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    Middle East
     Jan 11, 2007
Page 2 of 2
SPEAKING FREELY

On fighting losing battles
By Pham Binh

operation were complete failures because of a shortage of Iraqi collaborator units. More fundamentally, the resistance and the population cannot be separated - one cannot be "cleared" while the other remains. That's why the only ground the US can hold in Iraq is the ground beneath the feet of its soldiers.

So what impact will the surge have? Before we can answer that, we have to understand that the surge is not just about troop



levels. US imperialism itself is surging in the Middle East. This becomes clear when we look at the totality of the situation.

Bush has finally come around to the reality that the US military is not large enough to fulfill the ambitions of the ruling class. He has ordered Gates to draw up plans to expand the ranks of the military by tens of thousands every year for the next two to four years. He will undoubtedly get the support of the new Democratic Congress, whose enthusiasm for US world domination is matched only by the Republican incompetence in maintaining it. [7]

Today, US forces are stationed in large bases on the outskirts of large population centers. Bush's new plan would mean more invasive, aggressive tactics by US forces and the prolonged occupation of Baghdad's densely populated neighborhoods. Given that a majority of both Sunnis and Shi'ites support attacks on occupation forces, this is a recipe for tremendous and pointless bloodshed.

To win the Battle of the Bulge in Baghdad, Bush is replacing his top commander in Iraq, General George W Casey Jr, with Lieutenant-General David H Petraeus. Casey was an advocate of Bush's earlier strategy of getting Iraqi troops to do the dirty work of fighting the resistance while (very) slowly withdrawing US forces. On the other hand, Petraeus advocates using brute US force to smash the resistance and let Iraqi collaborator forces mop up later.

Bush is also replacing General John P Abizaid, who heads Central Command, the nerve center for US forces in the Middle East, with Admiral William Fallon, head of Pacific Command.

The admiral's appointment points to the last element in US imperialism's surge: the navy. Last autumn, two minesweepers, two mine-hunters, a cruiser and a submarine were ordered to be ready to deploy by October 1, while the chief of naval operations ordered an update on plans to blockade two Iranian ports in the Persian Gulf. [8] Last month, the Eisenhower carrier strike group, which includes three escort ships and an attack submarine, entered the Persian Gulf and will be joined by the US carrier Stennis and two British mine-hunters this month.

This buildup is clearly aimed at Iran, which might try to block oil shipments in the Strait of Hormuz if its nuclear facilities are attacked by the US. The effects of the naval surge are already being felt in Somalia, where 31 civilians have been killed by air strikes launched from the decks of the Eisenhower aimed at "al-Qaeda" (translation: Islamist anti-US militias). [9]

In the face of this escalation, congressional Democrats stand united - united against cutting off funding for the war, that is. They want what Bush wants: permanent bases and a pro-US government in Iraq. But they have the same problem he does: they have no realistic strategy for achieving these war aims, but they cannot afford defeat at the hands of the resistance either. This is why Nancy Pelosi, the new Speaker of the House of Representatives, has promised "intense scrutiny" of, rather than opposition to, the new war plan. Translation: please don't screw it up this time, Mr President.

Congressional Democrats can be sorted on a spectrum of capitulation - with Senator Ted Kennedy making an ineffective threat to pass legislation barring funding for a surge at one end [10] and Senator Joe Biden claiming that Congress can do nothing at the other.

So while the Democrats make excuses, tens of thousands will be marching in the streets of Washington on January 27 in an anti-war campaign to demand that the Democrats live up to the expectations of the people who voted them into power by ending the war now.

Notes
[1] Simon Tisald, "US plans last big push in Iraq", The Guardian, November 16, 2006.
[2] "Iraqi marchers break through US roadblocks to bring aid to Fallujah", Agence France-Presse, April 8, 2004.
[3] "President addresses the nation in prime time press conference", Office of the Press Secretary, April 13, 2004.
[4] Michael Hirsh and John Barry, "The Salvador Option: Pentagon may put Special Forces-led assassination or kidnapping teams in Iraq", Newsweek, January 14, 2005.
[5] "National Strategy for Victory in Iraq", November 30, 2005.
[6] John Burns, "US says violence in Baghdad rises, foiling campaign", New York Times, October 20, 2006.
[7] Peter Baker, "US not winning war in Iraq, Bush says for 1st time: President plans to expand army, marine corps to cope with strain of multiple deployments", Washington Post, December 20, 2006.
[8] Michael Duffy, "What a war with Iran would look like", Time, September 17, 2006.
[9] Salad Duhul, "Copters attack Somalia militant suspects", Associated Press, January 9, 2007.
[10] Ineffective because it will definitely not pass in Congress and because Bush has demonstrated that legality means nothing in the "war on terror". Furthermore, the Democrats have made clear they have no intention of holding him accountable for any of his illegal actions.

Pham Binh is editor of Traveling Soldier and a recent graduate of Hunter College, New York City.

(Copyright 2007 Traveling Soldier.)

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

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