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    Middle East
     Jan 25, 2007
Page 2 of 3
Debunking Iran's nuclear myth makers
By Kaveh L Afrasiabi

betrayal", has been quiet lately, but he owes an explanation to the nation as to how to justify the cumulative damage to its interests by the pursuit of the hardline and inflexible approach decried by a growing chorus of Iranian officials and policy experts today.

One caveat. At the Center for Strategic Research in November 2004, this author pointedly reminded Saidi that the net result of the hardline position advocated by him and some of his



colleagues would only lead to UN Security Council action, a threat deprecated by Saidi and others at the time. This should be a lesson to the Iranian policymaking machinery, to ensure that scientists are not given the wrong hat as diplomatic negotiators and vice versa. A better division of labor is called for.

This aside, another positive implication of the suspension of enrichment activities would be to curtail the relentless propaganda and pseudo-analysis that propel public doubts about the peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program.

The fact is that after some three years of intrusive inspections, the IAEA has discovered no smoking gun and in its various reports, including the September 2006 report, it has admitted that "to date there is no evidence that the previously undeclared nuclear material and activities were related to a nuclear-weapons program".

But don't tell that to the formidable army of Iran nuclear myth makers, whose venerable list includes US Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns, who said in Dubai this week that "there is no doubt that Iran is actively pursuing nuclear weapons". Burns and his boss, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, have been busy accusing Iran of meddling inside Iraq and aiming to "dominate the region", which is, said Burns, "why we have seen the US station two [aircraft] carrier battle groups in the region".

This belies the earlier report in the New York Times that the dispatch of a second carrier group was meant as a "signal to Iran" on the nuclear issue. Obviously, it doesn't hurt to have multi-purpose missions.

"Americans are used to speaking nonsense. None of their allegations are documented. Can they offer any evidence of what they say?" This is a question posed by Iran's consul in the Iraqi city of Basra to a Los Angeles Times reporter. Not an irrelevant question, in light of the recent statement by a powerful US senator, Jay Rockefeller, chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, who has access to classified information. He bluntly told the US media that there is "little evidence" corroborating the accusations that Iran is proliferating nuclear weapons. Rockefeller and several other US lawmakers, such as Senator Chuck Hagel, have warned that we are witnessing a remake of the march to war in Iraq vis-a-vis Iran. Obviously, history repeats its tragedies.

In US academic circles, a number of prominent scholars have penned their support to the US government's crusade against Iran, including Graham Allison, director of the Belfer Center at Harvard University's Kennedy School. "No one in the international community doubts that Iran's hidden objective in building enrichment facilities is to build nuclear bombs," Graham wrote in a recent issue of the Harvard International Review.

Yet even the IAEA chief, Mohammad ElBaradei, has admitted that the "jury is still out" and the suspicions of Iran's alleged proliferation center on "Iran's intentions", ie, the subjective mindset extrapolated from Iran's behavior.

And contrary to what Graham and others say, the list of dissenters from their doubt-free paradigm is long and includes Russian President Vladimir Putin and his foreign minister, both of whom are on record admitting that, to paraphrase Putin in February 2005, the information on Iran has "convinced us that Iran does not have the intention to build a nuclear bomb". Echoing this sentiment, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov recently told Interfax: "Reports from Iran do not indicate a real threat to peace and security."

That has not prevented many Americans from continuing to push the opposite line. Case in point: three scholars at the conservative Hoover Institution penned an article in a recent issue of the Washington Quarterly claiming that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons largely as a deterrent against US power. [1]

Such certainties presume to know Iran's national-security priorities without a shred of doubt, and are often made by pundits, including expatriate Iranians, who have not put foot inside Iran for decades. This makes a mockery of value-free analysis. As the example of Allison at Harvard demonstrates, lending academic support to the US government's Iran policy plays a key role in the Chomskyan "manufacturing consensus" on Iran as a pretext for the next war.

What is peculiar about the Iran nuclear myth makers is their obliviousness to contrary information, ie, counter-facts and/or "anomalies" that undercut their carefully constructed truth paradigms on Iran's nuclear program. Allison in his article does not even bother with the statement by the director of national 

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