community," Hiltermann said.

The major mainstream Sunni political party, the Iraqi Islamic Party, withdrew from the National Assembly race last week. The party said it might also reject the new constitution that is scheduled to be drawn up after the vote.

But top Sunni officials in the government, including interim President Ghazi al-Yawir, have called for the community to take part in the vote. The government is seeking support from tribal and other community leaders to urge Sunnis to go to the polls.

The January 30 vote is to elect a National Assembly that will choose Iraq's next interim government. The assembly also will appoint the body that will write Iraq's first post-Saddam Hussein constitution.

Copyright (c) 2004, RFE/RL Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave NW, Washington DC 20036


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