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    Middle East
     Apr 3, 2007
Page 2 of 2
A Falklands War in the Persian Gulf
By Kaveh L Afrasiabi

question applies, mutati mutandis, to the European Union, whose foreign ministers passed a unanimous resolution denouncing Iran's action as "contrary to international law". But, really, is it?

Question of international law
The crisis over the British sailors in fact provides raw material for a fresh consideration of the applicability of international laws in Persian Gulf in that Iran's official position is that the salient facts



of the case are in conformity with the guiding criteria of the UN's Law of the Sea Treaty.

Contrary to US pundits such as Patrick Clawson of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, who debated the author on CNN over the weekend, there is no clear-cut "established international law" that would dictate the freeing of British sailors if found in Iranian waters.

A glance at the proceedings of the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea in Hamburg, Germany, makes it obvious that there are several precedents for the seizure of foreign vessels in territorial waters. Nor is there a right of "innocent passage" that could be invoked by the British government in defense of its jailed sailors, given the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea's conditions, ie, that a vessel's passage is not "threatening to sovereignty, territorial integrity or political independence", or the "good order and security" of the coastal nations.

Article 301 of this treaty is pretty clear that intruding ships "shall refrain from any threat". Article 25, paragraph 3, on the other hand, stipulates that a coastal state may suspend in its territorial waters the right of "innocent passage" of any vessel it deems threatening to the country.

From a strictly legal point of view, the British sailors cannot be effectively deemed detained until the time when an Iranian judge upholds their seizure by the Iranian armed forces. The initiation of a legal proceeding against the sailors serves precisely this particular purpose, setting the stage of a subsequent Iranian "forum shopping" in international law, even though a full trial may not be either necessary or advisable, politically and internationally.

The EU statement above-mentioned cites the UN mandate for the stability functions of British forces in Iraq. This is clumsy diplomacy by the EU, since (a) it reminds us of how badly the UN was manipulated to bestow legitimacy on an illegal invasion and (b) fails to notice that the UN mandate does not extend into Iran's territorial waters.

Until now, the EU had safely distanced itself from the disastrous Middle East policies of the Blair government, and yet the crisis over British sailors has allowed Downing Street to bridge the gap and create an EU "groupthink" on Iran that is tantamount to dragging the entire European Community into the mess of London's making.

The rule-minded EU cannot possibly emulate London when it comes to Iran's territorial rights, mimicking Blair's callous disregard for the sovereign rights of Iran repeatedly infringed on by the British forces, beginning in summer 2004 when eight sailors were released after the British Foreign Office formally apologized. According to Ali Larijani, the head of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, the No 2 diplomat at the British Embassy in Tehran had pledged in writing that no more transgression of Iran's maritime boundaries would occur.

Since last autumn, the Iranian press has reported about several intrusions into Iranian airspace and waters by British forces. On one occasion, British helicopters hovered near the city of Khoramshahr for 10 minutes, and in February there was a report of three British naval vessels entering Iran's waters.

Thus, notwithstanding the absence of conclusive proof by the British, the counter-facts and counter-claims by Iran, and the surrounding circumstantial evidence pertaining to the British hostilities toward Iran, recalling Blair's key speech last November when he stated unequivocally that there was no softening of London's stance toward Iran, Iran's hands at a hypothetical international court are hardly empty.

The merits of Iran's complaints may even trump those of the British counter-complaint, all the more reason for the British government to be concerned about the unintended consequences of its overreaction by internationalizing the incident so quickly, not to mention the dangerous escalation in Basra, where there are reports of stern action against the Iranian consular building by British forces.

Diplomatic options
A powerful Iranian parliamentarian, Alaedin Boroujerdi, has called for a special British fact-finding committee to visit Iran. Since Britain is part of a larger political unit that is the European Union, this could be extended to an invitation by an EU delegation to Iran, given the dire warning of the EU for further action if Iran does not release the sailors.

London has frozen bilateral trade with Iran and is lobbying the EU to do the same, which, if it happens, will damage the EU's economy as well as Iran's by affecting several thousand companies.

With the economic, let alone security and other stakes being so high, the EU should not put its diplomacy in London's, and by implication Washington's, hands, and it would be disastrous for the Union, celebrating its 50th birthday this year, if it slips down the warmongering path charted by Blair-Bush, the twin lame-duck leaders who have done more than their fair share in wreaking havoc on the international order.

Again, from the prism of international law, it is feasible to hypothesize a scenario whereby the British sailors would post bail and be placed in the hands of the British Embassy in Tehran, and the matter would be adjudicated with the consent of both parties in either the International Court of Justice or the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea.

One advantage of the latter tribunal is that it makes more explicit the relevance of international laws of the sea with respect to the Persian Gulf. Various experts in international law have opined that the Law of the Sea Convention weakens the US-led Proliferation Security Initiative, which has led to the interdiction of shipping to and from North Korea, as a dress rehearsal for similar interdiction of shipping to and from Iran, in light of the UN sanctions on Iran.

In conclusion, should Tehran opt to reciprocate London's sensationalist internationalization of the standoff by resorting to one or another international legal forum, the net result will be a timely "juridification" of the Persian Gulf's security calculus, tantamount to a timely Iranian soft-power counter-move to the huge influx of Western hard power in the volatile oil-rich region.

Note
1. For more on international law and Iran's maritime issues, see the author's International law and Iran's policy in the Caspian Sea: Shifting paradigms.

Kaveh L Afrasiabi, PhD, is the author of After Khomeini: New Directions in Iran's Foreign Policy (Westview Press) and co-author of "Negotiating Iran's Nuclear Populism", Brown Journal of World Affairs, Volume XII, Issue 2, Summer 2005, with Mustafa Kibaroglu. He also wrote "Keeping Iran's nuclear potential latent", Harvard International Review, and is author of Iran's Nuclear Program: Debating Facts Versus Fiction.

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