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    Middle East
     Sep 20, 2005
Kurds dream of real power
By Sami Moubayed

Kurds living in countries such as Syria,Turkey and Iran now dare to dream as they observe the new-found privileges their brothers in Iraq now enjoy. But theirs is a much harder battle.

It took an American invasion of Iraq to open the door to the freedoms now enjoyed by Kurds in that country. Their fellow Kurds face other unique obstacles and circumstances in the countries they live in. And though they see Iraqi Kurds as their benchmark to greater freedom, they all have different views of how their futures might look. Whatever autonomy they envision in the short term, most see such freedoms as a stepping stone to a real Kurdistan.

The Kurds of Syria have long complained that many of them were deprived of their citizenship in a controversial census conducted

by the pre-Ba'ath regime of president Nazim al-Qudsi in 1962. Since then, Syrian Kurds have been demanding citizenship, rather than autonomy like their brothers in Iraq. In March 2004, wanting to make their voice heard, they rioted throughout Syria, vandalizing private and public property.

Weeks after the Kurdish unrest, the political play, The Day that Baghdad Fell, was shown in Damascus. In one scene, a Syrian Kurd and a Syrian Arab discuss politics (in a comical way) while waiting at the doctor's clinic. The Kurd praises the US, saying he will stand by and watch if the US military attacks Syria. It was the US, after all, that had secured autonomy for Iraqi Kurdistan in 1991 and maintained it since 2003. It was the US that brought international attention to the Kurdish problem after the first Gulf War in 1991. The reason for his negative attitude, he says, is discrimination against the Kurds and their maltreatment in Syria. The two men quarrel, then eventually make up in high drama, and the Kurd turns into a Syrian nationalist saying that he too will fight for Syria if the US tries to invade. He recounts a long list of famous Kurds who assumed senior office in Syria, including the late moderate cleric, Mufti Ahmad Kaftaro (who had called on worshipers during the Iraq War in 1991 to take up arms against the invading US).

True, in real life the Syrian Kurds might fight for Syria. But there are Kurds in Syria who simply do not feel Syrian. This also applies to Kurds in Turkey and Iran, who feel neither Turkish nor Iranian but simply "Kurdish". All of them have been looking at their brothers in Iraq and seeing what kinds of privileges they are getting in Iraqi Kurdistan. The Iraqi Kurds emerged victorious in the January elections, secured continued autonomy for Iraqi Kurdistan, propped up their leader Jalal Talbani as president in Baghdad and made the Kurdish language official in Iraq. This has triggered the imagination and aspirations of the 25 million Kurds in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf, mainly Syria, Iran, and Turkey. They now wish that they too can secure autonomy for themselves, a stepping stone toward creating the real Kurdistan.

Kurdish unrest in Turkey

The Kurds are the dominant minority in Turkey, comprising nine million of Turkey's 60 million population. Turkey alone contains more than 50% of what the Kurds demand as the real Kurdistan. Many of the Turkish Kurds feel more Kurdish than Turkish. Some have taken on a Turkish identity to avoid persecution, to assimilate in society or to attain senior posts in government or private sector. The Turkish government has banned the use of Kurdish in schools and on radio and TV, as well as prevented Kurds from giving their children Kurdish names. Violation of these laws results in up to five years' imprisonment. Kurdish political parties in Turkey are officially banned and their leaders have been arrested, exiled or killed. The Kurds have been a nightmare for every Turkish leader since the break-down of the Ottoman Empire at the end of World War I. Turkish governments crushed Kurdish rebellions in 1925, 1930 and 1937-1938.

Neighboring countries such as Iran, Iraq and Syria have exploited the Kurdish problem in Turkey, mainly to pressure consecutive regimes in Ankara, and to keep the Kurdish wolf away from their own doorsteps. Even neighboring Greece has exploited the Kurdish problem and assisted the Kurds, to weaken Turkey in the fight over Cyprus. The main threat to the Turks is the infamous Kurdish Worker's Party (PKK - Partia Kakaren Kurdistan), founded in 1978, and its leader, Abdullah Ocalan. According to Robert Olson's book Turkey's Relations with Iran, Syria, Israel, and Russia, 1991-2000, Turkey spends an estimated US$8 billion a year to combat the PKK insurgency. An estimated 200,000 troops have been commissioned to fight the Kurds. The BBC reports that more than 30,000 have been killed in Turkey due to the Kurdish-Turkish War that has been going on since 1984. Dozens of villages have been bulldozed and thousands of Kurds uprooted. This huge military spending has caused public outcry among Turkish politicians who claim this money could be spent on education, health, social development and industry, rather than on the military.

The argument in Turkey says that if the government allows limited educational and social freedoms to the Kurds, then they will demand more, as is the case in Iraq. The Turks do not want to face a situation where the Kurds are officially bargaining for autonomy or complete independence. After coming to office in 1989, president Turgu Ozal (of Kurdish origin) tried to solve the problem peacefully by engaging in dialogue with the Kurds. He lifted some of the restrictions on language and allowed its limited use in conversation and music, abolishing the ban on Kurdish in 1991. He died suddenly while in office in 1993 before solving the Kurdish crisis. Former prime minister Tansu Ciller also tried to solve the problem peacefully after coming to power in 1993, by trying to permit the Kurdish language in schools and on TV. Her proposal was turned down by the government and by her own True Path Party.

The country trying to exploit the Kurdish problem in Turkey the most is Syria, which never imagined that one day it too would face a similar Kurdish problem. Along with Iraq, it allowed the PKK to set up a base and launch attacks inside Turkey. Damascus, Tehran and Baghdad supported PKK leader Ocalan, who lived for many years in Syria and had bases in Rezhan and Ziveh in Iran. Ocalan did not call for autonomy - he wanted an independent Kurdistan. With 5,000-10,000 fighters, he attacked government property in Turkey and slaughtered Turkish officials, in addition to ordinary Turkish citizens living in Kurdish districts. Whenever pressure became too strong from the Turkish government, the PKK would flee into neighboring Iraqi Kurdistan. At two points, the Turks raided the Kurdish parts of Iraq, once in 1992 with 20,000 troops, and once in 1995 with 35,000. They even promised to defend the Iraqi Kurds against now-deposed Iraqi president Saddam Hussein if the Kurds allowed them to enter Iraqi Kurdistan and hunt down fighters of the PKK. Naturally, the Iraqi Kurds refused. Defeated, the Turks were forced to grant cultural concessions to the Kurds in 1991 but refused to recognize Kurdish political parties.

In many ways, this Arab alliance with the Kurds in the 1980s and 1990s explains why Turkey today enjoys such a strong friendship with Israel. The Jewish state is the only country in the Middle East without a Kurdish population. Israel has generously supported Turkey's war on the PKK, hoping that by doing so, it would secure for itself a new friend in the Middle East. In fact, the alliance between Tel Aviv and Ankara came at the height of PKK operations, when the countries signed a "Military and Training Cooperation Agreement" in February-August 1996. This alliance has been strongly criticized by Iran and Syria, who have failed to realize that it resulted directly from their exploitation of the Kurdish problem in Turkey.

Today, like no time in recent history, anti-Americanism is soaring in Turkey. The Turks supported the US war on Iraq in 1991 and allowed the US to use military bases in Turkey. In exchange, at the time, the US extended a defense agreement between Washington and Ankara, and increased financial and military aid to the Turks. Many attribute the current animosity to the legality of the war on Iraq, which many Turks saw as unjustified. This may be a prime reason, but as well, many Turks are enraged that the US has done nothing to crack down on the PKK since it launched its war on terror in 2001. To the Turks, the PKK is no different from al-Qaeda and Ocalan is no different from Osama bin Laden. The Turks have drawn parallels between Kurds rioting in front of Turkish embassies worldwide after Ocalan's arrest in 1999, and possible riots today in front of US embassies worldwide if bin Laden is captured.

Although they have different ideologies and different objectives, the PKK and al-Qaeda are two terrorist organizations that have done nothing but terrorize civilians and kill innocents. To the Turks, PKK activities since 1983 are no less horrendous than the September 11, 2001 attacks in New York, the March 11, 2004 train bombings in Madrid and the July 7 subway attacks in London. Not only has the US not lifted a finger to help Turkey fight the PKK, it unintentionally encouraged Kurdish separatism in Turkey by maintaining autonomy of the Kurds in Iraq after the downfall of Saddam in 2003.

The reason for the gap between many Turks and the US is that some Turkish officials and politicians support Hamas, the Palestinian Islamist paramilitary organization, thereby destroying any international or US support they may have elicited against the PKK. Yet the Turks do not understand that the US cannot, and will not, ever go to war against the PKK. Why should they stick their necks out for the Turks, if this would jeopardize their already shaky standing in Iraq? The Kurds, after all, are the US's prime ally in post-Saddam Iraq.

The current leaders of Iraq and Iraqi Kurdistan, Jalal Talbani and Masoud Barzani, were one-time allies of Ocalan. Although they disapproved of Ocalan's willingness to kill so many innocent Turkish civilians, they nevertheless shared a common objective in creating Kurdistan and cooperated extensively at certain times in the 1980s. They are the ones maintaining the status quo in Iraq in favor of America. They have a tremendous affection for the US, crediting George W Bush and his father for their autonomy and for ridding them of Saddam Hussein's dictatorship. This is the same reason why the US will never push too far against the Shi'ite Hezbollah in Lebanon or the Shi'ite regime in Iran. The Shi'ites of Iraq are also prime allies of the Americans. Fighting the Shi'ites of Lebanon or the mullahs of Tehran would enrage the Shi'ites of Iraq. Overnight, they could withdraw their allegiance to the Americans and join the Sunni-led insurrection. The US would never fight a Shiite-Kurdish-Sunni insurgency in Iraq.

Since the fall of Baghdad in 2003, the Iraqi Kurds have said they fear a Turkish military attack in Kurdistan. The Turkish Army did threaten the Iraqi Kurds when they began demanding control over Kirkuk, the oil-rich city in northern Iraq that the Kurds want as a new capital instead of Arbil. Below Kirkuk sits more than 10 billion barrels of oil, which the Kurds are now claiming as their property. In October-November 2004, it was reported that the Turkish army had began planning for an invasion of Iraq in 2005, with no less than 20,000 troops, to bring a halt to Kurdish demands.

The plan, however, never got past the drawing board. One sign, however, that the Turks are now dealing with the Kurdish problem in a more rational and civilized manner is a visit recently made by Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan to Diyarbakir, the principal Kurdish town in Turkey. From there he declared, "the Kurdish problem could not be solved through purely military means". He added that "the Kurdish problem is everybody's problem, but above all mine!" He was appealing to the Kurds, in a historic statement, effectively saying that the Kurdish plight is a national plight for all Turks. If one reads between the lines, however, his statement means that the problem is a Turkish problem and will be solved by the Turkish government.

Secession for the Kurds is still not an option for the Turks. This shows that Ankara is starting to have second thoughts about the Kurdish problem and how to deal with it. Diyarbakir, underdeveloped compared to the rest of Turkey, is the only place in Turkey where the prime minister needs at least 4,000 security personnel to guard him.

Kurdish regions in general are neglected by the central government, receiving no more than 10% of state industrial investment and only 2% of commercial investment. Unemployment is high and so is neglect, simply because the region is Kurdish. While the prime minister was there, demonstrations took place praising Ocalan. Violence did not break out because a senior PKK official had ordered his followers not to disrupt Erdogan's visit. Part of Erdogan's policy is to make regional friends with former enemies who are suffering from the same Kurdish problem. This explains Turkey's newfound friendship with Syria and Iran.

Meanwhile, Syria has cracked down on Kurdish political parties, especially those associated with Iraqi Kurdistan, and Iran has arrested 20 PKK terrorists over the past 12 months. Defeated and lacking strong leadership since the arrest of Ocalan in 1999, the PKK has greatly reduced its military activity, concentrating instead on running the Kurdish Parliament in Exile (KPE) in Brussels, which was created in April 1995. It thrives on the thousands of Kurds living in Europe. Germany alone has about 400,000 Kurds, France has 60,000 and Sweden has 10,000. Smaller numbers are scattered in Belgium, Great Britain, the Netherlands and Italy. Dominated by the PKK, which the European Union (EU) says is a terrorist organization, the KPE has been ineffective in promoting the Kurdish cause in Europe or advancing it in the Middle East. Today, the problem of the Kurds is relatively quiet in Turkey. Much tension was defused when Ocalan's verdict was commuted in 2002 from death to life imprisonment, the Kurdish language was allowed and pro-PKK members of parliament were released. The situation flared up again when the Kurdish movement appeared victorious in post-Saddam Iraq, threatening a very violent re-awakening of the Kurdish movement in Turkey.

Kurdish unrest in Iran

The Kurds of Iran, like elsewhere in the region, have always advocated the creation of Kurdistan, seeing themselves as a persecuted minority (they are 10% of Iran's 68 million). Their demands for limited autonomy, the right to use their language, teach Kurdish at their schools and appoint officials have all been turned down by successive Iranian regimes. When the Islamic revolution took place in 1979, many Kurds supported it, seeing it as a window of opportunity for them to obtain concessions from the new rulers of Tehran. When the new clerics adopted a no-compromise attitude no different from that of the Shah, the disappointed Kurds took up arms in March 1979. What they couldn't gain through dialogue they hoped to gain through war.

One faction emerged, headed by the Iranian Kurdish leader Ahmad Muftizadeh of Sanandaj (a Kurdish town in Iran), who was willing to settle for limited concessions from the former Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. The Kurdish Democratic Party, however, headed by Abdul-Rahman Qasemlu and other hardliners refused to accept a compromise, demanding a share in the national revenue of Iran - to be used for expenditure in Iranian Kurdistan - and administrative autonomy for the district. They also made the ongoing Kurdish demand for having Kurdish as an official language and demanded that all communication between the Tehran government and that of Iranian Kurdistan be made in Kurdish.

Local security would be in the hands of the Kurds, but national defense, foreign affairs, and central banking would remain in the hands of the Iranian regime. Khomeini curtly refused these demands and fighting resumed in August 1979, six months after the revolution broke out. More talks took place under president Bani al-Sadr in 1980-1981. He said he would accept Kurdish demands "with modifications", but this also failed.

The attention and force of the Iranian military was diverted when it went to war against Saddam Hussein in 1980. It was then fighting on two fronts, the Iraqis on the border and the Kurds at home. This weakened the Iranian military, and the Kurds became strong in the Iranian countryside, remaining in control until the government retaliated with force in 1983. Widescale persecution followed, and the Kurdish Democratic Party was forced to move to Iraq, where it was, ironically, received with open arms by Saddam Hussein. Temporary alliances in the Iran-Iraq War made the Iraqis welcome Iranian Kurds wanting to carve Kurdistan out of Iran. It also made Iranians welcome Iraqi Kurds in Tehran for wanting to create Kurdistan out of Iraq. Both maneuvers backfired.

A Kurdish revolt was brewing against Saddam Hussein, as was another Kurdish uprising against the mullahs of Iran. Bickering and eventually fighting broke out within the Kurdish movement in Iran in 1985, further weakening the separatist movement. Hopes were raised when president Mohammad Khatami came to office in 1997 promising a high-profile reform agenda. But with the US war on Iraq in 2003, Iranian authorities came to believe that the Kurds of Iran would now try to use the US against them. An Iranian official told Time magazine: "These Kurdish parties hope that the US will send their soldiers to attack Iran, and that they will then be able to play the same sort of role as Masoud Barzani and Jalal Talbani. They told the Americans, 'We can arm tens of thousands of men and liberate Kurdistan.' But the Americans do not want to provoke Iran, they know that we can exert a big influence on the events in Iraq." The newfound status of the Iraqi Kurds today, after successfully winning the January 2005 elections, packing parliament, and imposing their will on the constitution draft, threatens to re-awaken the dreams and ambitions of the Kurds in Iran.

The truth that troubles Turkey, Iran and Syria is that Iraqi Kurdistan does exist today, ruled by the warlord Masoud al-Barzani. It has its own democratically elected parliament, military (the Peshmerga), constitution, president, prime minister and national flag that differs from the Iraqi flag. There are Kurdish TV channels and Kurdish newspapers. The Arab world still lives by the romance of Arab nationalism, which has dominated Arab hearts from the 1960s onward. Arabs cannot accept that territory historically considered part of Iraq should today be recognized as a totally different entity that is non-Arab, called Kurdistan. The Arabs, and many of the Arab Iraqis in particular, do not understand that there is no future in wanting to unite with a people who no longer want to unite with them. Unity or marriage between them is impossible because it is an act to be decided upon by both parties. And clearly, the Kurds do not want it. After enjoying autonomy since 1991, they simply, will not give it away. Some have accepted it as a fact, such as the Sunnis of Iraq who are no longer trying to challenge Kurdistan. Yet Kurdistan has encouraged the Shi'ites of Iraq to demand autonomy for themselves in the south. This might encourage other groups, mostly minorities, to make similar demands in the Middle East, further carving up the region. The nationalists in the Arab world could not bear to see that.

One alarming fact that most Arabs do not know is that Kurdistan is a prosperous haven for investment, democracy and security. In fact, what it has achieved since 1991 is a total embarrassment for most Arab regimes. The Kurds achieved in 14 years, undoubtedly with the help of the Americans, what most Arab regimes have not achieved in more than 20. Kurdistan has its own Arbil International Airport, which recently received its first flights from Dubai and Amman. It was constructed on the air force base Saddam used to attack the Kurds in 1988. Kurdistan is filled with professional hospitals, modern supermarkets, lavish restaurants and factories. A BBC correspondent noted the massive construction work taking place there, saying: "Everywhere you look, bulldozers are at work. Things are booming. People have money, people are spending it, they feel its safe to spend and to build for the future." A lot of the construction work is being financed by Kurdish businessmen who fled Saddam's dragnet in the 1980s and made successful careers in the diaspora. Those wishing to invest are exempted from taxes during the first five years of business operation and facilities such as free land are given to them by the Kurdish government as encouragement.

Today, the Kurds are concentrating on making Kurdistan a tourist attraction for other Iraqis. They are constructing a 28-floor luxury hotel in Sulaymaniyya. The economic prosperity and safety of the Kurdish towns, compared to the hellish conditions in the rest of Iraq, has encouraged non-Kurdish Iraqis to migrate to Kurdistan in search of better lives. At first, the migration was confined to laborers or unemployed young men who wanted to work at one of the many construction sites dotting Kurdistan, but today many educated professionals are making the journey as well. It has been estimated that about 25% of ophthalmologists from Basra have established medical centers in Kurdistan. In the last two years, since the fall of Saddam in 2003, about 40 Arab professors have gone to Kurdistan to teach at the University of Sulaymaniyya.

The Iraqi daily newspaper Babil has described Kurdistan in detail: "This is supposedly an Iraqi land, but no one utters the name Iraq. Here they use cellular phones called Kurdistell, they watch Kurdish TV. Kurdistan has escaped from Baghdad's grip since the end of the 1991 war, and is protected by the American and British no-fly zone. There are 30 registered political parties. Its people argue that they enjoy freedom unknown to neighboring countries. Unbelievable changes have taken place here. Imagine, most of the children born after 1991 do not speak Arabic."

At this stage, the most Kurds can aspire to is to maintain their current status, which they will, and to modernize Iraqi Kurdistan. Nobody is seriously thinking of creating a Turkish, Iranian and Syrian Kurdistan. Independence for the Iraqi Kurds is on nobody's agenda since its price might be too costly for a nation still ripped apart by war and US inability to bring it back together. Even President Talbani acknowledged that independence of Kurdistan was not feasible, saying in an interview: "The Kurds, like all other people, aspire to self-determination. But facing the reality, we [Kurds] recognize that this is not possible. An independent Kurdistan cannot survive." The realization, apparently, came a little too late!

Sami Moubayed is a Syrian political analyst.

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