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    Middle East
     Jun 30, 2005
Bush's mission implausible
By Ian Williams

For several years after September 11, 2001, President George W Bush's major pronouncements were often made in military bases in front of serried uniformed ranks unlikely to heckle or catcall. On each occasion he usually wore some military garb, giving rise to the quip that he was seen in uniform more often than Fidel Castro.

So it was surprising and not very astute for him to give a major policy speech at Fort Bragg, North Carolina on Tuesday night. The base is named after a Confederate general and a year ago claimed to have assembled a "team to capture deserters". On this occasion at least, the president eschewed any visible item of military uniform.

However, the martial background of Fort Bragg dangerously recalled the best backdrop never to be used in a political campaign –when weeks after the war had started the president landed in full pilot's outfit on the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln. The ship sported a huge banner declaring "Mission Accomplished". By the time of the election, it was of course clear that the declaration was more than a little optimistic. Two years later, it is the last thing he wants to remind people about.

But the discipline of this military audience was not matched by the civilian members of his administration. In the few days before, Vice President Dick Cheney insisted that the Iraqi insurgents were on the brink of defeat, while Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld was planning for 12 more years of war.

The president's advisors say he was offering clarity. There is little sign of it, apart from a depressing endorsement of Rumsfeld's pessimism. He asked himself whether the war was worth it, and answered himself that "it is worth it, and it is vital to the future security of our country". In contrast, polls show that Americans are dubious about the president, about his motivations for the war and whether it was a good thing.

Even the polls that show that most Americans oppose an immediate pullout from Iraq offer scant comfort. The attitude seems to be regretful, "We broke it, so it's our job to fix it," a view elaborated by several veterans' groups who opposed the war, but do not want to leave ordinary Iraqis to the tender mercies of the forces the invasion has attracted and unleashed. That does not amount to ringing endorsement of the presidential record.

Certainly, voters are in a more questioning mode now, and they are far less likely to accept the president's reassertion, or rather reimplication, that Saddam Hussein was behind September 11.

His speech was carefully constructed. If you parse it grammatically, you will not see a direct statement that Saddam was behind September 11. But most of the audience are not grammarians and semanticists. That was certainly the clear, and essentially dishonest, reason he offered for the war. However, there was no evidence then, and he produced none now, to prove the allegation.

When he said "Our mission in Iraq is clear. We're hunting down the terrorists," increasing numbers of Americans are aware that the "terrorists" are actually flocking to Iraq because of the American invasion, not because they were there earlier.

Two years ago, he could get away with that more easily. In the run-up to the invasion, the nightly triptych of the TV screens, the pictures of Osama bin Laden, the burning World Trade Center and Saddam all under the title "War on Terror" could persuade 70% of Americans. But it has been a long time since bin Laden has been shown on television: it could remind people that he has not been found and that Saddam is no substitute.

However, adding to his troubles, the "Downing Street memos" - the documents from Britain which confirmed the suspicions of many that the war had been decided on long before it was launched, have moved from the Internet readers of the British press into mainstream American newspapers, with open discussions.

The speech mentioned weapons of mass destruction in Libya that were given up after the war. But no more mentioned the absence of them in Iraq than it did the strong opinion of many foreign-policy experts that the war was in fact the reason why North Korea now has them.

The appeal to the troops did allow the president to invoke the coming Independence Day celebrations and appeal to patriotism. "This fourth of July, I ask you to find a way to thank the men and women defending our freedom - by flying the flag, sending a letter to our troops in the field, or helping the military family down the street. The Department of Defense has set up a website - AmericaSupportsYou.mil. You can go there to learn about private efforts in your own community."

It does not take too much cynicism to foresee the Republican media trying to sweep up a wave of demonstrative patriotism in the next few days, hoping that an appeal to "support-our-troops" sentiment will drown out rational questions about why they were put in harm's way to begin with.

Perhaps there is no better gauge than recruitment figures. The military is losing experienced people who are not re-enlisting. They are failing to meet their recruitment quotas, despite widely reported lowered standards and unprecedented activism by recruiters in schools and colleges.

Originally coy about carrying the speech, the networks cancelled some reruns to run it live, persuaded by the White House press office that there was a major policy statement coming. There wasn't. And Bush probably did himself no favors by broadcasting a pep talk intended for troops already committed to action to much more skeptical civilians.

In a way, his most remarkable achievement, with his social security reform dead in the water, his United Nations ambassador-designate held hostage by the Senate, and the continuing maelstrom in Iraq, is to look like a lame-duck president only six months into his second term.

Ian Williams is author of Deserter: Bush's War on Military Families, Veterans and His Past, Nation Books, New York.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)


Twelve more years
(Jun 28, '05)

The first, not the last throes
(Jun 25, '05)


Iraq, the new Afghanistan
(Jun 24, '05)

Withdrawal on the agenda (Jun 23, '05)


 
 



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