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    Middle East
     Apr 4, 2007
Page 1 of 3
Shi'ite power bloc in Iraq takes shape
By Babak Rahimi

One of the oddest developments in the recent history of Iraq has been the growing connection between the young firebrand cleric, Muqtada al-Sadr, and the highest-ranking Shi'ite cleric, Ayatollah Ali Sistani. In 2003, the erratic politics of Muqtada, with his mix of Arab nationalism and militant chiliastic ideology, was considered eventually to collide with Sistani's quietist form of Shi'ism, which advocates that clerics should maintain a clear distance from day-to-day state politics.

Since 2004, however, an unlikely alliance has gradually taken form between the former adversaries, which is bound to reshape



Iraqi Shi'ite politics in the years to come. By and large, the relationship between the two clerics has been one of asymmetrical partnership, in which Sistani plays the superior partner, guiding the younger and less experienced Muqtada in his quest for becoming a legitimate leader of the Iraqi Shi'ite community.

In doing so, Sistani has tried to tame Muqtada by bringing him into the mainstream Najaf establishment to form a united Shi'ite front against extremist Sunnis and the United States. In return, Muqtada, who lacks religious credentials, has been using Sistani's support to legitimize his religious authority and expand his influence in southern Iraq. The relationship is mutually opportunistic, but also pragmatic, since the two clerics have not been able to ignore each other.

In broad terms, such an alliance signals two significant changes: first, a dramatic shift in the balance of power in Shi'ite Iraq in terms of the revival of the Hawza, as a cluster of seminaries and religious scholarly institutions in Najaf, and second, an increase of tension between Shi'ites and Sunnis in Iraq.

Moreover, the growing alliance between Muqtada and Sistani also underlines another vital feature tied to the Shi'ite ascendancy in Iraq: the rise of Iran as a regional power. Iran has been playing a crucial role in the shaping of Muqtada-Sistani relations, since any alliance between Shi'ite leaders is intertwined with the Qom-Tehran nexus and Iranian politics in the Greater Middle East.

Against the Najaf Hawza: 2003-04
Since the US-led invasion of Iraq, the Sadrist movement, mainly dominated by Muqtada, has emerged as one of the most populist and grassroots currents in the post-Ba'athist era. Yet the militant movement has also posed the most serious threat to clerical orthodoxy and its conservative and quietist tradition, best embodied by Sistani.

Much of the "heterodoxy" of the Sadrist movement lies in its early (2003-04) rejection of clerical monopoly, led by some young clerical students and followers of Muqtada who accused Sistani of transforming the shrine city of Najaf into a "sleeping house of learning". The heretical tendencies of the Sadrist movement entailed rejecting the religious authority of a living, high-ranking cleric in favor of the rulings of a deceased marja (religious scholar), a blasphemous idea according to the orthodox thinking that Sistani and his Hawza represent.

Yet there is also the factor of Arab nationalism. Ideologically, the Sadrists are Arab nationalists and resent the presence of any non-Arab cleric in Iraq, especially those of Iranian descent, such as Sistani, who have been residing in the shrine-cities for decades.

The origin of the movement dates to the early 1990s, when ayatollah Muhammad Sadeq al-Sadr, the father of Muqtada, led an anti-quietist campaign by accusing Sistani and other leading clerics in Najaf of abandoning ordinary people and allowing Ba'athist oppression to take place. [1] When Muqtada emerged as the leading figure in the movement four years after the assassination of his father by Saddam Hussein's regime in 1999, he continued his father's legacy and expanded his anti-quietist movement in the slums of Baghdad and southern Iraq.

In spring 2003, Muqtada refused to accept Sistani's leadership and declined his invitations for a meeting. [2] Tensions between the outspoken Muqtada and the quietist Sistani were at their highest when the cleric followers of Muqtada criticized the grand ayatollah for his Iranian origin and even urged him and other quietist clerics to leave Iraq. [3] The conflict between Muqtada and Sistani culminated in the August 2004 showdown between the Mehdi Army and US troops in Najaf, when Sistani saw the clash as an opportunity for the eradication of his young rival. [4]

Nevertheless, eventually Sistani decided to intervene and offer protection to Muqtada and his followers. After three weeks of intense fighting between the Mehdi Army and US and Iraqi forces around the Imam Ali Mosque in Najaf, Sistani was finally able to broker a ceasefire deal with Muqtada in late August 2004. [5] Although his change of position was partly aimed at ending the destruction of the shrine complex and protecting Najaf's inhabitants, Sistani saw the Mehdi Army as a major asset in dealing with anti-Shi'ite Sunni groups and US forces in Iraq. Because of the encouragement from Hezbollah and Tehran, the agreement signaled an opportunity to tame Muqtada and his Mehdi Army, militarily weakened by US forces, by bringing his troops closer to the mainstream Shi'ite establishment. [6]

Post-2005 elections and the Iran factor
The 2004 deal signaled a tipping point in Muqtada-Sistani relations, bringing the two leaders closer together with the aim of advancing Shi'ite interests in the democratic arena.

Despite a period of tension with the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) and the Badr Organization, the largest Shi'ite militia that backed Sistani, Muqtada finally joined forces with a Shi'ite-led political party approved by Sistani, the United Iraqi Alliance (UIA), in the December 2005 elections. The move advanced a new stage in Muqtada-Sistani relations, which underlined how the two clerics saw the importance of a centralized democratic government as a way to solidify Shi'ite power in a country with a long history of Sunni dominance.

Since 2004, Muqtada and Sistani have met a number of times to discuss issues related to elections, including a major meeting in mid-September 2004 that included Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, Muqtada's main rival. [7] In early September 2004, in a potentially explosive incident, Sistani helped Muqtada by asking the Iraqi police to end the siege of his office in Najaf. [8] Sistani's growing relations with Muqtada continued to evolve when he appealed to Abdul al-Saheb-e al-Khoei to delay the search for his slain brother, Sayyid Abdul Majid al-Khoei, who was allegedly murdered by Muqtada's followers in 2003. [9] This was a major move by Sistani, since it basically excused Muqtada of any wrongdoing in the case of Khoei's murder.

After the January and December 2005 elections, Sistani refused to call for the disarming of the Mehdi militia. This decision was

Continued 1 2


Iraq needs a strongman. Allawi is waiting (Apr 3, '07)

Fleeing Iraqi Arabs get Kurds' cold shoulder (Mar 30, '07)

Car-bombers defy all odds (Mar 29, '07)

Iraq's good terrorists, bad terrorists (Mar 27, '07)

 
 



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