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    Middle East
     Mar 6, 2007
Page 3 of 4
How the Saudis stole a march on the US
By Alastair Crooke and Mark Perry

Shi'ites in the Arab world, he felt he had to do something to stabilize the situation in at least one area."

In many ways, Abdullah's decision was the result of a "perfect storm" of events: the disintegration of the security situation in Gaza, the indifferent support of Egypt and Jordan for America's anti-Hamas plan, and his perception that the position of the Quartet (the US, the UN, the European Union and Russia) on Hamas was beginning to unravel. Abdullah's decision was



reinforced by Rice's stillborn diplomacy.

Rice had pledged that the US would work for a peace agreement between the Palestinians and the Olmert government, but King Abdullah knew that an increasingly large number of Arab leaders were beginning to question her leadership. He had also heard reports from Quartet officials who were angered by Rice's announcement at a recent meeting that her "trilateral diplomacy" (among Israel, the US and the Palestinians) now superseded the work of the Quartet. These senior diplomats viewed her opening of "the trilateral track" as an insult to European and Russian officials who had believed her promise that the Quartet would lead diplomatic efforts to recast the Palestinian political environment.

No one was more upset than Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. In a meeting with President Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin on January 29, Lavrov told Putin that the US program of supplying certain Fatah factions with weapons was undercutting European and Russian efforts to find a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. "Efforts to resume the negotiation process with Israel have stumbled over the threat of a civil war in the Palestinian territories," Lavrov told Putin.

The Palestinian territories, he said, were on the verge of civil war, a conflict fueled by the United States. Putin was angered by Lavrov's report. While the Russian president had met with Hamas officials in February 2006 (a full year before King Abdullah called Meshaal to Mecca), in the wake of that meeting he heeded US warnings that he was undercutting Quartet efforts to isolate Hamas. No further meetings were held. Now Putin felt betrayed, and directed his foreign minister to make his views public. In the wake of his meeting at the Kremlin with Putin on January 29, Lavrov told the press that "certain unidentified outsiders" were "instigating internal Palestinian strife" and "hindering a relaunch of the peace process between the Israelis and Palestinians".

While it is not known whether King Abdullah listened to Lavrov's statement, he certainly would have agreed with the Russian foreign minister's conclusions, which Lavrov made public in a television interview after his meeting with Putin: "The goal of the Quartet is to help overcome the standoff between the Palestinians, namely between Fatah and Hamas, and stop efforts which unfortunately are being carried out from outside to provoke conflict between these groups," Lavrov said. "If their efforts were not being hindered from abroad, these two main Palestinian groups could quickly come to agreement."

The first meeting of Abu Mazen, Meshaal and King Abdullah took place in Mecca on the morning of February 6. In truth, there was little to do - the outlines of a prospective agreement between the two political parties had been the subject of negotiations over the previous months, and little effort was needed to bring Abu Mazen and Meshaal into agreement. The foundational principles of the meeting were already in place: the two factions would end their fighting and work toward building a unified Palestinian government. Ismail Haniyah would remain prime minister and the balance of the cabinet positions would be filled by Hamas officials. The more sensitive issues of filling the government's security and finance portfolios would be finessed by the appointment of independents or through a veto from either party.

This would make it easier for wavering Europeans to increase funding to the new government. Abu Mazen's delegation arrived divided, with Mohammad Dahlan adamantly opposed to the meeting and even more opposed to the agreement. Accompanying Dahlan was the ever-present Mohammad Rashid, who was counseling his client to express his disagreements politely but firmly, but then remain silent. Dahlan did not heed his advice. According to Fatah officials, Dahlan was "aggressive" in his meetings with the Hamas leadership and, when it became clear that an agreement would be signed, sulked in his room. He returned only occasionally to confront the Hamas delegation. "You think I am the devil, but I view you as the enemy," he told Hamas leaders at one point. "I am not responsible for the troubles in Gaza."

King Abdullah watched this carefully and told Dahlan that his presence at the final ceremony was essential. He would be there, Abdullah said, or he would be sent home. Dahlan, still sulking, appeared for the signing of the agreement, but he remained in the back of the room, behind the press. He thereafter only reluctantly agreed to appear in photos with Hamas delegates. Hamas leaders, for their part, agreed to shake his hand, but would not embrace him.

In the wake of the signing ceremony and as a way to help seal the agreement, King Abdullah insisted that both delegations participate in a "mini-hajj". Visiting Mecca's holy sites, Abdullah calculated, would symbolize their own commitment to Palestinian unity. "This was a brilliant move on the part of Abdullah," an American official confirmed. "Abdullah made it clear to them that they were not only giving him their word to abide by the agreement, they were pledged to it before God."

King Abdullah's mediation was personal in other, even more subtle, ways. He made it clear that it was his belief that Arab problems should be solved by Arabs, without the Americans or the West. He also made it clear that he knew that in coming to Mecca, Abu Mazen was taking a political gamble that would mean not only a rejection of the US program, but a reshuffling of the Fatah leadership. But, Abdullah told him, he would not stand alone. As a sign of his commitment, Abdullah also pledged an immediate transfusion of funding, to pay Palestinian salaries. The initial pledge was $500 million, but more would come when necessary. A final figure was arrived at - an immediate transfusion of some $650 million would be made to the Palestinian Authority (PA) through the Finance Ministry, but more would be on the way. Up to $1 billion. The PA no longer needed US or European money.

The positive response to "the Mecca declaration" was nearly unanimous among international diplomats, excepting those from the US and Israel. Even Quartet members seemed relieved, announcing that they viewed the Palestinian accord in a "positive but cautious manner". As expected, the Russians welcomed King Abdullah's intervention, and Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Saltanov said he "unconditionally" supported it.

The Americans seemed confused: "We have not actually seen the agreement, and it's important that we be given some time to look at the agreement, especially at the details of it," White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said. State Department spokesman Tom Casey said, "It's a four-paragraph statement that leaves open any number of questions about the government's composition, structure, policy plans and otherwise."

Even the Israelis seemed taken aback. "We need to see a government be formed and see what the policies and practices of that government are," said Miri Eisin, spokeswoman for Olmert, but she then added: "Israel expects the new Palestinian cabinet

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