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    Middle East
     Dec 8, 2006
Page 2 of 3
The myth of more in Iraq

By Michael Schwartz

or of the American occupation, and therefore when the Americans seek to impose an outside government and root out the insurgency's military leaders, the cities explode. On hitting the streets, American troops usually seek to arrest or kill local militia leaders, while the insurgents begin to set IEDs or mount sniper attacks to prevent the US from controlling the town.

Because the insurgents are usually supported by many in the



community and US tactics are generally destructive, American military "successes" produce new insurgents, recruited to avenge the deaths of friends and relatives. When US forces withdraw, the city or town returns to something like its previous status quo (with insurgents once again playing the role of local police) - but, of course, it's also more battered, economically worse off, angrier, more on edge.

Thus, it is not surprising that the increasing size of the "Iraqi" Army (whose troops are integrated into the American command and control structure) has only produced increased violence. With more troops at its disposal, the American command has entered more towns and neighborhoods, thereby triggering more and longer confrontations.

Ultimately these battles will end only when the US stops trying to impose an outside government on the cities that are currently controlled by the local religious leaders and their militias.

Fallacy 2: Once enough troops are brought into Baghdad, sectarian violence will subside

This second application of the myth of more follows the same sort of straightforward logic as the first. A strong military presence is assumed to be needed to intercept, capture, disrupt, or disband Sunni suicide bombers and Shi'ite death squads. Roadblocks are established to search for suspicious individuals - and massive house-to-house searches are launched to find hidden arms caches and apprehend suspects.

This is then expected to reduce the number and ferocity of sectarian attacks. Baghdad, however, is so vast and the number of sectarian fighters so numerous that even the large number of American troops transferred in from the heartland of the Sunni insurgency, al-Anbar province, in recent months and ever larger numbers of Iraqi troops and police have not yet contained the sectarian violence.

Here again, there is a paradoxical problem. Though the logic of more seems once again to make perfect sense, "Operation Together Forward", distinctly a more-style joint American-Iraqi operation devoted to suppressing sectarian violence in Baghdad, has had the opposite effect. Six months after the operation started, the number of insurgent attacks in Baghdad had actually increased by 26%, and the number of violent deaths reported at the city morgue had doubled, and then doubled again, leading New York Times journalists Edwin Wong and Damian Cave to report that "sectarian violence is spiraling out of control".

Here again, the paradox is explained only when you look at just what those American troops and their Iraqi allies were actually doing on the streets of Baghdad. And, here again, we need to realize that, despite their thuggish tendencies, the religious militias - the major target of American military action - are the forces of law and order in Baghdad's otherwise lawless neighborhoods. They direct traffic, arrest and/or punish common criminals, and mediate disagreements among citizens. They also protect the neighborhood from outsiders intent on doing harm to local residents, including US or Iraqi soldiers, suicide bombers, and death squads.

When the American troops enter the various sections of Baghdad, they drive the militias off the streets and underground. Usually this results in battles between militia-members-turned-insurgents and the invading force, but it also results in the suppression of their enforcement and protection activities.

Local militia members cannot patrol the streets for fear of being attacked by the invading army - and the soldiers of that army have neither the skills, nor the every-street-corner presence to replace them. This makes the community not less, but far more vulnerable to suicide bombers and death squads.

This vulnerability is all-too-vividly illustrated by the tragic events associated with Operation Together Forward in Sadr City, the vast Shi'ite slum and stronghold of the Sadrist movement in East Baghdad. The dense presence of the Sadrist militia, the Mehdi Army, had made the city-within-a-city relatively invulnerable to suicide car bombs, but this ended in October when American troops sealed off the area and set up checkpoints at key entrance and exit spots in order to hunt down Mehdi Army leaders they suspected of participation in death squads as well as the kidnapping of an American soldier.

Local residents told New York Times reporter Sabrina Tavernise that the cordon "forced Mehdi Army members who were patrolling the streets to vanish," and set the stage for a ferocious series of car bombings by Sunni jihadists.

Even after the check points were dismantled, American patrols kept the Mehdi Army underground, opening the way for a devastating, coordinated set of five car bombs that killed at least 215 and wounded 257. Qusai Abdul-Wahab, a Sadrist member of parliament, spoke for most residents of the community when he told the Associated Press that "occupation forces are fully responsible for these acts".

At about the same time and in a similar way, American troops facilitated death squad attacks in the nearby cities of Balad and Duluiyah, scenes of intense sectarian tension. American troops cordoned off the cities, seeking to root out Sunni insurgents accused of slaughtering 17 Shi'ite workers.

This drove the local Sunni militia underground and soon afterward Shi'ite death squads appeared. According to the Washington Post, "A police officer in Duluiyah, Captain Qaid al-Azawi, accused American forces of standing by in Balad while militiamen in police cars and police uniforms slaughtered Sunnis."

In both cases, the logic is the same. The Americans were unable or unwilling to divert their attention from their primary target (Sadrist militia men in Sadr City, Sunni insurgents in Balad), and so opened the door for car bombers and death squads to operate in relative freedom. This primary commitment - to subdue the forces that oppose the American occupation - ultimately translates into a perverse formula in which more American forces generate further sectarian violence.

American patrols in Shi'ite neighborhoods immobilize the local defenses and make the community vulnerable to jihadist attack; while American invasions of Sunni communities are even more

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