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    Middle East
     Apr 17, 2007
Page 2 of 2
An army popping at the seams
By David Isenberg

level of C-1, or ready for the full wartime mission, and at least one year to become C-3 or even marginally combat ready.

Of the 20 army combat brigades in or on their way to Iraq or Afghanistan, none has been home for two years and four have not been home for a year. One unit, the 4th Infantry Division Headquarters from Fort Hood, Texas, will return to Iraq after about



seven months at home. None of the units was rated fully or even substantially combat ready (C-2) when deployed.

Writing last week in the Boston Globe Korb wrote:
Looking at the situation for three units that are part of this surge shows what happens when units do not receive what the army calls the proper dwell time between deployments. The 1st Brigade of the army's 3rd Infantry Division based at Fort Stewart became the army's first brigade to be deployed to Iraq for the third time, when it was sent over in January 2007 after about a year at home. But, because of its compressed time between deployments, some 150 soldiers joined the unit right out of basic training, too late to participate in the training necessary to prepare units to function effectively in Iraq. Unfortunately one of the 18-year-old soldiers who joined the unit on December 18, 2006 has already been killed.
Or take the 4th Brigade of the army's 1st Infantry Division, based at Fort Reilly, which was sent to Iraq in February, about a year after it was reactivated. More than half of the brigade's soldiers in the grade E-4 and below are right out of basic training, and the bulk of its midlevel non-commissioned officers in the ranks of E-5 and E-6 have no combat experience.

The 3rd Division's 3rd Brigade was sent back to Iraq this month for the third time, after less than 11 months at home. To keep its numbers up it has had to send some 75 soldiers with medical problems into the war zone.

Putting aside the politics of the deployment for a moment, an equally important issue is whether the guard units will be ready for deployment by the end of the year. There is reason to think not.

The war in Iraq has already badly depleted the National Guard's domestic store of vehicles, weapons, and communications gear, leaving units with one-third of the equipment needed to meet requirements for homeland security, its primary mission. In the past few years equipment taken to Iraq by National Guard units has been worn out, blown up, lent to US forces rotating in-country, or given away to newly mustered Iraqi units.

In July 2006, Lieutenant General H Steven Blum, the chief of the National Guard Bureau, testified to Congress that more than two-thirds of the army National Guard's 34 brigades were not combat-ready, largely because of vast equipment shortfalls that will take as much as $21 billion to correct. His comments came after disclosures that two-thirds of the active army's brigades were not rated ready for war. And September 2006 testimony by a Government Accountability Office official before Congress said that army National Guard units have less than one-third of their repaired equipment.

On April 11 the other shoe dropped. Gates announced that active army units now in the Central Command area of responsibility and those headed there would have their deployments extended three months, from 12 to 15 months, and will return to home stations for not less than 12 months. The policy does not apply to marine units which are on a different rotation schedule - seven months over, six back.

The extension, which White House officials claimed Bush was unaware of, will affect more than 100,000 active-duty soldiers and will result in the longest combat tours for the army since World War II. It will also mandate for the first time that active-duty soldiers spend more time at war than at home.

Lost in much of the press coverage is that this step will enable the US to prolong its "surge" in Iraq, as the following exchange in the press conference announcing it illustrates:

Q: Mr Secretary, can you tell us how long this measure allows you to sustain the surge now? Previously with the previous measures which were announced, you're looking at being able to maintain that 20-brigade level until August, I believe. How long does this allow you to maintain that level in Iraq?

Gates: Probably at least a year.

Q: A year from now, or -

Gates: A year from now.

Of course, whether the surge will be successful is open to question. According to Ivan Eland, director of the Independent Institute's Center on Peace and Liberty in Washington, DC, "The surge is unsustainable." He added, "This is just another indication of the army popping at the seams. You're staying longer and getting less time between deployment and you are getting crunched at both ends."

David Isenberg is a senior research analyst at the British American Security Information Council, a member of the Coalition for a Realistic Foreign Policy, a research fellow at the Independent Institute, and an adviser to the Straus Military Reform Project of the Center for Defense Information, Washington. These views are his own.

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